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Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd (2476) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$287B (≈ $36.6B)

What is Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd really worth?

VG Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd 2476 · HK
PriceHK$197.50
Fair ValueHK$75.68
Upside−61.7%
Quality60/100

A solid business, but trading 161% above our fair value of HK$75.68.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd is HK$75.68 per share against a price of HK$197.50, so the fair value sits 62% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 22.8% net margin
Wide moat 91/100

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +34.7 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!The models disagree: range HK$56.33 to HK$189.45
!Weak on dividend: 3 out of 100
Evidence: High Range HK$56.33 – HK$189.45

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$103.98 to HK$75.68 (−27.2%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price −10.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$189.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$56.33 to HK$189.45). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (4 months)

HK$438.20 HK$168.30 Fair Value HK$75.68 Apr 2026 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

4‑month range HK$168.30 – HK$438.20 · fair‑value band HK$56.33 – HK$189.45 · the HK$197.50 price screens above the HK$75.68 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd (2476) currently trades at HK$197.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$75.68, implying the stock looks roughly 161.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$135.67 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the HK$197.50 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$7.65, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd generated revenue of HK$20.5B at a net margin of 22.8%. Revenue grew 28.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.2%. Net debt stands at HK$2.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$56.33 (bear case) to HK$189.45 (bull case); at HK$197.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −62%, 2476 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV best evidence HK$28.07 HK$33.09 HK$37.56 71
EV/EBITDA HK$40.92 HK$54.69 HK$68.47 67
EV/EBIT HK$45.55 HK$60.86 HK$76.18 66
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$20.15 HK$140.54 HK$197.22 59
Lynch FV HK$72.61 HK$103.72 HK$134.84 57
PEG = 1.0 HK$72.61 HK$103.72 HK$134.84 53
EPV best evidence HK$28.07 HK$33.09 HK$37.56 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$2.51 HK$5.49 HK$9.24 61
DDM Multi-Stage HK$2.51 HK$4.50 HK$5.72 62
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$46.68 HK$62.23 HK$77.79 63
P/S Multiple HK$19.89 HK$26.52 HK$33.15 58
P/B Multiple HK$37.78 HK$50.38 HK$62.97 55
EV/EBIT HK$45.55 HK$60.86 HK$76.18 66
EV/EBITDA HK$40.92 HK$54.69 HK$68.47 67
EV/Revenue HK$16.30 HK$23.46 HK$30.62 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$5.71 HK$7.65 HK$11.42 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$23.16 HK$34.21 HK$325.42 59
ROIC Compounder HK$39.59 HK$67.09 HK$87.97 66
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$94.97 HK$135.67 HK$176.37 63

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$135.67) versus Dividend Discount (HK$4.50). Highest evidence: EPV (71).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 46.8 as of Jul 2, 2026
P/S ratio 10.5 P/E × margin
Dividend yield 0.1%
Net margin 22.4% FY2025
Return on equity 34.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.0% avg 4y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 28.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$20.5B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +28.0% 3y avg +34.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +174%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −HK$2.0B FY2025
Net debt HK$2.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10

Profitability 65
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 86
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of high-precision printed circuit boards in China and internationally.

Full company description

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of high-precision printed circuit boards in China and internationally. The company offers artificial intelligence and computing products, including HDIs and multilayer PCBs; smart terminals, such as HDIs and FPCs for AI computers, wearable devices, and AR/VR devices; and automotive electronics comprising HDIs, high-multilayer PCBs, and FPCs for three-electric systems of energy vehicles, intelligent driving, body control modules, and smart cockpits. It also provides network telecommunication products, which include high-multilayer PCBs and HDIs for 5G base stations, optical communication equipment, and data center optical modules; and medical equipment and other products, such as MLPCBs, HDIs, and FPCs for medical devices, industrial automation control systems, and core control modules for humanoid robots. In addition, the company is involved in electronic commerce; consulting; and capital market services. It exports its products. It caters to global AI technology solution providers, cloud service providers, data center equipment OEMs, server manufacturers, EV companies, automotive electronics suppliers, prominent smart device brands, and major medical device manufacturers. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Huizhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd reported revenue of 19.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 7.9B CNY in FY2022, a compound +34.7%/yr. Reported net income was 4.3B CNY in FY2025, compounding +76.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$19.3B
Latest YoY
+79.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+34.7%
Value creation/yr (3Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 3 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
≈ +80.3% (approximate, leans on 2025) · in HKD
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+80.2%
Dividend yield0.1%
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9.5% (2022) → 27.2% (2025) · rising
⚠ Rate leans on 2025: that final year sits 441% above its own trend (e.g. a one-off disposal gain) and could not be adjusted
Revenue +34.7%/yr
FY22 7.9B CNY
FY23 7.9B CNY
FY24 10.7B CNY
FY25 19.3B CNY
Net income +76.0%/yr
FY22 791M CNY
FY23 671M CNY
FY24 1.2B CNY
FY25 4.3B CNY

2476 screens 161% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2476.HK

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 638 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −44% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 28% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.23× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 46.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 17.29× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 14.02× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 44.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 40
PAST100 · sector 25
HEALTH88 · sector 95
DIVIDEND3 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $157.74 $97.19 −38%
Corning Incorporated GLW CHF 134.64 CHF 35.18 −74%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,750 TWD 602.37 TWD −66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 −31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW −88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥202.11 ¥21.19 −90%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $202.66 $144.42 −29%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.80 ¥36.30 −73%
Flex Ltd FLEX $124.53 $48.10 −61%
Celestica Inc CLS $298.70 $113.54 −62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd (2476) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$75.68 versus a price of HK$197.50, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2476?
Our model-based fair value for Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd is HK$75.68 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$197.50.
What is the quality score of 2476?
Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd (2476)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$75.68 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$56.33, optimistic scenario HK$189.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$75.68, about −62% upside versus a price of HK$197.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$56.33, optimistic scenario HK$189.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd (2476)?
Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$20.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2476?
The net profit margin of Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd is about 22.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
Victory Giant Technology Huizhou Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.13% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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