Shandong Zhonglu Oceanic Fisheries Company (200992) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap HK$543M
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from HK$3.54 to HK$2.64 (−25.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 50% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.98). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.47 – HK$3.27 · fair‑value band HK$1.98 – HK$3.30 · the HK$1.76 price screens below the HK$2.64 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Shandong Zhonglu Oceanic Fisheries Company (200992) currently trades at HK$1.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.64, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Zhonglu Oceanic Fisheries Company generated revenue of HK$1.4B at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue declined 22.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.1%. Net debt stands at HK$164M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.98 (bear case) to HK$3.30 (bull case); at HK$1.76, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 50%, 200992 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$2.76) versus DCF Models (HK$0.0600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shandong Zhonglu Oceanic Fisheries Company Limited engages in oceanic fishing business in China. The company offers long range fishing, maritime transportation, and cold storage processing and trading; and tuna and its products.
Full company description
Shandong Zhonglu Oceanic Fisheries Company Limited engages in oceanic fishing business in China. The company offers long range fishing, maritime transportation, and cold storage processing and trading; and tuna and its products. It is also involved in the refrigeration and processing of aquatic products; commodity import and export; manufacture and sale of machine-made ice; manufacture, installation, and repair of refrigeration equipment; refrigeration, and cold storage; loading, unloading, and handling services; vessels leasing; and property leasing. In addition, the company offers boat charter; pelagic fishing; and warehousing service. The company also exports its products in Japan, the European Union, and South Korea. Shandong Zhonglu Oceanic Fisheries Company Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Qingdao, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shandong Zhonglu Oceanic Fisheries Company reported revenue of HK$1.5B in FY2025 versus HK$934M in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$33.5M in FY2025, compounding −1.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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