Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited HK$6.87, price HK$5.80, upside +18.5%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$3.67 – HK$6.37 · fair‑value band HK$4.81 – HK$8.93 · the HK$5.80 price screens below the HK$6.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Billion Industrial Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacturing and sales of polyester filament yarns, polyester, polyester industrial yarns, and ES fiber products in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
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Billion Industrial Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacturing and sales of polyester filament yarns, polyester, polyester industrial yarns, and ES fiber products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It provides drawn textured yarns, fully drawn yarns, and partially oriented yarns used in the production of high-end fabrics and textiles for various consumer products, including apparel, footwear, and home furnishings. The company also offers special products, such as cotton-like polymer fiber, baiku yarn, bainuan yarn, baiwei super soft fiber, heavy denier low elastic yarn, shaped fiber, ultraviolet resistant polyester, three dimensional super bright yarn, super bright color yarn, u-shaped fiber, fluorescent whitening fiber, bamboo fiber yarn, and black flame resistant fiber. In addition, it provides industrial polyester yarn; polyester film products comprising metallization base film, printing base film, transfer base film, heat sealable film, twistable film, anti-static film, electrical insulation base film, card lamination base film, hot stamping base film, metallic yarn base film, reflector base film, holographic base film, electronic releasing film, coating film, and solar base film products; and polyester bottle chip. Billion Industrial Holdings Limited was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299) currently trades at HK$5.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$6.87, implying the stock looks roughly 15.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$10.96 per share, and 11 of the 15 models we run sit above the HK$5.80 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$4.17, and 4 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$4.81 (bear) to HK$8.93 (bull), the price of HK$5.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Billion Industrial Holdings Limited reported revenue of 18.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 14.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was 643M CNY in FY2025, compounding −22.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$12.2B (≈ $1.6B) · P/E ratio 8.4 · P/S ratio 0.30 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 3.6% · Return on equity 10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5% · Operating margin 8.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 18%, 2299 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$4.81Fair Value HK$6.87Bull HK$8.93
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.7% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−2.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5.4% vs 12.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 5%
Compare Billion Industrial Holdings Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 335 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Below median
Fair Value upside+18.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.7% · Above median
Return on assets1.5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3.6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)2.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−14.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.2% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
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Is Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$6.87 versus a price of HK$5.80, about +18% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2299?
Our model-based fair value for Billion Industrial Holdings Limited is HK$6.87 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$5.80.
What is the quality score of 2299?
Billion Industrial Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$6.87 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$4.81, optimistic scenario HK$8.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Billion Industrial Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$6.87, about +18% upside versus a price of HK$5.80 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$4.81, optimistic scenario HK$8.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299)?
Billion Industrial Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 21.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Billion Industrial Holdings Limited pay a dividend?
Billion Industrial Holdings Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.19% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Billion Industrial Holdings Limited it is HK$6.87 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of HK$5.80. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Billion Industrial Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, 2299 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$5.80, fair value HK$6.87, a gap of about +18% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2299?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$5.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$6.87). For Billion Industrial Holdings Limited the two are HK$1.07 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Billion Industrial Holdings Limited worth?
The market values Billion Industrial Holdings Limited at about HK$12.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is HK$5.80; our models calculate a fair value of HK$6.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2299?
Our models span a range for Billion Industrial Holdings Limited: cautious scenario HK$4.81, base HK$6.87, optimistic HK$8.93 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price HK$5.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2299?
Billion Industrial Holdings Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.4 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$6.87 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 3.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299)?
Balance-sheet figures for Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 5.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2299 from its 52-week high?
Billion Industrial Holdings Limited trades at HK$5.80, about 9% below its 52-week high of HK$6.37 and 39% above the low of HK$4.18 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$6.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Billion Industrial Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Billion Industrial Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price HK$5.80, calculated fair value HK$6.87 (+18%), Quality Score 47/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2299 calculated?
We run Billion Industrial Holdings Limited through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$6.87, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Billion Industrial Holdings Limited currently trades 16 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$5.80. Our model-based fair value is HK$6.87, about +18% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Billion Industrial Holdings Limited right now?
A fairly wide model range (HK$4.81 to HK$8.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299) come from?
Earnings per share at Billion Industrial Holdings Limited grew +10.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +14.1 %, EBIT margin −4.8 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299)?
The market capitalisation of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited is HK$12.2B (≈ $1.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited is 0.30 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299)?
The dividend yield of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited is 3.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299)?
The net margin of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited is 3.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited is 4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299)?
The operating margin of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited is 8.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299)?
Revenue at Billion Industrial Holdings Limited is growing +34.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299)?
Earnings per share at Billion Industrial Holdings Limited are growing +162% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299) generate?
The free cash flow of Billion Industrial Holdings Limited is −1.8B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (2299) hold?
Billion Industrial Holdings Limited holds more cash than debt, 3.2B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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