Foshan Electrical and Lighting Co (200541) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap HK$3.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from HK$3.61 to HK$3.38 (−6.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 77% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$2.53). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.75 – HK$2.65 · fair‑value band HK$2.53 – HK$3.69 · the HK$1.91 price screens below the HK$3.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Foshan Electrical and Lighting Co (200541) currently trades at HK$1.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.38, implying the stock looks roughly 77.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Foshan Electrical and Lighting Co generated revenue of HK$8.7B at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue declined 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$2.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$2.53 (bear case) to HK$3.69 (bull case); at HK$1.91, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 77%, 200541 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$6.15) versus Earnings-Based (HK$1.43). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Foshan Electrical and Lighting Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, and sale of general lighting and electrical products, automotive lighting, LED packaging products, and others in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
Full company description
Foshan Electrical and Lighting Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, and sale of general lighting and electrical products, automotive lighting, LED packaging products, and others in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It offers general lighting and electrical products, including LED light sources, LED luminaries, and traditional lighting products; lighting solutions for home lighting, commercial lighting, industrial lighting, municipal road lighting, and landscape lighting; LED bulbs, LED candle bulbs, LED spotlights, LED filament bulbs, and LED tube and battens; LED downlights, LED track lights, LED panel lights, LED ceiling lamps, LED strip lights, and LED emergency lights; and LED flood lights. It also provides electrical products comprising switches, electrical tape, and sockets; headlights, rear light combos, fog lights, backup lights, interior lights, and license plate lights; and offers smart lighting, healthy lighting, marine lighting, aviation lighting and animal and plant lighting. In addition, the company offers LED epitaxial wafers and chips, LED packaging and component products, integrated circuit packaging products, and third generation compound semiconductor packaging products. Further, it engages in property development and business services. Foshan Electrical and Lighting Co.,Ltd was founded in 1958 and is based in Foshan, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Foshan Electrical and Lighting Co reported revenue of HK$8.8B in FY2025 versus HK$8.7B in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$215M in FY2025, compounding −8.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +13.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Electrical Equipment & Parts · 526 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 | HK$675.50 | HK$391.44 | -42% |
| ABB Ltd ABBN | CHF 83.82 | CHF 35.46 | -58% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED | 10.16 SGD | 1.47 SGD | -86% |
| LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 | 334,000 KRW | 201,455 KRW | -40% |
| WEG S.A WEGE3 | 13,210 ARS | 7,948 ARS | -40% |
| Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 | ¥114.79 | ¥123.83 | +8% |
| Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 | ¥63.43 | ¥33.04 | -48% |
| HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 | 823,000 KRW | 371,133 KRW | -55% |
| LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 | 190,000 KRW | 31,517 KRW | -83% |
| Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 | ¥151.73 | ¥71.69 | -53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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