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Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd stock HK$0.18, price HK$0.28, that is 34.5% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials HK · ISIN KYG8650S1075

SG Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd

1539 · HK
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 35% below what the stock costs today.

Highly profitable · 56.2% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
28% return on equity.
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.5 %/yr in HKD)
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Wide moat 75/100 · thin data
Fair value HK$0.1800 · Overvalued
Quality 39/100
Negative free cash flow
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.8100 HK$0.1110 Fair Value HK$0.1800 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1110 – HK$0.8100 · fair‑value band HK$0.1100 – HK$0.2900 · the HK$0.2750 price screens above the HK$0.1800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Unity Group Holdings International Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the leasing and trading of energy saving products.

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It provides energy management systems solutions; leasing and maintenance services for cooling systems; plantation and cultivation of fruits and vegetables using digital farming technology; consultancy services and installation of renewable energy system; and provision of ESG solutions.

The company operates in Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia, Indonesia, Macau, Australia, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Synergy Group Holdings International Limited and changed its name to Unity Group Holdings International Limited in September 2022.

Unity Group Holdings International Limited was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539) currently trades at HK$0.2750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1800, 35% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$0.4000 per share, and 3 of the 15 models we run sit above the HK$0.2750 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$0.0600, and 12 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1100 (bear) to HK$0.2900 (bull), the price of HK$0.2750 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd reported revenue of HK$119M in FY2026 versus HK$80.4M in FY2022, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$66.7M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap HK$1.0B (≈ $128M) Micro · P/E ratio 14.3 · P/S ratio 8.01 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Net margin 56.2% · Return on equity 27.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 19.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 75 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −35%, 1539 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1100 Fair Value HK$0.1800 Bull HK$0.2900
Price HK$0.2750 · Downside -34.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0061 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings HK$0.1100 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2900 75
EPV HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 74
ROIC Compounder HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$0.1100 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2900 75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.1300 HK$0.6800 HK$0.9400 64
Lynch FV HK$0.1900 HK$0.2700 HK$0.3500 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2700 HK$0.3500 57
EPV HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.2900 HK$0.3900 HK$0.4900 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0800 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.1700 HK$0.2300 HK$0.2800 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.0200 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 63
EV/EBITDA HK$0.0200 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 64
EV/Revenue n/a HK$0.0200 HK$0.0400 46
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) n/a HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.0900 HK$0.1200 HK$0.2000 68
ROIC Compounder HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.2800 HK$0.4000 HK$0.5100 68

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 56
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 40
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 38
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 12
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 9
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 41
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.5% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +86.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +86.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−4% → 15%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 18.3%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2023 (starting value 0.001 per share, median 0.049 in 2018 to 2021). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2026 sits 199% above its own trend.

1539 screens overvalued: fair value 35% below the price. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 564 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −34.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 27.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 56.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 19.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −30.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 14.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 3.54× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 8.46× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 55.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 66
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 300750 ¥254.22 ¥648.35 +155% vs 1539
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥81.97 ¥182.32 +122% vs 1539
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥23.86 ¥29.39 +23% vs 1539
Vertiv Holdings VRT $182.86 $178.64 −2% vs 1539
Prysmian S.p.A PRY €101.00 €64.29 −36% vs 1539
Legrand SA LR €129.65 €82.49 −36% vs 1539
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 66.98 CHF 29.62 −56% vs 1539
Samsung SDI Co 006400 468,000 KRW 153,766 KRW −67% vs 1539
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company DELTA 177.00 THB 39.14 THB −78% vs 1539
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 337,500 KRW 53,325 KRW −84% vs 1539

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Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1539

Frequently asked questions

Is Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1800 versus a price of HK$0.2750, about 35% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1539?
Our model-based fair value for Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is HK$0.1800 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2750.
What is the quality score of 1539?
Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1800 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1100, optimistic scenario HK$0.2900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1800, about 35% lower versus a price of HK$0.2750 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1100, optimistic scenario HK$0.2900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$119M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd it is HK$0.1800 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2750. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 1539 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2750, fair value HK$0.1800, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1539?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2750); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1800). For Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd the two are HK$0.0950 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd worth?
The market values Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd at about HK$1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2750; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1539?
Our models span a range for Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1100, base HK$0.1800, optimistic HK$0.2900 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price HK$0.2750). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1539?
Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.3 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.1800 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 15.1. Other multiples: P/B 3.5, P/S 8.5, EV/EBITDA 55.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
Balance-sheet figures for Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 27.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1539 from its 52-week high?
Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd trades at HK$0.2750, about 33% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4100 and 11% above the low of HK$0.2470 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price HK$0.2750, calculated fair value HK$0.1800 (−35%), Quality Score 39/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1539 calculated?
We run Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd through 15 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.1800 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was HK$0.2750. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1800, about 35% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd right now?
Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.1100 to HK$0.2900). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539) come from?
Earnings per share at Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd grew −21.3 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −22.2 %, EBIT margin −11.4 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +13.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
The market capitalisation of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is HK$1.0B (≈ $128M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is 8.01 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
Earnings per share at Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd are HK$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
The net margin of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is 56.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is 27.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
The operating margin of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is 19.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
Revenue at Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is growing −30.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539)?
Earnings per share at Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd are growing +174% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539) generate?
The free cash flow of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is −HK$38.1M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd (1539) carry?
The net debt of Synergy Group Holdings International Ltd is HK$133M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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