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Shandong International Trust (1697) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$1.3B

SI Shandong International Trust 1697 · HK
PriceHK$0.2340
Fair ValueHK$0.4700
Upside+100.9%
Quality48/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.3% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.3530 – HK$0.5880 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.2300 to HK$0.4700 (+104.3%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −14.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 101% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3530). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.8000 HK$0.2300 Fair Value HK$0.4700 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2300 – HK$0.8000 · fair‑value band HK$0.3530 – HK$0.5880 · the HK$0.2340 price screens below the HK$0.4700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Shandong International Trust (1697) currently trades at HK$0.2340, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4700, implying the stock looks roughly 100.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong International Trust generated revenue of HK$663M at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue declined 79.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$157M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3530 (bear case) to HK$0.5880 (bull case); at HK$0.2340, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 101%, 1697 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple HK$1.54 HK$2.05 HK$2.56 55
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.21 HK$1.62 HK$2.41 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple HK$1.54 HK$2.05 HK$2.56 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.21 HK$1.62 HK$2.41 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$2.05) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.62). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$663M
Revenue growth (YoY) -79.5%
Net margin 8.3%
Return on equity 0.5%
Free cash flow −HK$242M FY2025
P/E ratio 28.0 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin -208%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0400
EPS growth (YoY) -1.8%
Net cash HK$157M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shandong International Trust Co., Ltd., a non-bank financial institution, provides various trust services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Trust Business and Proprietary Business segments.

Full company description

Shandong International Trust Co., Ltd., a non-bank financial institution, provides various trust services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Trust Business and Proprietary Business segments. The company offers private equity investment banking services to various enterprises and institutions and asset and wealth management services to institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals. It also provides administrative services to the trustors through administrative management trusts, as well as wealth planning, intergenerational inheritance, custody, bankruptcy isolation, and risk disposal services. In addition, the company invests its assets in various types of equity products, such as listed stocks and mutual funds, as well as wealth management products. Shandong International Trust Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Jinan, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shandong International Trust reported revenue of HK$650M in FY2025 versus HK$568M in FY2021, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$53.7M in FY2025, compounding −41.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$650M
Latest YoY
+27.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.0%
Revenue +3.4%/yr
FY21 HK$568M
FY22 HK$852M
FY23 HK$926M
FY24 HK$510M
FY25 HK$650M
Net income −41.8%/yr
FY21 HK$469M
FY22 HK$280M
FY23 HK$159M
FY24 HK$143M
FY25 HK$53.7M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −20.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share −8.1 pp

of which total revenue −8.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −4.4 pp
Tax rate −2.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −5.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong International Trust Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1697

Peer Group

Asset Management · 695 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +101% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Revenue growth -80% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.12× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.97× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 14
PAST 2 · sector 25
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 72 · sector 86

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,161 $465.75 -60%
Blackstone Inc BX $146.41 $52.88 -64%
Investor AB INVEB kr 417.90 kr 835.80 +100%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 544.00 kr 375.93 -31%
ICICIAMC ICICIAMC ₹3,077 ₹1,132 -63%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹256.05 ₹171.84 -33%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 321.44 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹11,579 ₹11,257 -3%
HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC ₹2,490 ₹866.78 -65%
Nippon Life Asset Management Limited NAMINDIA ₹1,182 ₹311.00 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong International Trust (1697) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4700 versus a price of HK$0.2340, about +101% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1697?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong International Trust is HK$0.4700 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2340.
What is the quality score of 1697?
Shandong International Trust has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shandong International Trust (1697)?
Shandong International Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$663M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1697?
The net profit margin of Shandong International Trust is about 8.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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