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1583 (1583) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · Market cap HK$656M

1 1583 1583 · HK
PriceHK$0.8700
Fair ValueHK$0.5400
Upside-37.9%
Quality42/100
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Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.5300 – HK$0.5400

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated today

Share price −14.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$1.54 HK$0.8700 Fair Value HK$0.5400 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.8700 – HK$1.54 · fair‑value band HK$0.5300 – HK$0.5400 · the HK$0.8700 price screens above the HK$0.5400 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1583 (1583) currently trades at HK$0.8700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5400 — implying the stock looks roughly 37.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, 1583 generated revenue of HK$911M at a net margin of -0.3%. Revenue declined 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$381M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$911M
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.8%
Net margin -0.3%
Return on equity -0.2%
Free cash flow −HK$59.9M FY2025
Operating margin -7.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0300
Dividend yield 3.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -33.6%
Net cash HK$381M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1583 reported revenue of HK$911M in FY2025 versus HK$860M in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$2.2M in FY2025.

Revenue +1.5%/yr
FY21 HK$860M
FY22 HK$958M
FY23 HK$982M
FY24 HK$996M
FY25 HK$911M
Net income
FY21 −HK$80.9M
FY22 −HK$1.4M
FY23 −HK$2.0M
FY24 HK$21.1M
FY25 −HK$2.2M

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Similar stocks

6 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN CHF 93,100 CHF 9,646 -90%
MDLZ MDLZ 1,104 MXN 595.39 MXN -46%
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ34 R$155.98 R$17.37 -89%
The Hershey Company HSY $170.89 $125.13 -27%
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,150 CHF 721.36 -37%
ORION Corp 271560 132,600 KRW 184,578 KRW +39%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1583 (1583) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.5400 versus a price of HK$0.8700 — about −38% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 1583?
Our model-based fair value for 1583 is HK$0.5400 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.8700.
What is the quality score of 1583?
1583 has a Quality Score of 42/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 1583 (1583)?
1583 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$911M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1583?
The net profit margin of 1583 is about -0.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does 1583 pay a dividend?
1583 currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.45% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.