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Qiagen N.V (1QGEN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Qiagen N.V €23.66, price €40.10, upside -41.0%, quality 74 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Healthcare · IT · ISIN NL0015002CX3

QN Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Qiagen N.V

1QGEN · MI

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value €23.66 · Strongly overvalued (−41.0%)
✓Quality 74/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −0.8 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 19.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Wide moat 66/100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€46.28 €27.93 Fair Value €23.66 Dec 2023 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

34‑month range €27.93 – €46.28 · fair‑value band €16.08 – €31.71 · the €40.10 price screens above the €23.66 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Qiagen N.V. provides sample to insight solutions that transform biological samples into molecular insights worldwide.

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Qiagen N.V. provides sample to insight solutions that transform biological samples into molecular insights worldwide. The company offers sample technology consumables, such as nucleic acid stabilization and purification kits for sample materials, manual and automated processing for genotyping, gene expression, and viral and bacterial analysis, as well as silica membranes and magnetic bead technologies; secondary sample technology consumables, including kits and components for purification of nucleic acids; and instruments for nucleic acid purification, quality control, and accessories. It also provides Immune response consumables, such as interferon-gamma release assay for TB testing, and assays for post-transplant testing and viral load monitoring; oncology and sexual and reproductive health consumables, inclsuing assays for prenatal testing and detection of sexually transmitted diseases and HPV; assays for analysis of genomic variants; and sample to insight instruments, including one-step molecular analysis of hard-to-diagnose syndromes, and integrated PCR testing. The company offers research PCR consumables, such as quantitative PCR, reverse transcription, and combinations kits for analysis of gene expression, genotyping and gene regulation, and running on QIAGEN instruments and technologies; human ID/forensics assay consumables comprising short tandem repeat assays for human ID, and assays for food contamination; PCR instruments, including digital PCR and qPCR solutions; and developed and configured enzymes and PCR solutions. It offers NGS gene panels, library prep kits and components, and whole genome amplification; DNA methylation analysis; QIAGEN consumables and instruments; bioinformatics solutions; and sequence-based assays forensic genetic genealog services. it provides software-as-a-service. It serves molecular diagnostics and life sciences sectors. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Venlo, the Netherlands.

Stock analysis

Qiagen N.V (1QGEN) currently trades at €40.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €23.66, 41.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €31.11 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the €40.10 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €2.44, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €16.08 (bear) to €31.71 (bull), the price of €40.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Qiagen N.V reported revenue of $2.1B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2022, a compound −0.8%/yr. Reported net income was $425M in FY2025, compounding +0.1%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap €8.3B · P/E ratio 23.3 · P/S ratio 4.74 · EPS (TTM) €1.72 · Net margin 20.3% · Return on equity 11.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1% · Operating margin 23.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −41%, 1QGEN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €16.08 Fair Value €23.66 Bull €31.71
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€1.30 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €15.94 €22.28 €34.68 76
Growth DCF €16.66 €22.83 €33.85 75
Owner Earnings €14.48 €20.34 €31.80 73
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €15.94 €22.28 €34.68 76
Owner Earnings €14.48 €20.34 €31.80 73
5Y Revenue Exit €14.73 €22.57 €34.38 69
5Y EBITDA Exit €21.04 €33.29 €50.05 71
5Y P/E Exit €19.94 €31.42 €45.58 67
10Y Revenue Exit €14.57 €21.26 €28.78 64
10Y EBITDA Exit €18.84 €28.12 €38.58 66
10Y P/E Exit €18.18 €26.93 €35.79 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €12.44 €19.82 €23.86 64
EPV €12.58 €15.12 €17.32 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €2.05 €2.44 €2.85 67
DDM Multi-Stage €2.05 €2.68 €3.44 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple €30.19 €40.26 €50.32 63
P/S Multiple €23.33 €31.11 €38.89 58
P/B Multiple €23.33 €31.11 €38.89 55
EV/EBIT €25.06 €34.58 €44.11 66
EV/EBITDA €28.78 €39.54 €50.31 67
EV/Revenue €15.39 €23.49 €31.59 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €8.14 €10.90 €16.27 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €16.66 €22.83 €33.85 75
Rev-Margin DCF €14.73 €23.03 €33.57 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income €14.69 €16.46 €20.06 73
ROIC Compounder €12.58 €15.12 €17.65 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €21.28 €30.41 €39.53 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+3.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.27% → 25%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.3% a year for the price and +2.0% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+3.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.1%

1QGEN screens overvalued: fair value 41% below the price. Compare with Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc →

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Diagnostics & Research stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc TMO $675.05 $686.04 +2%
Danaher Corporation DHR $221.55 $209.18 −6%
WuXi AppTec Co 603259 ¥162.40 ¥178.64 +10%
Agilent Technologies, Inc A $175.03 $64.17 −63%
Lonza Group LONN CHF 565.60 CHF 151.69 −73%
IQVIA Holdings IQV $270.37 $297.41 +10%
Waters Corporation WAT $433.54 $106.46 −75%
Illumina, Inc ILMN $271.90 $295.60 +9%
IDEXX Laboratories, Inc IDXX $533.44 $495.84 −7%
Mettler-Toledo International Inc MTD $1,512 $644.24 −57%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Qiagen N.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1QGEN

Frequently asked questions

Is Qiagen N.V (1QGEN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €23.66 versus a price of €40.10, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1QGEN?
Our model-based fair value for Qiagen N.V is €23.66 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €40.10.
What is the quality score of 1QGEN?
Qiagen N.V has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Qiagen N.V (1QGEN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €23.66 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €16.08, optimistic scenario €31.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Qiagen N.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €23.66, about −41% upside versus a price of €40.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €16.08, optimistic scenario €31.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Qiagen N.V (1QGEN)?
Qiagen N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Qiagen N.V (1QGEN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Qiagen N.V would have to grow free cash flow by +15.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew -0.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1QGEN use?
Our models discount Qiagen N.V at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.66, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Qiagen N.V that is +15.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Qiagen N.V (1QGEN) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Qiagen N.V grew -0.8 % a year. The price currently implies +15.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Qiagen N.V (1QGEN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Qiagen N.V (+15.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Qiagen N.V (1QGEN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.81 %: that much free cash flow Qiagen N.V produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Qiagen N.V (1QGEN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Qiagen N.V it is €23.66 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €40.10. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Qiagen N.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1QGEN trades above its calculated fair value: price €40.10, fair value €23.66, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1QGEN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€40.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€23.66). For Qiagen N.V the two are €16.44 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Qiagen N.V worth?
The market values Qiagen N.V at about €8.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €40.10; our models calculate a fair value of €23.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1QGEN?
Our models span a range for Qiagen N.V: cautious scenario €16.08, base €23.66, optimistic €31.71 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €40.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 1QGEN from its 52-week high?
Qiagen N.V trades at €40.10, about 13% below its 52-week high of €46.28 and 44% above the low of €27.93 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €23.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Qiagen N.V?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc, Danaher Corporation, WuXi AppTec Co, Agilent Technologies, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Qiagen N.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €40.10, calculated fair value €23.66 (−41%), Quality Score 74/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1QGEN calculated?
We run Qiagen N.V through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €23.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Qiagen N.V itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Qiagen N.V (1QGEN)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €40.10. Our model-based fair value is €23.66, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Qiagen N.V right now?
A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€31.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in. A fairly wide model range (€16.08 to €31.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Qiagen N.V

How large is the market capitalisation of Qiagen N.V (1QGEN)?
The market capitalisation of Qiagen N.V is €8.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Qiagen N.V (1QGEN)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Qiagen N.V is 23.3. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Qiagen N.V (1QGEN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Qiagen N.V is 4.74 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Qiagen N.V (1QGEN)?
Earnings per share at Qiagen N.V are €1.72 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Qiagen N.V (1QGEN)?
The net margin of Qiagen N.V is 20.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Qiagen N.V (1QGEN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Qiagen N.V is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Qiagen N.V (1QGEN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Qiagen N.V is 7.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Qiagen N.V (1QGEN)?
The operating margin of Qiagen N.V is 23.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Qiagen N.V (1QGEN)?
Revenue at Qiagen N.V is growing +1.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Qiagen N.V (1QGEN)?
Earnings per share at Qiagen N.V are growing −23.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Qiagen N.V (1QGEN) carry?
The net debt of Qiagen N.V is $815M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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