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Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$90.0M

CI Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd 1967 · HK
PriceHK$0.2600
Fair ValueHK$0.3315
Upside+27.5%
Quality44/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 1.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 19/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.2720 – HK$0.3655 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −11.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 28% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2720). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Our model range runs from HK$0.2720 (bear) to HK$0.3655 (bull), base HK$0.3315. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$47.00 HK$0.2310 Fair Value HK$0.3315 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2310 – HK$47.00 · fair‑value band HK$0.2720 – HK$0.3655 · the HK$0.2600 price screens below the HK$0.3315 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967) currently trades at HK$0.2600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3315, implying the stock looks roughly 27.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd generated revenue of HK$267M at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue grew 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$61.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2720 (bear case) to HK$0.3655 (bull case); at HK$0.2600, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at 28%, 1967 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$0.5300 HK$0.4900 HK$0.3200 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.2300 HK$0.2400 HK$0.2400 72
Gordon GGM HK$0.2200 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3000 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$0.6700 HK$0.7800 HK$0.9600 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0900 HK$0.1500 HK$0.1900 54
EPV HK$0.2300 HK$0.2400 HK$0.2400 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.2200 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3000 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.2200 HK$0.2700 HK$0.3300 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.2700 HK$0.3600 HK$0.4500 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.1700 HK$0.2200 HK$0.2800 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.1700 HK$0.2200 HK$0.2800 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.3400 HK$0.4000 HK$0.4500 53
EV/EBITDA HK$1.41 HK$1.81 HK$2.22 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.2700 HK$0.3000 HK$0.3300 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4200 HK$0.5600 HK$0.8400 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.5300 HK$0.4900 HK$0.3200 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.2300 HK$0.2400 HK$0.2400 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.1900 HK$0.2700 HK$0.3500 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.7800) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.1500). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$267M
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.7%
Net margin 1.5%
Return on equity 1.9%
Free cash flow −HK$4.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 15.0 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -89.3%
Net cash HK$61.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 22
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 1
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 24
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Confidence Intelligence Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides electronic manufacturing services in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Confidence Intelligence Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides electronic manufacturing services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers assembling and production services of printed circuit board assembly (PCBAs) that integrate research, designing, selection, and procurement of raw materials, assembling of PCBAs, quality control, testing, logistics, and aftersales services. Its products are used in electronic end products for telecommunication devices, IoT products, and automotive related devices. Confidence Intelligence Holdings Limited was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd reported revenue of HK$267M in FY2025 versus HK$354M in FY2021, a compound −6.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$3.9M in FY2025, compounding −14.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$267M
Latest YoY
−7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Revenue −6.8%/yr
FY21 HK$354M
FY22 HK$261M
FY23 HK$264M
FY24 HK$289M
FY25 HK$267M
Net income −14.4%/yr
FY21 HK$7.2M
FY22 −HK$9.1M
FY23 −HK$23.8M
FY24 HK$1.6M
FY25 HK$3.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1967

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 645 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside +28% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 10.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.36× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.34× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 70 · sector 0
FUTURE 14 · sector 36
PAST 8 · sector 24
HEALTH 98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 26

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,790 TWD 602.37 TWD -66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 -31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW -88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥202.11 ¥21.19 -90%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥143.23 ¥36.30 -75%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥385.80 ¥125.52 -67%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$238.60 HK$75.68 -68%
Kingboard Laminates Holdings 1888 HK$38.70 HK$8.95 -77%
Asia Vital Components Co 3017 2,910 TWD 1,369 TWD -53%
Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board Corporation 8046 1,215 TWD 1,768 TWD +46%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3315 versus a price of HK$0.2600, about +28% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1967?
Our model-based fair value for Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd is HK$0.3315 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2600.
What is the quality score of 1967?
Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd (1967)?
Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$267M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1967?
The net profit margin of Confidence Intelligence Holding Ltd is about 1.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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