Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Ltd (2096) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Ltd HK$13.04, price HK$11.85, upside +10.0%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Ltd
2096 · HKNeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$4.70 – HK$14.49 · fair‑value band HK$8.68 – HK$17.18 · the HK$11.85 price screens below the HK$13.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Company profile
Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of pharmaceutical products to distributors, pharmacy chains, and other pharmaceutical manufacturers in China.
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Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of pharmaceutical products to distributors, pharmacy chains, and other pharmaceutical manufacturers in China. It develops Endostar, a recombinant human endostatin injection; ENWEIDA, an envafolimab injection; Leruiping, a fully human monoclonal antibody targeting IL-4Ra; Zemprocitinib a highly selective JAK1 inhibitor; and Xianlinda, an inhibitor for influenza polymerase acidic protein that has completed Phase 3 clinical trials. The company also develops SIM0270, a new-generation oral SERD with blood-brain barrier penetration characteristics; Denlorlatinib; SIM0395, a BBB-penetrant inhibitor of the PI3K/mTOR pathway; and deuterated remdesivir hydrobromide dry suspension that are in Phase 3 clinical trial, as well as Sanbexin an injection new indication; Sanbexin a sublingual tablets; and SIM0278, a Fc fusion protein (IL2muFc) with an IL2 mutein of regulatory T cells that is in Phase 2 clinical trials. It develops SIM0237, an anti-PD-L1 monoclonal antibody fused with IL-15/IL15RXa sushi protein; Enzeshu, a suvemcitug for injection; SIM0500, a humanized trispecific antibody that targets GPRC5D/BCMA/CD3; SIM0508, a small molecule inhibitor; SIM0505, a CDH6-targeting ADC molecule; SIM0686, an ADC drug targeting FGFR2b; SIM0609, a new antibody-drug conjugate targeting CDH17; SIM0610, a bispecific antibody-drug conjugate; SIM0532, an oral, non-covalent pan-RAS inhibitor; SIM0323; and SIM0811, a small-molecule plasminogen allosteric activator that are in Phase 1 clinical trial. The company develops SIM0613; SIM0709; SIM0689; SIM0688; SIM0518; SIM0616; SIM0611; SIM0815; SIM0712; SIM0725; SIM0708; SIM0721; and SIM0722 that are in pre-clinical stage. It offers pharmaceutical ingredients; production support facility; consulting and technology; promotion; and property management. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Nanjing, China.
Stock analysis
Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Ltd (2096) currently trades at HK$11.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$13.04, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$12.64 per share, and 13 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$11.85 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$2.69, and 13 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$8.68 (bear) to HK$17.18 (bull), the price of HK$11.85 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Ltd reported revenue of 7.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 5.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B CNY in FY2025, compounding −2.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$30.3B (≈ $3.9B) · P/E ratio 15.8 · P/S ratio 2.74 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 17.4% · Return on equity 18.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.3% · Operating margin 22.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 10%, 2096 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Earlier news
- Simcere Zaiming Enters Exclusive License Agreement with Roche for SIM0660 Global Development
- Simcere Pharmaceutical Enters into a Research Collaboration Agreement with Stanford Medicine to Develop Innovative Therapies for Patients wi
- NextCure and Simcere Zaiming Initiate Dose Optimization for SIM0505 (CDH6 ADC) in Gynecologic Cancers
- NextCure and Simcere’s SIM0505 (CDH6 ADC) Phase 1 Data to be Presented at ASCO 2026
Compare Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 619 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Health Care sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merck KGaA MRK | €135.00 | €108.94 | −19% |
| Takeda Pharmaceutical Company TAK | $18.90 | $11.45 | −39% |
| Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited TEVA | $39.19 | $20.88 | −47% |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA | ₹1,852 | ₹1,979 | +7% |
| Galderma Group GALD | CHF 163.00 | CHF 110.32 | −32% |
| Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 | ¥44.86 | ¥49.35 | +10% |
| Haleon plc HLN | $9.26 | $8.49 | −8% |
| Sandoz Group SDZ | CHF 71.16 | CHF 40.32 | −43% |
| Zoetis Inc ZTS | $70.30 | $110.50 | +57% |
| Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB | ₹9,620 | ₹1,871 | −81% |
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Key figures of Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Ltd
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