Risen Energy (300118) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Risen Energy ¥16.75, price ¥9.23, upside +81.5%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.42 – ¥36.68 · fair‑value band ¥9.63 – ¥26.11 · the ¥9.23 price screens below the ¥16.75 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Risen Energy Co.,Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells solar modules in China. It offers titan and hyper-ion modules; BIPV series; quality control; inverter; and energy storage products, including grid and mass industrial products.
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Risen Energy Co.,Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells solar modules in China. It offers titan and hyper-ion modules; BIPV series; quality control; inverter; and energy storage products, including grid and mass industrial products. The company is also involved in the construction, operation, and maintenance of photovoltaic power plants; design, engineering, operation, and maintenance of photovoltaic products; providing photovoltaic system solutions, such as project establishment consultation, design, installation, grid connection support, testing and maintenance, system upgrades, etc.; support services; and provision of project financing solutions. In addition, it exports its products to various countries and regions, including Europe, the United States, South Africa, and Asia. The company was formerly known as Ninghai Risen Electric Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Risen Energy Co.,Ltd. in 2009. Risen Energy Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China.
Stock analysis
Risen Energy (300118) currently trades at ¥9.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.75, implying the stock looks roughly 44.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥17.06 per share, and 8 of the 12 models we run sit above the ¥9.23 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥5.07, and 4 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥9.63 (bear) to ¥26.11 (bull), the price of ¥9.23 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Risen Energy reported revenue of 12.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 18.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −9.6%/yr. Reported net income was −2.8B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 15.9B CNY (≈ $2.4B) · P/S ratio 1.29 · EPS (TTM) ¥−2.56 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin −22.5% · Return on equity −29.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.3% · Operating margin −8.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 39 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 81%, 300118 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥9.63Fair Value ¥16.75Bull ¥26.11
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−37.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−24.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.1% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.6% (2020) → −10.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.0% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (47 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Solar · 113 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+82% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−24% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−10% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.23× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Solar median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Risen Energy Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300118
Frequently asked questions
Is Risen Energy (300118) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.75 versus a price of ¥9.23, about +81% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 300118?
Our model-based fair value for Risen Energy is ¥16.75 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥9.23.
What is the quality score of 300118?
Risen Energy has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Risen Energy (300118)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥16.75 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥9.63, optimistic scenario ¥26.11. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Risen Energy stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥16.75, about +81% upside versus a price of ¥9.23 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥9.63, optimistic scenario ¥26.11. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Risen Energy (300118)?
Risen Energy reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Risen Energy pay a dividend?
Risen Energy currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.76% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Risen Energy (300118)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Risen Energy would have to grow free cash flow by +14.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300118 use?
Our models discount Risen Energy at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.84, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Risen Energy that is +14.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Risen Energy (300118) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Risen Energy grew -4.8 % a year. The price currently implies +14.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Risen Energy (300118) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Risen Energy (+14.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Risen Energy (300118)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.11 %: that much free cash flow Risen Energy produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Risen Energy (300118)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Risen Energy it is ¥16.75 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥9.23. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Risen Energy stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300118 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥9.23, fair value ¥16.75, a gap of about +81% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300118?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥9.23); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥16.75). For Risen Energy the two are ¥7.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Risen Energy worth?
The market values Risen Energy at about 15.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥9.23; our models calculate a fair value of ¥16.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300118?
Our models span a range for Risen Energy: cautious scenario ¥9.63, base ¥16.75, optimistic ¥26.11 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥9.23). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 300118?
The PEG ratio of Risen Energy is 33.30 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Risen Energy (300118)?
Balance-sheet figures for Risen Energy (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −29.9%, debt of 0.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300118 from its 52-week high?
Risen Energy trades at ¥9.23, about 62% below its 52-week high of ¥24.00 and 4% above the low of ¥8.87 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥16.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Risen Energy?
From the same area (Technology) we also value First Solar, Inc, Nextpower Inc, Tongwei Co, Waaree Energies Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Risen Energy stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥9.23, calculated fair value ¥16.75 (+81%), Quality Score 31/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300118 calculated?
We run Risen Energy through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥16.75, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Risen Energy currently trades 81 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Risen Energy (300118)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥9.23. Our model-based fair value is ¥16.75, about +81% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Risen Energy right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥9.63). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (¥9.63 to ¥26.11). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Risen Energy (300118) come from?
Earnings per share at Risen Energy grew +19.3 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +22.6 %, EBIT margin −3.0 %, tax rate +2.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Risen Energy
How large is the market capitalisation of Risen Energy (300118)?
The market capitalisation of Risen Energy is 15.9B CNY (≈ $2.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Risen Energy (300118)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Risen Energy is 1.29 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Risen Energy (300118)?
Earnings per share at Risen Energy are ¥−2.56. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Risen Energy (300118)?
The dividend yield of Risen Energy is 2.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Risen Energy (300118)?
The net margin of Risen Energy is −22.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Risen Energy (300118)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Risen Energy is −29.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Risen Energy (300118)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Risen Energy is −1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Risen Energy (300118)?
The operating margin of Risen Energy is −8.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Risen Energy (300118)?
Revenue at Risen Energy is growing −9.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −24.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Risen Energy (300118)?
Earnings per share at Risen Energy are growing −66.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Risen Energy (300118) carry?
The net debt of Risen Energy is 5.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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