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Star Sports Medicine Co (1609) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$8.5B

SS Star Sports Medicine Co 1609 · HK
PriceHK$129.30
Fair ValueHK$51.20
Upside-60.4%
Quality74/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 34.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: High Range HK$38.92 – HK$63.48 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 5, 2026, revised from HK$54.81 to HK$51.20 (−6.6%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price −22.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 60% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$63.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 months)

HK$218.40 HK$113.00 Fair Value HK$51.20 May 2026 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

3‑month range HK$113.00 – HK$218.40 · fair‑value band HK$38.92 – HK$63.48 · the HK$129.30 price screens above the HK$51.20 fair value. As of Aug 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Star Sports Medicine Co (1609) currently trades at HK$129.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$51.20, implying the stock looks roughly 60.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Star Sports Medicine Co generated revenue of HK$403M at a net margin of 34.0%. It earns a return on equity of 25.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 53.8. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$38.92 (bear case) to HK$63.48 (bull case); at HK$129.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -60%, 1609 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$35.26 HK$65.51 HK$114.23 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$20.33 HK$32.50 HK$57.02 74
ROIC Compounder HK$30.72 HK$47.49 HK$60.76 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$37.43 HK$56.67 HK$116.64 38
Owner Earnings HK$33.63 HK$72.36 HK$150.67 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$19.30 HK$28.59 HK$47.73 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$35.39 HK$61.12 HK$111.56 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$41.03 HK$90.34 HK$157.68 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$24.63 HK$43.76 HK$53.40 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$36.51 HK$77.62 HK$148.82 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$40.53 HK$89.48 HK$170.22 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$16.99 HK$118.46 HK$166.24 54
Lynch FV HK$53.16 HK$75.94 HK$98.72 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$53.16 HK$75.94 HK$98.72 46
EPV HK$23.20 HK$26.58 HK$29.50 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$39.34 HK$52.46 HK$65.57 63
P/S Multiple HK$11.02 HK$14.69 HK$18.36 58
P/B Multiple HK$31.85 HK$42.47 HK$53.08 55
EV/EBIT HK$39.81 HK$52.48 HK$65.15 53
EV/EBITDA HK$33.50 HK$44.07 HK$54.64 54
EV/Revenue HK$11.04 HK$15.01 HK$18.98 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$5.56 HK$7.45 HK$11.11 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$35.26 HK$65.51 HK$114.23 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$20.33 HK$32.50 HK$57.02 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$16.16 HK$21.66 HK$104.36 61
ROIC Compounder HK$30.72 HK$47.49 HK$60.76 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$71.46 HK$102.09 HK$132.71 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$102.09) versus Asset-Based (HK$7.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$403M
Net margin 34.0%
Return on equity 25.4%
Free cash flow HK$123M FY2025
P/E ratio 53.8
Operating margin 7.5%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 2

Profitability 76
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 21
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 5
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Star Sports Medicine Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets clinical products and solutions for sports medicine in China. The company offers medical implant, such as bioabsorbable suture anchor, includes all-suture anchor, PEEK suture anchor, and carbon fiber reinforced PEEK suture anchor; interference screws and sheath fixation system, bioabsorbable …

Full company description

Star Sports Medicine Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets clinical products and solutions for sports medicine in China. The company offers medical implant, such as bioabsorbable suture anchor, includes all-suture anchor, PEEK suture anchor, and carbon fiber reinforced PEEK suture anchor; interference screws and sheath fixation system, bioabsorbable interference screw, bioabsorbable interference screws and sheath fixation system, PEEK screws and sheath fixation system, and PEEK composite interference screw; suture buttons and high-strength sutures, such as adjustable suture button, fixed suture button, ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene(UHMWPE) suture; meniscus repair systems, all-suture meniscus repair system, accurFix all-inside meniscus repair system, and multi-needle and flexible meniscus repair system. The surgical equipment and associated medical consumables, includes plasma RF ablation equipment, arthroscopic surgical shaver, arthroscopic camera system, and disposable shaver blade plasma electrode. Its other products includes disposable PRP preparation kit, desktop centrifuge. The company also provides biomaterial platform, imaging and dynamic platform, intelligent medicine platform, and tissue engineering platform. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Star Sports Medicine Co reported revenue of HK$403M in FY2025 versus HK$147M in FY2022, a compound +40.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$137M in FY2025, compounding +50.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$403M
Latest YoY
+23.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+40.1%
Revenue +40.1%/yr
FY22 HK$147M
FY23 HK$239M
FY24 HK$327M
FY25 HK$403M
Net income +50.3%/yr
FY22 HK$40.3M
FY23 HK$57.1M
FY24 HK$95.4M
FY25 HK$137M

1609 screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Star Sports Medicine Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1609

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 352 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −60% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 53.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 13.95× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 21.10× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 58.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 29
PAST 100 · sector 8
HEALTH 98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Star Sports Medicine Co (1609) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$51.20 versus a price of HK$129.30, about −60% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1609?
Our model-based fair value for Star Sports Medicine Co is HK$51.20 (as of Aug 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$129.30.
What is the quality score of 1609?
Star Sports Medicine Co has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Star Sports Medicine Co (1609)?
Star Sports Medicine Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$403M (latest available figure, as of Aug 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1609?
The net profit margin of Star Sports Medicine Co is about 34.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 34.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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