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Hangzhou Huaxing Chuangye Communication Technology Co (300025) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · CN · Market cap 2.4B CNY

HH Hangzhou Huaxing Chuangye Communication Technology Co 300025 · SHE
Price¥5.00
Fair Value¥0.6500
Upside-87.0%
Quality50/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -24.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.4200 – ¥0.8700 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from ¥1.09 to ¥0.6500 (−40.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +14.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 87% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.8700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥0.4200 to ¥0.8700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥18.36 ¥3.05 Fair Value ¥0.6500 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.05 – ¥18.36 · fair‑value band ¥0.4200 – ¥0.8700 · the ¥5.00 price screens above the ¥0.6500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Hangzhou Huaxing Chuangye Communication Technology Co (300025) currently trades at ¥5.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.6500, implying the stock looks roughly 87.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Huaxing Chuangye Communication Technology Co generated revenue of 563M CNY at a net margin of -24.2%. Revenue declined 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -27.8%. Net debt stands at 49.8M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.4200 (bear case) to ¥0.8700 (bull case); at ¥5.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -87%, 300025 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.1100 to ¥0.9500). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.7700 ¥0.9400 ¥1.25 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.7100 ¥0.9400 ¥1.23 74
Gordon GGM ¥0.0900 ¥0.1100 ¥0.1200 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.7500 ¥0.9300 ¥1.28 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.7100 ¥0.9300 ¥1.25 39
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.7100 ¥0.8900 ¥1.09 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0900 ¥0.1100 ¥0.1200 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0900 ¥0.1200 ¥0.1500 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue ¥0.7300 ¥0.9500 ¥1.17 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.4200 ¥0.5700 ¥0.8500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.7700 ¥0.9400 ¥1.25 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.7100 ¥0.9400 ¥1.23 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥0.9500) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.1100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 563M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.6%
Net margin -24.2%
Return on equity -27.8%
Free cash flow 29.1M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -2.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.2700
EPS growth (YoY) +962%
Net debt 49.8M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 64
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hangzhou Huaxing Chuangye Communication Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile communication network technology services and related products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Hangzhou Huaxing Chuangye Communication Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile communication network technology services and related products in China and internationally. The company offers wireless test system, a test product for collecting, analyzing, and optimizing analysis report for wireless network data; wireless test terminal for mobile communication, a wireless test terminal equipment that automatically tests businesses through road APP test integrated on intelligent terminal; and signaling collection platform, and network analysis and optimization software. It also provides mobile communication network planning and design, communication engineering construction, room separation engineering, and network basis commission, foundation maintenance, and evaluation and optimization services. In addition, the company offers after-sales service tenet, system, guarantee measures, and content, including service acceptance, telephone and on-site support, on-site customer follow-up, and technical data sharing. It serves telecommunications operators, communications equipment suppliers, and others. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hangzhou Huaxing Chuangye Communication Technology Co reported revenue of ¥568M in FY2025 versus ¥717M in FY2021, a compound −5.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥146M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
568M CNY
Latest YoY
−17.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.2%
Revenue −5.6%/yr
FY21 ¥717M
FY22 ¥676M
FY23 ¥705M
FY24 ¥691M
FY25 ¥568M
Net income
FY21 −¥24.7M
FY22 ¥14.0M
FY23 −¥25.5M
FY24 −¥78.5M
FY25 −¥146M

300025 screens 87% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hangzhou Huaxing Chuangye Communication Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300025

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 250 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −87% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -24% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.81× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.62× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 12.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 15
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 96 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 73

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥89.98 ¥109.88 +22%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $187.61 $172.67 -8%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,922 ₹941.55 -51%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.01 ¥8.36 +39%
América Móvil, S.A. AMXB 23.07 MXN 30.35 MXN +32%
Vodafone Group VODN 259.50 MXN 507.27 MXN +95%
Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC 379.00 THB 286.77 THB -24%
Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 133.50 TWD 100.00 TWD -25%
China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited 0762 HK$6.50 HK$13.03 +100%
Telefónica, S.A TEFN 75.67 MXN 111.01 MXN +47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hangzhou Huaxing Chuangye Communication Technology Co (300025) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.6500 versus a price of ¥5.00, about −87% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300025?
Our model-based fair value for Hangzhou Huaxing Chuangye Communication Technology Co is ¥0.6500 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.00.
What is the quality score of 300025?
Hangzhou Huaxing Chuangye Communication Technology Co has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hangzhou Huaxing Chuangye Communication Technology Co (300025)?
Hangzhou Huaxing Chuangye Communication Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 563M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300025?
The net profit margin of Hangzhou Huaxing Chuangye Communication Technology Co is about -24.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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