Tak Lee Machinery Holdings Ltd (2102) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$310M
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price +9.1% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 97% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (79/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.4400). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0762 – HK$0.3200 · fair‑value band HK$0.4400 – HK$0.7200 · the HK$0.3000 price screens below the HK$0.5900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Tak Lee Machinery Holdings Ltd (2102) currently trades at HK$0.3000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5900, implying the stock looks roughly 96.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tak Lee Machinery Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$329M at a net margin of 8.4%. Revenue declined 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$116M. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4400 (bear case) to HK$0.7200 (bull case); at HK$0.3000, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at 97%, 2102 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.7700) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.2400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tak Lee Machinery Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale and leasing of new and used heavy equipment and spare parts in Hong Kong. The company operates through Sales of Heavy Equipment and Spare Parts, Lease of Heavy Equipment, Repair, Logistics, and Other Ancillary Services segments.
Full company description
Tak Lee Machinery Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale and leasing of new and used heavy equipment and spare parts in Hong Kong. The company operates through Sales of Heavy Equipment and Spare Parts, Lease of Heavy Equipment, Repair, Logistics, and Other Ancillary Services segments. It also sells and leases heavy equipment, such as excavators, articulated dump trucks, bulldozers, lifting cranes, aerial platforms, rollers, loaders, hydraulic breakers, generators, and air compressors. In addition, the company distributes diesel engine generators; machine safety and control systems for height and slew control; and Mobile360 surround view and safety system technology products. Further, it provides maintenance and ancillary services; logistic services; and motor vehicle services. Additionally, the company offers warehouse, after-sales, and in-house management support services; leases lands; provides operator and logistics services. Tak Lee Machinery Holdings Limited sells various products under the Airman, Hitachi, Bell, Ammann, LaBounty, Hyundai, Rotobec, VIA, and Xwatch Safety Solutions brand names. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Yuen Long, Hong Kong. Tak Lee Machinery Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Generous Way Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tak Lee Machinery Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$331M in FY2025 versus HK$486M in FY2021, a compound −9.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$28.2M in FY2025, compounding −14.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −0.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 151 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CATR | C$59.54 | C$12.83 | -78% |
| Deere & Company DE | $619.77 | $182.29 | -71% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 344.00 | kr 288.08 | -16% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $131.06 | $94.80 | -28% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 254.50 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.91 | ¥20.84 | +10% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.25 | ¥11.79 | +43% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.42 | HK$53.57 | +29% |
| Ashok Leyland Limited ASHOKLEY | ₹176.40 | ₹117.07 | -34% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥28.69 | ¥42.00 | +46% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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