Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co Ltd (2517) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co Ltd HK$5.11, price HK$1.38, upside +270.3%, quality 76 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co Ltd
2517 · HKStrongly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside with high Quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
35‑month range HK$1.38 – HK$10.97 · fair‑value band HK$3.30 – HK$6.64 · the HK$1.38 price screens below the HK$5.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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Company profile
Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. operates as a home meal products company in Mainland China.
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Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. operates as a home meal products company in Mainland China. It offers ready-to-eat, ready-to-heat, and ready-to-cook meals; at-home hotpot and prepared ingredients; condiments and sauce products; drinks; fresh food; and western food and snacks.The company also provides barbecue products, solo-dining meals, hotpot soup base products, meatballs, shrimp paste, meat, vegetables, and pots and grills. In addition, it offers supply chain management, information technology, and enterprise management services. Further, the company processes and sells aquatic products. It sells its products through a network of stores under the Guoquan Shihui brand name, as well as through online channels. Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Stock analysis
Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co Ltd (2517) currently trades at HK$1.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$5.11, implying the stock looks roughly 73.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$5.11 per share, and 25 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$1.38 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.9300, and 1 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$3.30 (bear) to HK$6.64 (bull), the price of HK$1.38 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co Ltd reported revenue of 7.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +18.5%/yr. Reported net income was 433M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$4.7B (≈ $598M) · P/E ratio 7.2 · P/S ratio 0.40 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.1925 · Dividend yield 8.0% · Net margin 5.5% · Return on equity 14.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 270%, 2517 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 635 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 74.63 | CHF 59.51 | −20% |
| Danone S.A BN | €59.12 | €50.65 | −14% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥33.93 | ¥37.32 | +10% |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $23.45 | $29.20 | +25% |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,363 | ₹724.74 | −47% |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥26.90 | ¥41.84 | +56% |
| Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 | ¥24.55 | ¥9.98 | −59% |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $31.67 | $34.59 | +9% |
| Wilmar International Limited F34 | 3.68 SGD | 5.14 SGD | +40% |
| Kerry Group KRZ | €85.55 | €59.96 | −30% |
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Key figures of Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co Ltd
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