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Mondelez International, Inc (MDLZ34) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · BR · Market cap R$413B

MI Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ34 · SA
PriceR$155.98
Fair ValueR$17.37
Upside-88.9%
Quality59/100
Evidence: High Range R$10.37 – R$23.62

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Share price −0.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

R$198.71 R$142.48 Fair Value R$17.37 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range R$142.48 – R$198.71 · fair‑value band R$10.37 – R$23.62 · the R$155.98 price screens above the R$17.37 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Mondelez International, Inc (MDLZ34) currently trades at R$155.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$17.37 — implying the stock looks roughly 88.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Mondelez International, Inc generated revenue of R$39.3B at a net margin of 6.6%. Revenue grew 8.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. Net debt stands at R$19.1B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$39.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.2%
Net margin 6.6%
Return on equity 10.2%
Free cash flow R$3.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 31.4
More key figures
Operating margin 9.3%
EPS (TTM) R$5.12
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +41.3%
Net debt R$19.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Mondelez International, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and sells snack food and beverage products in Latin America, North America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. The company provides biscuits and baked snacks, including cookies, crackers, salted snacks, snack bars, and cakes and pastries; chocolates; and gums and candies, as well as various cheese, grocery, and powdered beverage products. Its brand portfolio includes Oreo, Ritz, LU, CLIF Bar, Tate's Bake Shop biscuits and baked snacks, Cadbury Dairy Milk, Milka, and Toblerone chocolate. It serves supermarket chains, wholesalers, supercenters, club stores, mass merchandisers, distributors, convenience stores, gasoline stations, drug stores, value stores, and other retail food outlets through direct store delivery, company-owned and satellite warehouses, distribution centers, third-party distributors, and other facilities, as well as through independent sales offices and agents. The company also …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Mondelez International, Inc reported revenue of R$38.5B in FY2025 versus R$28.7B in FY2021, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was R$2.5B in FY2025, compounding −13.1%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +7.6%/yr
FY21 R$28.7B
FY22 R$31.5B
FY23 R$36.0B
FY24 R$36.4B
FY25 R$38.5B
Net income −13.1%/yr
FY21 R$4.3B
FY22 R$2.7B
FY23 R$5.0B
FY24 R$4.6B
FY25 R$2.5B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

6 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN CHF 93,100 CHF 9,646 -90%
MDLZ MDLZ 1,104 MXN 661.45 MXN -40%
The Hershey Company HSY $176.61 $126.21 -29%
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,203 CHF 1,187 -1%
ORION Corp 271560 130,100 KRW 203,315 KRW +56%
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB $39.50 $51.08 +29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mondelez International, Inc (MDLZ34) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$17.37 versus a price of R$155.98 — about −89% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of MDLZ34?
Our model-based fair value for Mondelez International, Inc is R$17.37 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$155.98.
What is the quality score of MDLZ34?
Mondelez International, Inc has a Quality Score of 59/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Mondelez International, Inc (MDLZ34)?
Mondelez International, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$39.3B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MDLZ34?
The net profit margin of Mondelez International, Inc is about 6.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Mondelez International, Inc pay a dividend?
Mondelez International, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.26% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.