EN DE
Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation

Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (2591) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co HK$2.67, price HK$3.85, upside -30.7%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Healthcare · HK

GI Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co

2591 · HK

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value HK$2.67 · Overvalued (−30.7%)
!Quality 39/100
!Weak Growth
!negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (5/7)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free Pro now: $1 first month

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$57.25 HK$3.44 Fair Value HK$2.67 Aug 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

14‑month range HK$3.44 – HK$57.25 · fair‑value band HK$1.76 – HK$3.34 · the HK$3.85 price screens above the HK$2.67 fair value. As of Sep 27, 2026.

Follow Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Guangzhou Innogen Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd engages in the development of drug engaged in the research, development and commercialization of pharmaceutical products. The company's products are used for the treatment of metabolic diseases, including diabetes, obesity and overweight, and MASH; and other major central nervous system diseases.

Show more

Guangzhou Innogen Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd engages in the development of drug engaged in the research, development and commercialization of pharmaceutical products. The company's products are used for the treatment of metabolic diseases, including diabetes, obesity and overweight, and MASH; and other major central nervous system diseases. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Stock analysis

Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (2591) currently trades at HK$3.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.67, 30.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 87/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$1.76 (bear) to HK$3.34 (bull), the price of HK$3.85 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co reported revenue of 128M CNY in FY2025 versus 0 CNY in FY2023. Reported net income was −333M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$3.6B (≈ $454M) · P/S ratio 27.1 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.2900 · Net margin −260% · Return on equity −36.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −39.5% · Operating margin −293% · Revenue (TTM) 132M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 91% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −31%, 2591 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.76 Fair Value HK$2.67 Bull HK$3.34
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.46 HK$1.96 HK$2.93 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.46 HK$1.96 HK$2.93 51

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when 2591 reaches fair value

Put 2591 on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 5
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

2591 screens overvalued: fair value 31% below the price. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

Compare Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 633 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/6 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Above median
Fair Value upside −30.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −17.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.43× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 3.45× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $527.67 $580.44 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $752.25 $1,275 +69%
argenx SE ARGX $959.49 $918.60 −4%
CSL Limited CSL A$176.95 A$194.65 +10%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,366,000 KRW 1,502,600 KRW +10%
BeOne Medicines AG ONC $360.85 $280.94 −22%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $255.96 $217.88 −15%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.21 $19.01 −67%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 177,400 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$53.00 HK$58.30 +10%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Healthcare stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co · Fair Value
HK$2.67 −31%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2591

Frequently asked questions

Is Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (2591) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.67 versus a price of HK$3.85, about −31% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2591?
Our model-based fair value for Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co is HK$2.67 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$3.85.
What is the quality score of 2591?
Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (2591)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.67 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.76, optimistic scenario HK$3.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$2.67, about −31% upside versus a price of HK$3.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.76, optimistic scenario HK$3.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (2591)?
Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 132M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (2591)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co it is HK$2.67 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$3.85. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2591 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$3.85, fair value HK$2.67, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2591?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$3.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$2.67). For Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co the two are HK$1.18 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co worth?
The market values Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co at about HK$3.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$3.85; our models calculate a fair value of HK$2.67 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2591?
Our models span a range for Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co: cautious scenario HK$1.76, base HK$2.67, optimistic HK$3.34 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$3.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (2591)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −36.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2591 from its 52-week high?
Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co trades at HK$3.85, about 91% below its 52-week high of HK$44.00 and 12% above the low of HK$3.44 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$2.67 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, CSL Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$3.85, calculated fair value HK$2.67 (−31%), Quality Score 39/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2591 calculated?
We run Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$2.67, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (2591)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$3.85. Our model-based fair value is HK$2.67, about −31% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$3.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$1.76 to HK$3.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co

How large is the market capitalisation of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (2591)?
The market capitalisation of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co is HK$3.6B (≈ $454M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (2591)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co is 27.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (2591)?
Earnings per share at Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co are HK$−0.2900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (2591)?
The net margin of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co is −260% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (2591)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co is −36.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (2591)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co is −39.5% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (2591)?
The operating margin of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co is −293% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (2591) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co is −318M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co (2591) hold?
Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co holds more cash than debt, 803M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed

Watch Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co in the live analysis

One click puts Guangzhou Innogen Pharm Grp Co on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.