AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (2140) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what AYYAN Investment Co SJSC is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.80 SAR – 26.10 SAR · fair‑value band 14.34 SAR – 76.48 SAR · the 8.82 SAR price screens below the 19.12 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Ayyan Investment Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in construction of nonresidential buildings. It operates through Manufacturing and Investment segments. The company constructs schools, hospitals, hotels, and other non-residential buildings.
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Ayyan Investment Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in construction of nonresidential buildings. It operates through Manufacturing and Investment segments. The company constructs schools, hospitals, hotels, and other non-residential buildings. It is also involved in production and packaging of dates; and investing in stocks and other securities. The company was formerly known as Al Ahsa Development Company and changed its name to Ayyan Investment Company in July 2020. Ayyan Investment Company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Al Khobar, Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (2140) currently trades at 8.82 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 19.12 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 53.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of 121.21 SAR per share, and 6 of the 7 models we run sit above the 8.82 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 6.34 SAR, and 1 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 14.34 SAR (bear) to 76.48 SAR (bull), the price of 8.82 SAR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
AYYAN Investment Co SJSC reported revenue of 19.9M SAR in FY2025 versus 270M SAR in FY2021, a compound −47.9%/yr. Reported net income was 360M SAR in FY2025, compounding +202.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 888M SAR (≈ $236M) · P/E ratio 35.3 · EPS (TTM) 0.2500 SAR · Return on equity 2.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.1% · Operating margin 104% · Revenue (TTM) −96.4M SAR · Revenue growth (YoY) +407%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at 117%, 2140 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 14.34 SARFair Value 19.12 SARBull 76.48 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1788 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+28.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−57.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−40.0%
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+73.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+73.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.74% vs 13%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → −54%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.6%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare AYYAN Investment Co SJSC with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 648 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+90% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)104% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth407% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AYYAN Investment Co SJSC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2140
Frequently asked questions
Is AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (2140) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 19.12 SAR versus a price of 8.82 SAR, about +117% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2140?
Our model-based fair value for AYYAN Investment Co SJSC is 19.12 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 8.82 SAR.
What is the quality score of 2140?
AYYAN Investment Co SJSC has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (2140)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 19.12 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 14.34 SAR, optimistic scenario 76.48 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AYYAN Investment Co SJSC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 19.12 SAR, about +117% upside versus a price of 8.82 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 14.34 SAR, optimistic scenario 76.48 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (2140)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AYYAN Investment Co SJSC it is 19.12 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 8.82 SAR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AYYAN Investment Co SJSC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 2140 trades below its calculated fair value: price 8.82 SAR, fair value 19.12 SAR, a gap of about +117% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2140?
No. The price is what the market pays today (8.82 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (19.12 SAR). For AYYAN Investment Co SJSC the two are 10.30 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AYYAN Investment Co SJSC worth?
The market values AYYAN Investment Co SJSC at about 888M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 8.82 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 19.12 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2140?
Our models span a range for AYYAN Investment Co SJSC: cautious scenario 14.34 SAR, base 19.12 SAR, optimistic 76.48 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 8.82 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2140?
AYYAN Investment Co SJSC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 35.3 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 19.12 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (2140)?
Balance-sheet figures for AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 2.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2140 from its 52-week high?
AYYAN Investment Co SJSC trades at 8.82 SAR, about 37% below its 52-week high of 14.08 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 19.12 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AYYAN Investment Co SJSC?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Nestlé India Limited, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AYYAN Investment Co SJSC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 8.82 SAR, calculated fair value 19.12 SAR (+117%), Quality Score 43/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2140 calculated?
We run AYYAN Investment Co SJSC through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 19.12 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5 % above its aggregate fair value. AYYAN Investment Co SJSC currently trades 117 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (2140)?
The closing price on Sep 17, 2026 was 8.82 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 19.12 SAR, about +117% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AYYAN Investment Co SJSC right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (14.34 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (14.34 SAR to 76.48 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of AYYAN Investment Co SJSC
How large is the market capitalisation of AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (2140)?
The market capitalisation of AYYAN Investment Co SJSC is 888M SAR (≈ $236M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (2140)?
Earnings per share at AYYAN Investment Co SJSC are 0.2500 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 35.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (2140)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AYYAN Investment Co SJSC is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (2140)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AYYAN Investment Co SJSC is −3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (2140)?
The operating margin of AYYAN Investment Co SJSC is 104% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (2140) generate?
AYYAN Investment Co SJSC generates revenue of −96.4M SAR (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (2140)?
Revenue at AYYAN Investment Co SJSC is growing +407% versus a year earlier (3y avg −57.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (2140)?
Earnings per share at AYYAN Investment Co SJSC are growing −91.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (2140) generate?
The free cash flow of AYYAN Investment Co SJSC is −19.7M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does AYYAN Investment Co SJSC (2140) carry?
The net debt of AYYAN Investment Co SJSC is 35.5M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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