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Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Xinte Energy Co Ltd HK$6.07, price HK$3.51, upside +72.9%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? No
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Technology · HK · Home China · ISIN CNE1000023G9

XE Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Xinte Energy Co Ltd

1799 · HK

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value HK$6.07 · Strongly undervalued (+73%)

!Quality 37/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.5 %/yr)

!Loss-making · -7.9% net margin (TTM)

!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow

!Mixed vs. peers (6/11)

!Narrow moat 2/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!The models disagree: range HK$1.21 to HK$11.68

26 models, one by oneBear HK$1.21 to bull HK$11.68 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 37/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$3.49 – HK$27.05 · fair‑value band HK$1.21 – HK$11.68 · the HK$3.51 price screens below the HK$6.07 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Xinte Energy Co., Ltd. engages in the construction of wind power and PV power plants in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through Polysilicon; Construction of Wind Power and PV Power Plants; Operation of Wind Power and PV Power Plants; Electrical Equipment; and Others segment. The company engages in the development, construction, and operation of wind power and PV power plants; research, development, production, and sale of high-purity polysilicon; and research, development, manufacture, and sale of electrical equipment, including inverters, static VAR generators, energy-saving and energy storage equipment, and flexible direct current transmission converter valves. It also provides aerated blocks, zirconium-based new materials, and flexible direct current power transmission and distribution products; electric power design services; and inspection and testing services. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Urumqi, the People's Republic of China. Xinte Energy Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of TBEA Co., Ltd.

Stock analysis

Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799) currently trades at HK$3.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$6.07, implying the stock looks roughly 42.2% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$14.75 per share, and 4 of the 4 models we run sit above the HK$3.51 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$5.44, and 0 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$1.21 (bear) to HK$11.68 (bull), the price of HK$3.51 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Xinte Energy Co Ltd reported revenue of 15.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 22.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −9.3%/yr. Reported net income was −1.2B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$5.7B (≈ $729M) · P/S ratio 0.37 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.1800 · Dividend yield 12.9% · Net margin −7.9% · Return on equity −3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9% · Operating margin −15.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 73%, 1799 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.21 Fair Value HK$6.07 Bull HK$11.68

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

Gordon GGM HK$4.02 HK$5.69 HK$7.23 69

DDM Multi-Stage HK$4.02 HK$5.44 HK$6.85 67

EV/EBITDA HK$6.63 HK$11.44 HK$16.24 65

All 4 models by family

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM HK$4.02 HK$5.69 HK$7.23 69

DDM Multi-Stage HK$4.02 HK$5.44 HK$6.85 67

Multiples

EV/EBITDA HK$6.63 HK$11.44 HK$16.24 65

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$11.00 HK$14.75 HK$22.01 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 5

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 43

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 28

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 36

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 65

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 53

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 15

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 0

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 2/100

Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Revenue growth 1 year

−28.1%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−25.5%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+1.5%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.9% a year

Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+15.9%

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

6.3% (2020) → −6.6% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

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Compare Xinte Energy Co Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Solar · 113 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 37 · Below median

Fair Value upside +68% · Top 25%

Profitability

Return on assets −1% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) −8% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) −16% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −16% · Below median

Dividend yield (TTM) 12.9% · Top 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.65× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Solar median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.05× · Cheapest 25%

EV/EBITDA 8.5× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 23

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0

HEALTH (low debt)68 · sector 81

DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 30

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Tongwei Co 600438	¥11.58	¥12.13	+5%
Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER	₹2,512	₹2,709	+8%
Jinko Solar Co 688223	¥3.85	¥6.47	+68%
Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH	$34.42	$24.15	−30%
CSI Solar Co 688472	¥8.53	¥4.82	−43%
Hengdian Group 002056	¥20.33	¥31.86	+57%
Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE	₹915.00	₹648.94	−29%
Trina Solar Co 688599	¥11.20	¥31.67	+183%

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Xinte Energy Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$6.07 +42%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1799" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Xinte Energy Co Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$6.07</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+42%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xinte Energy Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1799

Frequently asked questions

Is Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$6.07 versus a price of HK$3.51, about +73% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 1799?

Our model-based fair value for Xinte Energy Co Ltd is HK$6.07 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$3.51.

What is the quality score of 1799?

Xinte Energy Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$6.07 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.21, optimistic scenario HK$11.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Xinte Energy Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$6.07, about +73% upside versus a price of HK$3.51 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.21, optimistic scenario HK$11.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799)?

Xinte Energy Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 15.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

Does Xinte Energy Co Ltd pay a dividend?

Xinte Energy Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 12.95% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xinte Energy Co Ltd it is HK$6.07 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$3.51. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Xinte Energy Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, 1799 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$3.51, fair value HK$6.07, a gap of about +73% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 1799?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$3.51); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$6.07). For Xinte Energy Co Ltd the two are HK$2.56 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Xinte Energy Co Ltd worth?

The market values Xinte Energy Co Ltd at about HK$5.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$3.51; our models calculate a fair value of HK$6.07 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1799?

Our models span a range for Xinte Energy Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.21, base HK$6.07, optimistic HK$11.68 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$3.51). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799)?

Balance-sheet figures for Xinte Energy Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −3.7%, debt of 0.65 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 1799 from its 52-week high?

Xinte Energy Co Ltd trades at HK$3.51, about 61% below its 52-week high of HK$9.01 and 1% above the low of HK$3.49 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$6.07 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Xinte Energy Co Ltd?

From the same area (Technology) we also value First Solar, Inc, Nextpower Inc, Tongwei Co, Waaree Energies Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Xinte Energy Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$3.51, calculated fair value HK$6.07 (+73%), Quality Score 37/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 1799 calculated?

We run Xinte Energy Co Ltd through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$6.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Xinte Energy Co Ltd currently trades 73 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799)?

The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$3.51. Our model-based fair value is HK$6.07, about +73% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Xinte Energy Co Ltd right now?

The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (HK$1.21 to HK$11.68). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Xinte Energy Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799)?

The market capitalisation of Xinte Energy Co Ltd is HK$5.7B (≈ $729M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Xinte Energy Co Ltd is 0.37 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799)?

Earnings per share at Xinte Energy Co Ltd are HK$−0.1800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799)?

The dividend yield of Xinte Energy Co Ltd is 12.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799)?

The net margin of Xinte Energy Co Ltd is −7.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Xinte Energy Co Ltd is −3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xinte Energy Co Ltd is 6.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799)?

The operating margin of Xinte Energy Co Ltd is −15.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799)?

Revenue at Xinte Energy Co Ltd is growing −16.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −25.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799)?

Earnings per share at Xinte Energy Co Ltd are growing −15.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799) generate?

The free cash flow of Xinte Energy Co Ltd is −7.6B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Xinte Energy Co Ltd (1799) carry?

The net debt of Xinte Energy Co Ltd is 20.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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