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Hiconics Eco-energy Technology Co (300048) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.1B CNY

HE Hiconics Eco-energy Technology Co 300048 · SHE
Price¥5.26
Fair Value¥1.17
Upside-77.8%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.17 – ¥1.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Share price +14.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 78% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥8.65 ¥3.77 Fair Value ¥1.17 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.77 – ¥8.65 · the ¥5.26 price screens above the ¥1.17 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Hiconics Eco-energy Technology Co (300048) currently trades at ¥5.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.17, implying the stock looks roughly 77.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hiconics Eco-energy Technology Co generated revenue of 6.9B CNY at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue declined 25.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 206M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -78%, 300048 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.73 ¥5.73 ¥9.64 80
Residual Income ¥1.15 ¥1.11 ¥0.9300 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.07 ¥2.45 ¥3.10 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.90 ¥5.34 ¥9.82 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.70 ¥4.49 ¥8.11 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.07 ¥2.29 ¥2.71 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.78 ¥3.75 ¥5.61 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.62 ¥3.86 ¥5.47 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.62 ¥3.35 ¥3.58 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.13 ¥4.82 ¥7.74 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.01 ¥4.49 ¥6.87 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.3700 ¥2.60 ¥3.64 54
Lynch FV ¥0.9300 ¥1.33 ¥1.73 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.9300 ¥1.33 ¥1.73 46
EPV ¥1.28 ¥1.29 ¥1.29 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0100 ¥0.0300 ¥0.0400 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0100 ¥0.0300 ¥0.0300 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.8600 ¥1.15 ¥1.44 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.7000 ¥0.9300 ¥1.16 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.7000 ¥0.9300 ¥1.16 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.37 ¥1.42 ¥1.47 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.31 ¥2.68 ¥3.04 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.33 ¥1.37 ¥1.42 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.8000 ¥1.08 ¥1.61 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.73 ¥5.73 ¥9.64 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.07 ¥2.45 ¥3.10 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.15 ¥1.11 ¥0.9300 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.28 ¥1.29 ¥1.29 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.21 ¥1.72 ¥2.24 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥3.86) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -25.1%
Net margin 0.3%
Return on equity 1.4%
Free cash flow 190M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 268.5
More key figures
Operating margin -0.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0200
EPS growth (YoY) +34.0%
Net cash 206M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hiconics Eco-energy Technology Co., Ltd. engages in green energy solutions, household energy storage and photovoltaic inverters, and high-voltage variable frequency drives (VFDs) converters business in China and internationally. It operates through High Voltage Frequency Converters, Photovoltaic EPC, Residential Energy Storage, and Others segments.

Full company description

Hiconics Eco-energy Technology Co., Ltd. engages in green energy solutions, household energy storage and photovoltaic inverters, and high-voltage variable frequency drives (VFDs) converters business in China and internationally. It operates through High Voltage Frequency Converters, Photovoltaic EPC, Residential Energy Storage, and Others segments. The company offers photovoltaic solutions, including residential, commercial, and industrial photovoltaic solutions; Midea PV grid-connected inverters; wind power generation; and power trading. It also provides energy storage solutions comprising residential integrated energy storage systems, photovoltaic inverters, micro-inverters, and charging products, as well as high-voltage frequency converters. The company was formerly known as Hiconics Drive Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Hiconics Eco-energy Technology Co., Ltd. in December 2016. Hiconics Eco-energy Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hiconics Eco-energy Technology Co reported revenue of ¥7.4B in FY2025 versus ¥1.2B in FY2021, a compound +57.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥62.0M in FY2025, compounding +5.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+55.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+73.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+42.7%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+32.6%
Revenue +57.6%/yr
FY21 ¥1.2B
FY22 ¥1.4B
FY23 ¥1.5B
FY24 ¥4.8B
FY25 ¥7.4B
Net income +5.4%/yr
FY21 ¥50.3M
FY22 ¥25.6M
FY23 −¥220M
FY24 ¥10.3M
FY25 ¥62.0M

300048 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hiconics Eco-energy Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300048

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -25% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 268.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.34× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.88× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 4.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 77.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.67× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 57
PAST 6 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hiconics Eco-energy Technology Co (300048) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.17 versus a price of ¥5.26, about −78% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300048?
Our model-based fair value for Hiconics Eco-energy Technology Co is ¥1.17 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.26.
What is the quality score of 300048?
Hiconics Eco-energy Technology Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hiconics Eco-energy Technology Co (300048)?
Hiconics Eco-energy Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300048?
The net profit margin of Hiconics Eco-energy Technology Co is about 0.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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