Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$11.6B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$7.05 to HK$7.06 (+0.1%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −10.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 32% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$4.82 to HK$8.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$3.67 – HK$6.37 · fair‑value band HK$4.82 – HK$8.89 · the HK$5.35 price screens below the HK$7.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299) currently trades at HK$5.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$7.06, implying the stock looks roughly 32.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Billion Industrial Holdings Limited generated revenue of HK$18.0B at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue declined 14.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$3.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$4.82 (bear case) to HK$8.89 (bull case); at HK$5.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 32%, 2299 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$10.56) versus Earnings-Based (HK$3.57). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Billion Industrial Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacturing and sales of polyester filament yarns, polyester, polyester industrial yarns, and ES fiber products in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
Full company description
Billion Industrial Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacturing and sales of polyester filament yarns, polyester, polyester industrial yarns, and ES fiber products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It provides drawn textured yarns, fully drawn yarns, and partially oriented yarns used in the production of high-end fabrics and textiles for various consumer products, including apparel, footwear, and home furnishings. The company also offers special products, such as cotton-like polymer fiber, baiku yarn, bainuan yarn, baiwei super soft fiber, heavy denier low elastic yarn, shaped fiber, ultraviolet resistant polyester, three dimensional super bright yarn, super bright color yarn, u-shaped fiber, fluorescent whitening fiber, bamboo fiber yarn, and black flame resistant fiber. In addition, it provides industrial polyester yarn; polyester film products comprising metallization base film, printing base film, transfer base film, heat sealable film, twistable film, anti-static film, electrical insulation base film, card lamination base film, hot stamping base film, metallic yarn base film, reflector base film, holographic base film, electronic releasing film, coating film, and solar base film products; and polyester bottle chip. Billion Industrial Holdings Limited was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Billion Industrial Holdings Limited reported revenue of HK$18.0B in FY2025 versus HK$14.2B in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$643M in FY2025, compounding −22.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +13.6 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Textile Manufacturing · 320 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$42.10 | HK$68.24 | +62% |
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥22.67 | ¥14.53 | -36% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.79 | ¥14.35 | +12% |
| Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 | 27.55 TWD | 25.64 TWD | -7% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,089 | ₹467.49 | -57% |
| HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 | ¥71.55 | ¥11.85 | -83% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹591.90 | ₹437.53 | -26% |
| Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO | 174.20 TRY | 324.31 TRY | +86% |
| Ruentex Industries Ltd 2915 | 54.10 TWD | 133.24 TWD | +146% |
| Welspun Living Limited WELSPUNLIV | ₹165.23 | ₹47.77 | -71% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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