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Xinte Energy Co (1799) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$5.7B

XE Xinte Energy Co 1799 · HK
PriceHK$4.45
Fair ValueHK$8.17
Upside+83.6%
Quality37/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -7.9% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 2/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$2.62 – HK$13.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from HK$8.08 to HK$8.17 (+1.1%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price +9.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 84% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$2.62 to HK$13.73). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$27.05 HK$3.70 Fair Value HK$8.17 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$3.70 – HK$27.05 · fair‑value band HK$2.62 – HK$13.73 · the HK$4.45 price screens below the HK$8.17 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Xinte Energy Co (1799) currently trades at HK$4.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$8.17, implying the stock looks roughly 83.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Xinte Energy Co generated revenue of HK$15.3B at a net margin of -7.9%. Revenue declined 16.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.7%. Net debt stands at HK$20.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$2.62 (bear case) to HK$13.73 (bull case); at HK$4.45, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 84%, 1799 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM HK$4.55 HK$6.77 HK$9.05 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$4.55 HK$6.41 HK$8.44 61
EV/EBITDA HK$6.63 HK$11.44 HK$16.24 54
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$4.55 HK$6.77 HK$9.05 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$4.55 HK$6.41 HK$8.44 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$6.63 HK$11.44 HK$16.24 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$11.00 HK$14.75 HK$22.01 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$14.75) versus Dividend Discount (HK$6.41). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$15.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) -16.1%
Net margin -7.9%
Return on equity -3.7%
Free cash flow −HK$7.6B FY2025
Operating margin -15.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.1800
EPS growth (YoY) -15.3%
Net debt HK$20.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Xinte Energy Co., Ltd. engages in the construction of wind power and PV power plants in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through Polysilicon; Construction of Wind Power and PV Power Plants; Operation of Wind Power and PV Power Plants; Electrical Equipment; and Others segment.

Full company description

Xinte Energy Co., Ltd. engages in the construction of wind power and PV power plants in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through Polysilicon; Construction of Wind Power and PV Power Plants; Operation of Wind Power and PV Power Plants; Electrical Equipment; and Others segment. The company engages in the development, construction, and operation of wind power and PV power plants; research, development, production, and sale of high-purity polysilicon; and research, development, manufacture, and sale of electrical equipment, including inverters, static VAR generators, energy-saving and energy storage equipment, and flexible direct current transmission converter valves. It also provides aerated blocks, zirconium-based new materials, and flexible direct current power transmission and distribution products; electric power design services; and inspection and testing services. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Urumqi, the People's Republic of China. Xinte Energy Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of TBEA Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xinte Energy Co reported revenue of HK$15.3B in FY2025 versus HK$22.5B in FY2021, a compound −9.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.2B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 2/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$15.3B
Latest YoY
−28.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−25.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.9%
Revenue −9.3%/yr
FY21 HK$22.5B
FY22 HK$36.8B
FY23 HK$30.8B
FY24 HK$21.2B
FY25 HK$15.3B
Net income
FY21 HK$5.0B
FY22 HK$13.3B
FY23 HK$4.3B
FY24 −HK$3.9B
FY25 −HK$1.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xinte Energy Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1799

Peer Group

Solar · 118 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Below median
Fair Value upside +84% · Top 25%
Return on assets -1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -16% · Below median
Revenue growth -16% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.65× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 18
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 68 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 14

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
First Solar, Inc FSLR $221.03 $284.45 +29%
Nextpower Inc NXT $111.50 $69.61 -38%
Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER ₹2,923 ₹3,613 +24%
Tongwei Co 600438 ¥13.08 ¥12.13 -7%
Jinko Solar Co 688223 ¥4.39 ¥4.75 +8%
Hengdian Group 002056 ¥21.64 ¥22.76 +5%
CSI Solar Co 688472 ¥10.11 ¥7.01 -31%
Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH $44.83 $22.20 -50%
Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE ₹1,086 ₹912.32 -16%
Trina Solar Co 688599 ¥12.98 ¥7.97 -39%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xinte Energy Co (1799) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$8.17 versus a price of HK$4.45, about +84% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1799?
Our model-based fair value for Xinte Energy Co is HK$8.17 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$4.45.
What is the quality score of 1799?
Xinte Energy Co has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Xinte Energy Co (1799)?
Xinte Energy Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$15.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1799?
The net profit margin of Xinte Energy Co is about -7.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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