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Hingtex Holdings Ltd (1968) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$111M

HH Hingtex Holdings Ltd 1968 · HK
PriceHK$0.1600
Fair ValueHK$0.1100
Upside-31.3%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -14.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0700 – HK$0.1400 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −3.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 31% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0700 to HK$0.1400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.2750 HK$0.0760 Fair Value HK$0.1100 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0760 – HK$0.2750 · fair‑value band HK$0.0700 – HK$0.1400 · the HK$0.1600 price screens above the HK$0.1100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Hingtex Holdings Ltd (1968) currently trades at HK$0.1600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1100, implying the stock looks roughly 31.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hingtex Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$221M at a net margin of -14.2%. Revenue grew 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.9%. Net debt stands at HK$4.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0700 (bear case) to HK$0.1400 (bull case); at HK$0.1600, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -31%, 1968 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1600 HK$0.2200 HK$0.3300 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1600 HK$0.2200 HK$0.3300 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$221M
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.0%
Net margin -14.2%
Return on equity -13.9%
Free cash flow −HK$13.4M FY2025
Operating margin -15.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0200
EPS growth (YoY) -82.3%
Net debt HK$4.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hingtex Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of denim fabrics in Mainland China, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Hong Kong, Egypt, Indonesia, the United States, and internationally. The company also provides sizing, dyeing, and finishing services on denim fabrics.

Full company description

Hingtex Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of denim fabrics in Mainland China, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Hong Kong, Egypt, Indonesia, the United States, and internationally. The company also provides sizing, dyeing, and finishing services on denim fabrics. In addition, it is involved in the design and trading of denim fabrics. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Zhongshan, the People's Republic of China. Hingtex Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Manford Investment Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hingtex Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$221M in FY2025 versus HK$363M in FY2021, a compound −11.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$31.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 6/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$221M
Latest YoY
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.8%
Revenue −11.7%/yr
FY21 HK$363M
FY22 HK$245M
FY23 HK$163M
FY24 HK$215M
FY25 HK$221M
Net income
FY21 −HK$11.9M
FY22 −HK$50.0M
FY23 −HK$37.8M
FY24 −HK$35.0M
FY25 −HK$31.3M

1968 screens 31% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hingtex Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1968

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 320 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −31% · Below median
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -14% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -16% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 8
FUTURE 40 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$42.10 HK$68.24 +62%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥22.67 ¥14.53 -36%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.79 ¥14.35 +12%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 25.64 TWD -7%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,089 ₹467.49 -57%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥71.55 ¥11.85 -83%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹591.90 ₹437.53 -26%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 324.31 TRY +86%
Ruentex Industries Ltd 2915 54.10 TWD 133.24 TWD +146%
Welspun Living Limited WELSPUNLIV ₹165.23 ₹47.77 -71%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hingtex Holdings Ltd (1968) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1100 versus a price of HK$0.1600, about −31% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1968?
Our model-based fair value for Hingtex Holdings Ltd is HK$0.1100 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1600.
What is the quality score of 1968?
Hingtex Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hingtex Holdings Ltd (1968)?
Hingtex Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$221M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1968?
The net profit margin of Hingtex Holdings Ltd is about -14.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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