Qinqin Foodstuffs Group Cayman Co Ltd (1583) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$656M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +20.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.5400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.5300 to HK$0.5400), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.6077 – HK$2.23 · fair‑value band HK$0.5300 – HK$0.5400 · the HK$1.07 price screens above the HK$0.5400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Qinqin Foodstuffs Group Cayman Co Ltd (1583) currently trades at HK$1.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5400, implying the stock looks roughly 49.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Qinqin Foodstuffs Group Cayman Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$911M at a net margin of -0.3%. Revenue declined 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$381M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.5300 (bear case) to HK$0.5400 (bull case); at HK$1.07, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -37% fair-value upside, at -50%, 1583 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.07) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.1700). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Qinqin Foodstuffs Group (Cayman) Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in manufacturing, distribution, and sale of food and snacks products in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Jelly Products; Crackers and Chips; Seasoning Products; and Confectionery and Other Products segments.
Full company description
Qinqin Foodstuffs Group (Cayman) Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in manufacturing, distribution, and sale of food and snacks products in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Jelly Products; Crackers and Chips; Seasoning Products; and Confectionery and Other Products segments. The company offers jelly products, crackers and chips, seasoning products, rice wine, confectionery, sesame candy, chocolate, dried fruits, nuts, biscuits, bakery, dried meat, vegetarian snacks, and other food and snacks products under the Qinqin, Shangerry, and A Snack Shop brands. It also manufactures, sells, and distributes food and beverage products. In addition, it is involved in trading and online trading activities. Qinqin Foodstuffs Group (Cayman) Company Limited was founded in 1990 and is based in Jinjiang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Qinqin Foodstuffs Group Cayman Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$911M in FY2025 versus HK$860M in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$2.2M in FY2025.
1583 screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG →
Peer Group
Confectioners · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 94,500 | CHF 9,669 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $61.78 | $27.36 | -56% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $184.23 | $91.25 | -50% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,136 | CHF 711.91 | -37% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 132,800 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +53% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥20.48 | ¥9.09 | -56% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 54.85 | kr 59.12 | +8% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹604.70 | ₹304.54 | -50% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,295 IDR | 1,140 IDR | -12% |
| ORION Holdings 001800 | 26,850 KRW | 42,237 KRW | +57% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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