Mondelez International, Inc (MDLZ34) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Mondelez International, Inc BRL 24.50, price BRL 50.80, upside -51.8%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Mondelez International, Inc
MDLZ34 · SAStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$37.51 – R$181.10 · fair‑value band R$14.17 – R$39.04 · the R$50.80 price screens above the R$24.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
Mondelez International, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and sells snack food and beverage products in Latin America, North America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe.
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Mondelez International, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and sells snack food and beverage products in Latin America, North America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. The company provides biscuits and baked snacks, including cookies, crackers, salted snacks, snack bars, and cakes and pastries; chocolates; and gums and candies, as well as various cheese, grocery, and powdered beverage products. Its brand portfolio includes Oreo, Ritz, LU, CLIF Bar, Tate's Bake Shop biscuits and baked snacks, Cadbury Dairy Milk, Milka, and Toblerone chocolate. It serves supermarket chains, wholesalers, supercenters, club stores, mass merchandisers, distributors, convenience stores, gasoline stations, drug stores, value stores, and other retail food outlets through direct store delivery, company-owned and satellite warehouses, distribution centers, third-party distributors, and other facilities, as well as through independent sales offices and agents. The company also sells products directly to businesses and consumers through e-retail platforms, retailer digital platforms, as well as through its direct-to-consumer websites and social media platforms. Mondelez International, Inc. was formerly known as Kraft Foods Inc. and changed its name to Mondelez International, Inc. in October 2012. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
Stock analysis
Mondelez International, Inc (MDLZ34) currently trades at R$50.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$24.50, 51.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R$31.59 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the R$50.80 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at R$10.22, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: R$14.17 (bear) to R$39.04 (bull), the price of R$50.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Mondelez International, Inc reported revenue of $38.5B in FY2025 versus $28.7B in FY2021, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was $2.5B in FY2025, compounding −13.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$384B (≈ $73.5B) · P/E ratio 28.6 · P/S ratio 1.82 · EPS (TTM) R$5.23 · Dividend yield 3.9% · Net margin 6.4% · Return on equity 10.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −52%, MDLZ34 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
MDLZ34 screens overvalued: fair value 52% below the price. Compare with The Hershey Company →
Recent news
- Is Mondelez (MDLZ) Quietly Rewiring Its Supply Chain Strategy Through Canadian Farms And Toblerone?
- MONDELEZ CANADA INVESTS IN CANADIAN FARMERS TO STRENGTHEN AGRICULTURAL SUPPLY CHAINS AND ADVANCE REGENERATIVE AGRICULTURE
- Can Mondelez Sustain Growth Momentum Across Gum and Candy?
Compare Mondelez International, Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Context: sector, industry, market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Hershey Company HSY | $161.41 | $90.80 | −44% |
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISP | CHF 7,540 | CHF 11,708 | +55% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,062 | CHF 654.80 | −38% |
| Cofco Sugar Holding 600737 | ¥14.75 | ¥10.01 | −32% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 106,900 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +90% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.00 | $21.64 | −45% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥18.76 | ¥8.53 | −55% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹649.05 | ₹160.97 | −75% |
| ORION Holdings 001800 | 23,000 KRW | 51,062 KRW | +122% |
| Guan Chong Berhad, 5102 | 1.29 MYR | 2.54 MYR | +97% |
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Key figures of Mondelez International, Inc
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