China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd HK$0.22, price HK$0.42, upside -46.8%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1874 – HK$2.46 · fair‑value band HK$0.1445 – HK$0.2720 · the HK$0.4150 price screens above the HK$0.2210 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow China Shenghai Food Holdings Company in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether China Shenghai Food Holdings Company is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Gaodi Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the packaging and sale of food products, and food and beverage business in the People's Republic of China. The company was formerly known as China Shenghai Group Limited and changed its name to Gaodi Holdings Limited in March 2024.
Show more
Gaodi Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the packaging and sale of food products, and food and beverage business in the People's Republic of China. The company was formerly known as China Shenghai Group Limited and changed its name to Gaodi Holdings Limited in March 2024. Gaodi Holdings Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Quanzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676) currently trades at HK$0.4150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2210, 46.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1445 (bear) to HK$0.2720 (bull), the price of HK$0.4150 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd reported revenue of HK$492M in FY2025 versus HK$86.5M in FY2021, a compound +54.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$107M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$84.1M (≈ $10.7M) · P/S ratio 0.11 · Net margin −21.7% · Return on equity −93.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −38.1% · Operating margin −19.4% · Revenue (TTM) HK$505M · Revenue growth (YoY) +38.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 121% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −47%, 1676 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.1445Fair Value HK$0.2210Bull HK$0.2720
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.0% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−18.6% (2020) → −20.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 645 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−46.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−31.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−21.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−19.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth38.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.40× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.13× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.02× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)80· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1676
Frequently asked questions
Is China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2210 versus a price of HK$0.4150, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1676?
Our model-based fair value for China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd is HK$0.2210 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.4150.
What is the quality score of 1676?
China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2210 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1445, optimistic scenario HK$0.2720. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2210, about −47% upside versus a price of HK$0.4150 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1445, optimistic scenario HK$0.2720. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676)?
China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$505M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd it is HK$0.2210 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.4150. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1676 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.4150, fair value HK$0.2210, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1676?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.4150); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2210). For China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd the two are HK$0.1940 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd worth?
The market values China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd at about HK$84.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.4150; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2210 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1676?
Our models span a range for China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1445, base HK$0.2210, optimistic HK$0.2720 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.4150). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −93.7%, debt of 0.40 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1676 from its 52-week high?
China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd trades at HK$0.4150, about 39% below its 52-week high of HK$0.6798 and 121% above the low of HK$0.1874 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2210 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.4150, calculated fair value HK$0.2210 (−47%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1676 calculated?
We run China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2210, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.4150. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2210, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2720). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1445 to HK$0.2720) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676)?
The market capitalisation of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd is HK$84.1M (≈ $10.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd is 0.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676)?
The net margin of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd is −21.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd is −93.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd is −38.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676)?
The operating margin of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd is −19.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676)?
Revenue at China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd is growing +38.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676)?
Earnings per share at China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd are growing −95.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676) generate?
The free cash flow of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd is −HK$12.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd (1676) carry?
The net debt of China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd is HK$31.3M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts China Shenghai Food Holdings Company Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
