Nissin Foods (1475) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Nissin Foods HK$5.97, price HK$6.68, upside -10.6%, quality 72 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Nissin Foods for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$3.96 – HK$7.42 · fair‑value band HK$4.83 – HK$7.37 · the HK$6.68 price screens above the HK$5.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow Nissin Foods in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Nissin Foods is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Nissin Foods Company Limited engages in manufacturing and selling instant noodles in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Canada, Australia, the United States, Taiwan, Macau, and internationally. The company also manufactures and sells retort and frozen foods, beverages and snacks, and vegetables, as well as fruit juices, cup noodles, and sauces.
Show more
Nissin Foods Company Limited engages in manufacturing and selling instant noodles in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Canada, Australia, the United States, Taiwan, Macau, and internationally. The company also manufactures and sells retort and frozen foods, beverages and snacks, and vegetables, as well as fruit juices, cup noodles, and sauces. In addition, it manufactures packaging materials instant noodles products; and provides publicity services. The company also trades in instant noodle, vegetable, and packaging material products, and imports beverages and food products, noodle and confectionery; as well as provides administrative management and human resource services. It operates under the Demae Iccho, Cup Noodles, Nissin Viet Signature, and Nissin Donbei, KEMY, ABC Pastry, KOIKEYA, Hokkaido Iccho, Nissin Raoh, Nissin U.F.O. Fuku, NISSIN, and Doll brand names. Nissin Foods Company Limited was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Tai Po, Hong Kong. Nissin Foods Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Nissin Foods Holdings Co.,Ltd.
Stock analysis
Nissin Foods (1475) currently trades at HK$6.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$5.97, implying the stock looks roughly 11.9% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$6.67 per share, and 5 of the 23 models we run sit above the HK$6.68 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$2.45, and 18 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$4.83 (bear) to HK$7.37 (bull), the price of HK$6.68 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Nissin Foods reported revenue of HK$4.0B in FY2025 versus HK$3.9B in FY2021, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$331M in FY2025, compounding +2.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$7.0B (≈ $889M) · P/E ratio 20.5 · P/S ratio 1.70 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.3376 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 8.3% · Return on equity 9.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −11%, 1475 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$4.83Fair Value HK$5.97Bull HK$7.37
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.1311 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.63/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.3% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.3% vs 9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 11%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 667 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−11% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.4% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nissin Foods Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1475
Frequently asked questions
Is Nissin Foods (1475) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$5.97 versus a price of HK$6.68, about −11% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1475?
Our model-based fair value for Nissin Foods is HK$5.97 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$6.68.
What is the quality score of 1475?
Nissin Foods has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nissin Foods (1475)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$5.97 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$4.83, optimistic scenario HK$7.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nissin Foods stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$5.97, about −11% upside versus a price of HK$6.68 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$4.83, optimistic scenario HK$7.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nissin Foods (1475)?
Nissin Foods reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$4.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Nissin Foods pay a dividend?
Nissin Foods currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.38% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nissin Foods (1475)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nissin Foods would have to grow free cash flow by +5.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1475 use?
Our models discount Nissin Foods at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.11, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nissin Foods that is +5.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nissin Foods (1475) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nissin Foods grew +2.6 % a year. The price currently implies +5.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nissin Foods (1475) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nissin Foods (+5.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nissin Foods (1475)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.28 %: that much free cash flow Nissin Foods produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nissin Foods (1475)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nissin Foods it is HK$5.97 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$6.68. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nissin Foods stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1475 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$6.68, fair value HK$5.97, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1475?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$6.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$5.97). For Nissin Foods the two are HK$0.7100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nissin Foods worth?
The market values Nissin Foods at about HK$7.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$6.68; our models calculate a fair value of HK$5.97 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1475?
Our models span a range for Nissin Foods: cautious scenario HK$4.83, base HK$5.97, optimistic HK$7.37 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$6.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1475?
Nissin Foods trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$5.97 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 11.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nissin Foods (1475)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nissin Foods (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1475 from its 52-week high?
Nissin Foods trades at HK$6.68, about 10% below its 52-week high of HK$7.42 and 12% above the low of HK$5.97 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$5.97 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nissin Foods?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nissin Foods stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$6.68, calculated fair value HK$5.97 (−11%), Quality Score 72/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1475 calculated?
We run Nissin Foods through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$5.97, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Nissin Foods itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nissin Foods (1475)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$6.68. Our model-based fair value is HK$5.97, about −11% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nissin Foods right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Nissin Foods (1475) come from?
Earnings per share at Nissin Foods grew +8.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.7 %, EBIT margin −2.0 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +6.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Nissin Foods
How large is the market capitalisation of Nissin Foods (1475)?
The market capitalisation of Nissin Foods is HK$7.0B (≈ $889M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nissin Foods (1475)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nissin Foods is 1.70 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nissin Foods (1475)?
Earnings per share at Nissin Foods are HK$0.3376 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nissin Foods (1475)?
The dividend yield of Nissin Foods is 2.4% (payout 47.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nissin Foods (1475)?
The net margin of Nissin Foods is 8.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nissin Foods (1475)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nissin Foods is 9.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nissin Foods (1475)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nissin Foods is 8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nissin Foods (1475)?
The operating margin of Nissin Foods is 14.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nissin Foods (1475)?
Revenue at Nissin Foods is growing +4.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nissin Foods (1475)?
Earnings per share at Nissin Foods are growing +11.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Nissin Foods (1475) hold?
Nissin Foods holds more cash than debt, HK$1.5B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Nissin Foods in the live analysis
One click puts Nissin Foods on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
