Ayyan Investment Company (2140) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · SA · Market cap 938M SAR
Fair value as of: Aug 4, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated today
Share price −16.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 100% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (13.96 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (13.96 SAR to 74.48 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.94 SAR – 26.10 SAR · fair‑value band 13.96 SAR – 74.48 SAR · the 9.31 SAR price screens below the 18.62 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.
Analysis
Ayyan Investment Company (2140) currently trades at 9.31 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.62 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. Net debt stands at 35.5M SAR. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 37.3. Fundamentals as of Aug 4, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 13.96 SAR (bear case) to 74.48 SAR (bull case); at 9.31 SAR, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 100%, 2140 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (157.08 SAR) versus Asset-Based (6.34 SAR). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ayyan Investment Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in construction of nonresidential buildings. It operates through Manufacturing and Investment segments. The company constructs schools, hospitals, hotels, and other non-residential buildings.
Full company description
Ayyan Investment Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in construction of nonresidential buildings. It operates through Manufacturing and Investment segments. The company constructs schools, hospitals, hotels, and other non-residential buildings. It is also involved in production and packaging of dates; and investing in stocks and other securities. The company was formerly known as Al Ahsa Development Company and changed its name to Ayyan Investment Company in July 2020. Ayyan Investment Company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Al Khobar, Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ayyan Investment Company reported revenue of 19.9M SAR in FY2025 versus 270M SAR in FY2021, a compound −47.9%/yr. Reported net income was 360M SAR in FY2025, compounding +202.5%/yr from FY2021.
Watch 2140: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 669 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 4, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 | 79.00 TWD | 68.72 TWD | -13% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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