Swisscom AG (SCMN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Swisscom AG is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 380.80 – CHF 699.32 · fair‑value band CHF 310.45 – CHF 633.97 · the CHF 651.00 price screens above the CHF 463.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
Swisscom AG provides telecommunication services in Switzerland, Italy, and internationally. It operates through Switzerland, Italy, and Other segments.
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Swisscom AG provides telecommunication services in Switzerland, Italy, and internationally. It operates through Switzerland, Italy, and Other segments. The company offers mobile communications, fixed network telephony, broadband, and TV to residential customers; telecommunications services and IT service solutions for corporate, public administration, and SME customers; business ICT infrastructure; range from individual products to end-to-end solutions to ICT infrastructure business; and makes network infrastructure to other telecommunications; and plans, operates, and maintains the network and IT infrastructure. It also provides network construction and maintenance, broadcasting services, and local search activities, as well as electronic signatures, digital certificates, and other trust services. In addition, the company offers integrated communication solutions, IT infrastructure, security, and cloud services to various workplace and other software solutions, IoT, and artificial intelligence; outsourcing services for financial and healthcare and public sectors; AI-supported services; and telecommunications provide a range of wholesale services for own use, refinement or resale based on copper, fibre-optic or mobile networks. Further, it provides broadband connections, leased lines, network connections, mobile virtual network operators, IP peering, co-location, and cable ducts; wholesale voice connections and roaming contracts; manages and markets digital booking platform; builds radio networks for broadcasting, security, and professional mobile radio networks; safety and security solutions; and ICT and network infrastructures for bandwidth, as well as road and tunnel construction. Additionally, the company provides FastwebAI Suite, a platform of generative artificial intelligence (AI) solutions designed for businesses and public authorities. Swisscom AG was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Worblaufen, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Swisscom AG (SCMN) currently trades at CHF 651.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 463.92, implying the stock looks roughly 40.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of CHF 417.46 per share, and 3 of the 24 models we run sit above the CHF 651.00 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at CHF 139.86, and 21 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: CHF 310.45 (bear) to CHF 633.97 (bull), the price of CHF 651.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Swisscom AG reported revenue of CHF 15.0B in FY2025 versus CHF 11.2B in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 1.3B in FY2025, compounding −8.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap CHF 33.7B · P/E ratio 27.3 · P/S ratio 2.30 · EPS (TTM) CHF 23.87 · Dividend yield 4.0% · Net margin 8.4% · Return on equity 10.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 29% fair-value upside, at −29%, SCMN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear CHF 310.45Fair Value CHF 463.92Bull CHF 633.97
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+36.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−1.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5% vs −2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 13%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−0.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 255 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−27% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)14% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.91× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)27.3× · Pricier than median
P/B3.30× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.71× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF13.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA12.1× · Priciest 25%
PEG2.89× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 15
PAST (return on equity)42· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)55· sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)79· sector 78
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Swisscom AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCMN
Frequently asked questions
Is Swisscom AG (SCMN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 463.92 versus a price of CHF 651.00, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SCMN?
Our model-based fair value for Swisscom AG is CHF 463.92 (as of Sep 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 651.00.
What is the quality score of SCMN?
Swisscom AG has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Swisscom AG (SCMN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 463.92 (as of Sep 17, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 310.45, optimistic scenario CHF 633.97. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Swisscom AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 463.92, about −29% upside versus a price of CHF 651.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario CHF 310.45, optimistic scenario CHF 633.97. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Swisscom AG (SCMN)?
Swisscom AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 14.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 17, 2026).
Does Swisscom AG pay a dividend?
Swisscom AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.99% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 17, 2026).
What growth is priced into Swisscom AG (SCMN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Swisscom AG would have to grow free cash flow by -0.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 7.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.3 % per year. As of Sep 17, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SCMN use?
Our models discount Swisscom AG at 7.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.40, country premium for Switzerland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Swisscom AG that is -0.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (7.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Swisscom AG (SCMN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Swisscom AG grew +6.3 % a year. The price currently implies -0.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Swisscom AG (SCMN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Swisscom AG (-0.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Swisscom AG (SCMN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.83 %: that much free cash flow Swisscom AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (7.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Swisscom AG (SCMN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Swisscom AG it is CHF 463.92 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026), against a price of CHF 651.00. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Swisscom AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 17, 2026, SCMN trades above its calculated fair value: price CHF 651.00, fair value CHF 463.92, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SCMN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 651.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 463.92). For Swisscom AG the two are CHF 187.08 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Swisscom AG worth?
The market values Swisscom AG at about CHF 33.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 17, 2026). Per share that is CHF 651.00; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 463.92 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SCMN?
Our models span a range for Swisscom AG: cautious scenario CHF 310.45, base CHF 463.92, optimistic CHF 633.97 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026, price CHF 651.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SCMN?
Swisscom AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.3 (as of Sep 17, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of CHF 463.92 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.9, P/B 3.3, P/S 2.7, EV/EBITDA 12.1.
What is the PEG ratio of SCMN?
The PEG ratio of Swisscom AG is 2.89 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 17, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Swisscom AG (SCMN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Swisscom AG (as of Sep 17, 2026): return on equity 10.4%, debt of 0.91 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SCMN from its 52-week high?
Swisscom AG trades at CHF 651.00, about 7% below its 52-week high of CHF 699.80 and 24% above the low of CHF 524.61 (as of Sep 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of CHF 463.92 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Swisscom AG?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, T-Mobile US, Inc, Verizon Communications Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Swisscom AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 17, 2026: price CHF 651.00, calculated fair value CHF 463.92 (−29%), Quality Score 58/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SCMN calculated?
We run Swisscom AG through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of CHF 463.92, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Swisscom AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Swisscom AG (SCMN)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was CHF 651.00. Our model-based fair value is CHF 463.92, about −29% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Swisscom AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 633.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (CHF 310.45 to CHF 633.97) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Swisscom AG (SCMN) come from?
Earnings per share at Swisscom AG grew −0.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.7 %, EBIT margin −1.4 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Swisscom AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Swisscom AG (SCMN)?
The market capitalisation of Swisscom AG is CHF 33.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Swisscom AG (SCMN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Swisscom AG is 2.30 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Swisscom AG (SCMN)?
Earnings per share at Swisscom AG are CHF 23.87 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Swisscom AG (SCMN)?
The dividend yield of Swisscom AG is 4.0% (payout 109%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Swisscom AG (SCMN)?
The net margin of Swisscom AG is 8.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Swisscom AG (SCMN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Swisscom AG is 10.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Swisscom AG (SCMN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Swisscom AG is 7.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Swisscom AG (SCMN)?
The operating margin of Swisscom AG is 14.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Swisscom AG (SCMN)?
Revenue at Swisscom AG is growing −4.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Swisscom AG (SCMN)?
Earnings per share at Swisscom AG are growing −9.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Swisscom AG (SCMN) carry?
The net debt of Swisscom AG is CHF 3.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 17, 2026