Risen Energy Co (300118) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 15.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Share price −5.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (¥3.66 to ¥7.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.42 – ¥36.68 · fair‑value band ¥3.66 – ¥7.57 · the ¥10.29 price screens above the ¥5.07 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Risen Energy Co (300118) currently trades at ¥10.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.07, implying the stock looks roughly 50.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Risen Energy Co generated revenue of 12.3B CNY at a net margin of -23.8%. Revenue declined 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -29.9%. Net debt stands at 5.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.66 (bear case) to ¥7.57 (bull case); at ¥10.29, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -51%, 300118 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥12.03) versus Asset-Based (¥5.07). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Risen Energy Co.,Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells solar modules in China. It offers titan and hyper-ion modules; BIPV series; quality control; inverter; and energy storage products, including grid and mass industrial products.
Full company description
Risen Energy Co.,Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells solar modules in China. It offers titan and hyper-ion modules; BIPV series; quality control; inverter; and energy storage products, including grid and mass industrial products. The company is also involved in the construction, operation, and maintenance of photovoltaic power plants; design, engineering, operation, and maintenance of photovoltaic products; providing photovoltaic system solutions, such as project establishment consultation, design, installation, grid connection support, testing and maintenance, system upgrades, etc.; support services; and provision of project financing solutions. In addition, it exports its products to various countries and regions, including Europe, the United States, South Africa, and Asia. The company was formerly known as Ninghai Risen Electric Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Risen Energy Co.,Ltd. in 2009. Risen Energy Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Risen Energy Co reported revenue of ¥12.6B in FY2025 versus ¥18.8B in FY2021, a compound −9.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥2.8B in FY2025.
300118 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with First Solar, Inc →
Peer Group
Solar · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Solar, Inc FSLR | $221.03 | $284.45 | +29% |
| Nextpower Inc NXT | $111.50 | $69.61 | -38% |
| Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER | ₹2,923 | ₹3,613 | +24% |
| Tongwei Co 600438 | ¥13.08 | ¥12.13 | -7% |
| Jinko Solar Co 688223 | ¥4.39 | ¥4.75 | +8% |
| Hengdian Group 002056 | ¥21.64 | ¥22.76 | +5% |
| CSI Solar Co 688472 | ¥10.11 | ¥7.01 | -31% |
| Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH | $44.83 | $22.20 | -50% |
| Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE | ₹1,086 | ₹912.32 | -16% |
| Trina Solar Co 688599 | ¥12.98 | ¥7.97 | -39% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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