Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · HK · Market cap HK$280M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +42.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0410 – HK$0.3800 · fair‑value band HK$0.1400 – HK$0.2000 · the HK$0.2850 price screens above the HK$0.1700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178) currently trades at HK$0.2850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1700, implying the stock looks roughly 40.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Termbray Petro-king Oilfield generated revenue of HK$274M at a net margin of 8.5%. Revenue grew 26.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.8%. Net debt stands at HK$66.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1400 (bear case) to HK$0.2000 (bull case); at HK$0.2850, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -40%, 2178 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.2300) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Petro-king Oilfield Services Limited, an investment holding company, provides oilfield technology services in the People's Republic of China, the Middle East, and internationally. It operates through Oilfield Project Tools and Services, and Consultancy Services segments.
Full company description
Petro-king Oilfield Services Limited, an investment holding company, provides oilfield technology services in the People's Republic of China, the Middle East, and internationally. It operates through Oilfield Project Tools and Services, and Consultancy Services segments. The company offers oilfield project tools and services, such as oilfield development plan, procurement advice, tools and equipment installation, and on-site project management services, as well as assembles and sells oilfield project tools. It also provides integrated project management services that include engineering and designing an overall development plan for an oilfield project; assisting and providing advice on sourcing; oilfield project management services in the areas of drilling, well completion, downhole operation, oilfield equipment installation, and production enhancement; and on-site operational management, supervision, support, and advice services. In addition, the company offers supervisory services that comprise management, supervision, and technical support in technical areas in various stages of the oilfield project, as well as involved in the trading of oilfield tools and equipment. The company was formerly known as Termbray Petro-king Oilfield Services Limited and changed its name to Petro-king Oilfield Services Limited in May 2014. Petro-king Oilfield Services Limited was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Termbray Petro-king Oilfield reported revenue of HK$274M in FY2025 versus HK$164M in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$23.2M in FY2025.
2178 screens 40% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 193 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLB N.V SLBN | 836.00 MXN | 488.45 MXN | -42% |
| Baker Hughes Company BKR | $64.28 | $32.40 | -50% |
| TechnipFMC plc FTI | $75.27 | $27.43 | -64% |
| Halliburton Company HAL | $33.29 | $21.50 | -35% |
| Tenaris S.A TS | $53.15 | $45.68 | -14% |
| Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 | ¥144.58 | ¥34.17 | -76% |
| Saipem SpA SPM | €4.56 | €2.72 | -40% |
| Subsea 7 S.A SUBC | kr 334.40 | kr 224.63 | -33% |
| China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 | ¥12.02 | ¥12.64 | +5% |
| Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT | €202.00 | €95.01 | -53% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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