Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd HK$0.36, price HK$0.26, upside +37.3%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2310 – HK$47.00 · fair‑value band HK$0.2720 – HK$0.4505 · the HK$0.2600 price screens below the HK$0.3570 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Confidence Intelligence Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides electronic manufacturing services in the People's Republic of China.
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Confidence Intelligence Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides electronic manufacturing services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers assembling and production services of printed circuit board assembly (PCBAs) that integrate research, designing, selection, and procurement of raw materials, assembling of PCBAs, quality control, testing, logistics, and aftersales services. Its products are used in electronic end products for telecommunication devices, IoT products, and automotive related devices. Confidence Intelligence Holdings Limited was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967) currently trades at HK$0.2600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3570, implying the stock looks roughly 27.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$1.19 per share, and 10 of the 13 models we run sit above the HK$0.2600 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1800, and 3 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.2720 (bear) to HK$0.4505 (bull), the price of HK$0.2600 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd reported revenue of 267M CNY in FY2025 versus 354M CNY in FY2021, a compound −6.8%/yr. Reported net income was 3.9M CNY in FY2025, compounding −14.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$90.0M (≈ $11.5M) · P/E ratio 15.0 · P/S ratio 0.22 · Net margin 1.5% · Return on equity 1.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.5% · Operating margin 0.5% · Revenue (TTM) 267M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −56% fair-value upside, at 37%, 1967 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.2720Fair Value HK$0.3570Bull HK$0.4505
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−21.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−21.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−21.4% vs −20.6%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 1%
Compare Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 639 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside+37.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1.9% · Below median
Return on assets0.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
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Is Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3570 versus a price of HK$0.2600, about +37% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1967?
Our model-based fair value for Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd is HK$0.3570 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2600.
What is the quality score of 1967?
Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3570 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2720, optimistic scenario HK$0.4505. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3570, about +37% upside versus a price of HK$0.2600 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2720, optimistic scenario HK$0.4505. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967)?
Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 267M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd it is HK$0.3570 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2600. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1967 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2600, fair value HK$0.3570, a gap of about +37% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1967?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3570). For Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd the two are HK$0.0970 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd worth?
The market values Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd at about HK$90.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2600; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3570 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1967?
Our models span a range for Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2720, base HK$0.3570, optimistic HK$0.4505 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1967?
Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.3570 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 0.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967)?
Balance-sheet figures for Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 1.9%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1967 from its 52-week high?
Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd trades at HK$0.2600, about 47% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4900 and at the low of HK$0.2600 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3570 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2600, calculated fair value HK$0.3570 (+37%), Quality Score 44/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1967 calculated?
We run Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3570, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd currently trades 27 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.2600. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3570, about +37% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2720). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967)?
The market capitalisation of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd is HK$90.0M (≈ $11.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd is 0.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967)?
The net margin of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd is 1.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd is 1.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd is −0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967)?
The operating margin of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd is 0.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967)?
Revenue at Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd is growing +2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967)?
Earnings per share at Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd are growing −89.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967) generate?
The free cash flow of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd is −4.0M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967) hold?
Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd holds more cash than debt, 61.1M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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