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Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd stock HK$0.85, price HK$1.10, that is 22.4% below the price, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Industrials HK · Based in China · ISIN KYG394781051

YI Yues International Holdings Group Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Yues International Holdings Group Ltd

1529 · HK
Solid, but expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 22% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 52/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +12.5 %/yr in HKD)
Revenue last quarter 19% below a year ago.
Fair value HK$0.8500 · Overvalued
Loss-making · -8.6% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/9)
Narrow moat 16/100
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$3.62 HK$0.1179 Fair Value HK$0.8500 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1179 – HK$3.62 · fair‑value band HK$0.6400 – HK$1.06 · the HK$1.10 price screens above the HK$0.8500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Yues International Holdings Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides logistics services for supply chain customers in the People's Republic of China.

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It operates through five segments: Transportation Service, Warehousing Service, In-Plant Logistics Service, Customisation Service, and Sales of the TCM, Goat Milk Powder and Other Products.

The Transportation Service segment delivers customers' production materials and components from suppliers to manufacturing plants, as well as arranges transportation for finished goods. This segment also provides sea transportation and international freight forwarding agency services.

The Warehousing Service segment provides inventory storage and management services.

The In-Plant Logistics Service segment offers various in-house services at customers' manufacturing plants, including management of the movements of production materials and components, and work-in progress to the production lines, as well as delivery of finished goods to the factory gates of the customers.

The Customisation Service segment provides labelling and bundling services, as well as sells TCM, goat milk powder, and other products. The company was formerly known as Goal Rise Logistics (China) Holdings Limited and changed its name to Yues International Holdings Group Limited in May 2022.

Yues International Holdings Group Limited was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529) currently trades at HK$1.10, while our estimate is HK$0.8500, 22% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: HK$0.6400 (bear) to HK$1.06 (bull), the price of HK$1.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Yues International Holdings Group Ltd reported revenue of 334M CNY in FY2025 versus 212M CNY in FY2021, a compound +12.1%/yr. Reported net income was −22.3M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$730M (≈ $93.1M) Micro · P/S ratio 2.36 · Net margin −6.7% · Return on equity −14.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin −4.1% · Revenue (TTM) 307M CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) −19.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 306% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −22%, 1529 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear HK$0.6400 Fair Value HK$0.8500 Bull HK$1.06
Price HK$1.10 · Downside -22.4%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 24
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 76
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 5
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 76
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 100
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 96
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 41/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+30.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.3% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.6% (2020) → −6.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

1529 screens overvalued: fair value 22% below the price. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 215 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside −22.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −9.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −8.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −4.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −19.3% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.70× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.03× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)3 · sector 45
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 44
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 64

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥34.20 ¥45.60 +33% vs 1529
FedEx Corporation FDX $318.84 $350.86 +10% vs 1529
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $110.96 $107.24 −3% vs 1529
Deutsche Post AG DHL €58.64 €53.62 −9% vs 1529
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 231.60 CHF 147.92 −36% vs 1529
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $189.59 $117.46 −38% vs 1529
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $224.32 $133.78 −40% vs 1529
Poste Italiane S.p.A PST €25.09 €14.76 −41% vs 1529
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,447 kr 711.95 −51% vs 1529
FedEx Freight Holding FDXF $129.05 $54.55 −58% vs 1529

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Yues International Holdings Group Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yues International Holdings Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1529

Frequently asked questions

Is Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is HK$0.8500 versus a price of HK$1.10, about 22% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1529?
Our estimate for Yues International Holdings Group Ltd is HK$0.8500 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.10.
What is the quality score of 1529?
Yues International Holdings Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of HK$0.8500 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario HK$0.6400, optimistic scenario HK$1.06. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Yues International Holdings Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at HK$0.8500, about 22% lower versus a price of HK$1.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.6400, optimistic scenario HK$1.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529)?
Yues International Holdings Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 307M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yues International Holdings Group Ltd it is HK$0.8500 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of HK$1.10.
Is Yues International Holdings Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 1529 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.10, fair value HK$0.8500, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1529?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.8500). For Yues International Holdings Group Ltd the two are HK$0.2450 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yues International Holdings Group Ltd worth?
The market values Yues International Holdings Group Ltd at about HK$730M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.10; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.8500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1529?
Our models span a range for Yues International Holdings Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.6400, base HK$0.8500, optimistic HK$1.06 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price HK$1.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −14.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1529 from its 52-week high?
Yues International Holdings Group Ltd trades at HK$1.10, about 6% below its 52-week high of HK$1.17 and 306% above the low of HK$0.2700 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.8500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yues International Holdings Group Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yues International Holdings Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price HK$1.10, calculated fair value HK$0.8500 (−22%), Quality Score 52/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7% above its aggregate fair value. Yues International Holdings Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was HK$1.10. Our estimate is HK$0.8500, about 22% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yues International Holdings Group Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529)?
The market capitalisation of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd is HK$730M (≈ $93.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd is 2.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529)?
The net margin of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd is −6.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd is −14.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd is −8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529)?
The operating margin of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd is −4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529)?
Revenue at Yues International Holdings Group Ltd is growing −19.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529)?
Earnings per share at Yues International Holdings Group Ltd are growing −27.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529) generate?
The free cash flow of Yues International Holdings Group Ltd is −19.2M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Yues International Holdings Group Ltd (1529) hold?
Yues International Holdings Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, 87.2M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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