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Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield HK$0.18, price HK$0.19, upside -7.2%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · HK · ISIN VGG7042T1049

TP Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Termbray Petro-king Oilfield

2178 · HK

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value HK$0.1800 · Fairly valued (−7.2%)
✓Quality 62/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −2.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (8/13)
!Narrow moat 44/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 24 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.3800 HK$0.0410 Fair Value HK$0.1800 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0410 – HK$0.3800 · fair‑value band HK$0.1400 – HK$0.2300 · the HK$0.1940 price screens above the HK$0.1800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Petro-king Oilfield Services Limited, an investment holding company, provides oilfield technology services in the People's Republic of China, the Middle East, and internationally. It operates through Oilfield Project Tools and Services, and Consultancy Services segments.

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Petro-king Oilfield Services Limited, an investment holding company, provides oilfield technology services in the People's Republic of China, the Middle East, and internationally. It operates through Oilfield Project Tools and Services, and Consultancy Services segments. The company offers oilfield project tools and services, such as oilfield development plan, procurement advice, tools and equipment installation, and on-site project management services, as well as assembles and sells oilfield project tools. It also provides integrated project management services that include engineering and designing an overall development plan for an oilfield project; assisting and providing advice on sourcing; oilfield project management services in the areas of drilling, well completion, downhole operation, oilfield equipment installation, and production enhancement; and on-site operational management, supervision, support, and advice services. In addition, the company offers supervisory services that comprise management, supervision, and technical support in technical areas in various stages of the oilfield project, as well as involved in the trading of oilfield tools and equipment. The company was formerly known as Termbray Petro-king Oilfield Services Limited and changed its name to Petro-king Oilfield Services Limited in May 2014. Petro-king Oilfield Services Limited was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178) currently trades at HK$0.1940, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1800, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.8%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.2300 per share, and 11 of the 22 models we run sit above the HK$0.1940 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0800, and 11 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1400 (bear) to HK$0.2300 (bull), the price of HK$0.1940 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Termbray Petro-king Oilfield reported revenue of HK$274M in FY2025 versus HK$164M in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$23.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$335M (≈ $42.7M) · P/E ratio 16.2 · P/S ratio 1.37 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0100 · Net margin 8.5% · Return on equity 11.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.7% · Operating margin 14.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 304% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −7%, 2178 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1400 Fair Value HK$0.1800 Bull HK$0.2300
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.2500 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4800 81
Growth DCF HK$0.2600 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4700 79
Owner Earnings HK$0.2700 HK$0.3500 HK$0.5100 77
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.2500 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4800 81
Owner Earnings HK$0.2700 HK$0.3500 HK$0.5100 77
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1700 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2800 74
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1600 HK$0.2000 HK$0.2500 77
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.1900 HK$0.2400 HK$0.3200 72
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2000 HK$0.2300 HK$0.2700 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1900 HK$0.2200 HK$0.2600 70
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.2100 HK$0.2500 HK$0.2900 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0900 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1300 67
EPV HK$0.1100 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1400 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.1400 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2400 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.1400 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2400 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.1600 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2600 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.1100 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1600 66
EV/EBITDA HK$0.1100 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1700 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.1200 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2100 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1200 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.2600 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4700 79
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1700 HK$0.2200 HK$0.2900 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.1100 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1400 71
ROIC Compounder HK$0.1100 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1500 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.1000 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1900 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.0% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.3% (2020) → 7.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.2% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 180 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −7.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 11.8% · Above median
Return on assets 2.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 8.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 26.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.19× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.66× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.22× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.5× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)24 · sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 23
PAST (return on equity)47 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)91 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 36

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SLB N.V SLB $48.72 $28.87 −41%
Baker Hughes Company BKR $57.83 $32.38 −44%
TechnipFMC plc FTI $70.99 $27.88 −61%
Halliburton Company HAL $32.76 $21.56 −34%
Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 ¥116.02 ¥127.62 +10%
Subsea 7 S.A SUBC kr 324.80 kr 251.18 −23%
Saipem SpA SPM €4.30 €2.72 −37%
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €218.80 €240.68 +10%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.12 ¥13.04 +8%
NOV Inc NOV $18.73 $8.59 −54%

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Termbray Petro-king Oilfield · Fair Value
HK$0.1800 −7%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Termbray Petro-king Oilfield Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2178

Frequently asked questions

Is Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1800 versus a price of HK$0.1940, about −7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 2178?
Our model-based fair value for Termbray Petro-king Oilfield is HK$0.1800 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1940.
What is the quality score of 2178?
Termbray Petro-king Oilfield has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1800 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1400, optimistic scenario HK$0.2300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Termbray Petro-king Oilfield stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1800, about −7% upside versus a price of HK$0.1940 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1400, optimistic scenario HK$0.2300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178)?
Termbray Petro-king Oilfield reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$274M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Termbray Petro-king Oilfield would have to grow free cash flow by +2.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.3 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2178 use?
Our models discount Termbray Petro-king Oilfield at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Termbray Petro-king Oilfield that is +2.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Termbray Petro-king Oilfield grew -2.3 % a year. The price currently implies +2.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (+2.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.47 %: that much free cash flow Termbray Petro-king Oilfield produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Termbray Petro-king Oilfield it is HK$0.1800 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1940. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Termbray Petro-king Oilfield stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2178 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1940, fair value HK$0.1800, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2178?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1940); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1800). For Termbray Petro-king Oilfield the two are HK$0.0140 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Termbray Petro-king Oilfield worth?
The market values Termbray Petro-king Oilfield at about HK$335M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1940; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2178?
Our models span a range for Termbray Petro-king Oilfield: cautious scenario HK$0.1400, base HK$0.1800, optimistic HK$0.2300 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1940). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2178?
Termbray Petro-king Oilfield trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.2 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.1800 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 8.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178)?
Balance-sheet figures for Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 11.8%, debt of 0.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2178 from its 52-week high?
Termbray Petro-king Oilfield trades at HK$0.1940, about 49% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3800 and 304% above the low of HK$0.0480 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Termbray Petro-king Oilfield?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, TechnipFMC plc, Halliburton Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Termbray Petro-king Oilfield stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1940, calculated fair value HK$0.1800 (−7%), Quality Score 62/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2178 calculated?
We run Termbray Petro-king Oilfield through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Termbray Petro-king Oilfield itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.1940. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1800, about −7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Termbray Petro-king Oilfield right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield

How large is the market capitalisation of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178)?
The market capitalisation of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield is HK$335M (≈ $42.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield is 1.37 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178)?
Earnings per share at Termbray Petro-king Oilfield are HK$−0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178)?
The net margin of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield is 8.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield is 11.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield is −3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178)?
The operating margin of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield is 14.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178)?
Revenue at Termbray Petro-king Oilfield is growing +26.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Termbray Petro-king Oilfield (2178) carry?
The net debt of Termbray Petro-king Oilfield is HK$66.5M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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