Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical Group Co Ltd (2196) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical Group Co Ltd HK$24.67, price HK$18.16, upside +35.9%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical Group Co Ltd
2196 · HKSpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$10.91 – HK$70.69 · fair‑value band HK$17.17 – HK$40.99 · the HK$18.16 price screens below the HK$24.67 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) Co., Ltd. engages in the pharmaceutical business in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through five segments: Pharmaceuticals, Medical Devices and Medical Diagnosis, Medical Services, Medical Distribution and Retail, and Others.
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Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) Co., Ltd. engages in the pharmaceutical business in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through five segments: Pharmaceuticals, Medical Devices and Medical Diagnosis, Medical Services, Medical Distribution and Retail, and Others. The company is involved in the pharmaceutical manufacturing in the therapeutic areas of solid oncology, including tumors and hematologic malignancies, as well as immune-inflammatory disorders, metabolism and digestive systems, anti-infection, central nervous system, cardiovascular system, and APIs and intermediates. It also offers mRNA vaccines; medical aesthetic devices, such as medical aesthetic capital equipment, aesthetic dentistry, injectables, and personal care business units; mechanical ventilation devices under the Breas brand; and mobile pre-hospital care; professional in-hospital surgery and covers medical devices; and high-end surgical robots and medical consumables. In addition, the company provides diagnostics solutions comprising biochemical diagnostics, immune diagnostics, molecular diagnostics, microbiological diagnostics, pathological diagnostics, and chronic care management; and healthcare services, specialized medical treatment, online and offline medical services, and insurance services. Further, it engages in the operation of hospitals; and distribution and retail of healthcare products. Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) Co., Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Stock analysis
Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical Group Co Ltd (2196) currently trades at HK$18.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$24.67, implying the stock looks roughly 26.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$35.08 per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$18.16 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$8.42, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$17.17 (bear) to HK$40.99 (bull), the price of HK$18.16 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 40.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 39.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was 3.3B CNY in FY2025, compounding −8.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$48.1B (≈ $6.1B) · P/E ratio 10.7 · P/S ratio 0.87 · EPS (TTM) HK$1.31 · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 8.1% · Return on equity 7.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 36%, 2196 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical Group Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 599 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Health Care sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merck KGaA MRK | €134.45 | €108.94 | −19% |
| Takeda Pharmaceutical Company TAK | $18.90 | $11.45 | −39% |
| Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited TEVA | $39.31 | $20.88 | −47% |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA | ₹1,852 | ₹1,979 | +7% |
| Galderma Group GALD | CHF 163.00 | CHF 110.32 | −32% |
| Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 | ¥44.86 | ¥49.35 | +10% |
| Haleon plc HLN | $9.26 | $8.49 | −8% |
| Sandoz Group SDZ | CHF 71.16 | CHF 40.32 | −43% |
| Zoetis Inc ZTS | $70.30 | $110.50 | +57% |
| Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB | ₹9,620 | ₹1,871 | −81% |
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Key figures of Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical Group Co Ltd
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