Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd HK$0.11, price HK$0.28, upside -60.7%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1110 – HK$0.8100 · fair‑value band HK$0.0700 – HK$0.1700 · the HK$0.2800 price screens above the HK$0.1100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Unity Group Holdings International Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the leasing and trading of energy saving products.
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Unity Group Holdings International Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the leasing and trading of energy saving products. It provides energy management systems solutions; leasing and maintenance services for cooling systems; plantation and cultivation of fruits and vegetables using digital farming technology; consultancy services and installation of renewable energy system; and provision of ESG solutions. The company operates in Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia, Indonesia, Macau, Australia, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Synergy Group Holdings International Limited and changed its name to Unity Group Holdings International Limited in September 2022. Unity Group Holdings International Limited was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539) currently trades at HK$0.2800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1100, implying the stock looks roughly 154.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$0.2200 per share, and 1 of the 15 models we run sit above the HK$0.2800 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0400, and 14 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.0700 (bear) to HK$0.1700 (bull), the price of HK$0.2800 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd reported revenue of HK$157M in FY2025 versus HK$53.8M in FY2021, a compound +30.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$35.5M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.3B (≈ $160M) · P/E ratio 28.0 · P/S ratio 6.32 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Net margin 22.6% · Return on equity 14.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.2% · Operating margin 10.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −61%, 1539 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.0700Fair Value HK$0.1100Bull HK$0.1700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0100 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+69.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.5% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−33.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−33.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−34% vs −17%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 18%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 17.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 552 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−64% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)30% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)11% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−18% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)28.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B6.49× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)8.77× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA61.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 58
PAST (return on equity)57· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 23
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1539
Frequently asked questions
Is Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1100 versus a price of HK$0.2800, about −61% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1539?
Our model-based fair value for Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is HK$0.1100 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2800.
What is the quality score of 1539?
Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1100 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0700, optimistic scenario HK$0.1700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1100, about −61% upside versus a price of HK$0.2800 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0700, optimistic scenario HK$0.1700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$143M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd it is HK$0.1100 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2800. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1539 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2800, fair value HK$0.1100, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1539?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1100). For Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd the two are HK$0.1700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd worth?
The market values Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd at about HK$1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2800; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1539?
Our models span a range for Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0700, base HK$0.1100, optimistic HK$0.1700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$0.2800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1539?
Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.1100 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.5, P/S 8.8, EV/EBITDA 61.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
Balance-sheet figures for Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 14.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1539 from its 52-week high?
Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd trades at HK$0.2800, about 33% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4150 and 13% above the low of HK$0.2470 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Prysmian S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$0.2800, calculated fair value HK$0.1100 (−61%), Quality Score 40/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1539 calculated?
We run Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$0.2800. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1100, about −61% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0700 to HK$0.1700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539) come from?
Earnings per share at Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd grew −21.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −17.7 %, EBIT margin −12.2 %, tax rate +2.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +6.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
The market capitalisation of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is HK$1.3B (≈ $160M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is 6.32 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
Earnings per share at Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd are HK$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
The net margin of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is 22.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is 14.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is 0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
The operating margin of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
Revenue at Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is growing −18.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
Earnings per share at Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd are growing +34.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539) generate?
The free cash flow of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is −HK$67.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539) carry?
The net debt of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is HK$81.4M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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