XGD Inc (300130) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 12.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from ¥16.53 to ¥15.67 (−5.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.82 – ¥37.39 · fair‑value band ¥12.40 – ¥18.28 · the ¥19.82 price screens above the ¥15.67 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
XGD Inc (300130) currently trades at ¥19.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.67, implying the stock looks roughly 20.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, XGD Inc generated revenue of 3.3B CNY at a net margin of 12.5%. Revenue grew 23.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥12.40 (bear case) to ¥18.28 (bull case); at ¥19.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -57% fair-value upside, at -21%, 300130 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥21.05) versus Asset-Based (¥5.20). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
XGD Inc., together with its subsidiaries designs, researches, develops, manufactures, sells, and services payment terminals in China and internationally.
Full company description
XGD Inc., together with its subsidiaries designs, researches, develops, manufactures, sells, and services payment terminals in China and internationally. The company offers payments services and electronic payment devices, such as Smart POS terminals, QR code scanning terminals, facial recognition payment terminals, smart cloud speakers, and new payment terminals. It also provides internet marketing, commercial debt management, software development, and technical consulting. XGD Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
XGD Inc reported revenue of ¥3.2B in FY2025 versus ¥3.6B in FY2021, a compound −3.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥469M in FY2025, compounding +23.6%/yr from FY2021.
300130 screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Ricoh Company →
Peer Group
Business Equipment & Supplies · 73 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Business Equipment & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ricoh Company RICO | ¥15.33 | ¥17.99 | +17% |
| GRG Banking Equipment Co 002152 | ¥10.08 | ¥6.90 | -32% |
| Shanghai M&G Stationery Inc 603899 | ¥21.45 | ¥30.05 | +40% |
| DOMS Industries Limited DOMS | ₹2,260 | ₹782.96 | -65% |
| Hengbao Co 002104 | ¥9.20 | ¥1.66 | -82% |
| Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co 000561 | ¥6.99 | ¥1.75 | -75% |
| Shenzhen Comix Group 002301 | ¥7.30 | ¥3.11 | -57% |
| Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co 002376 | ¥6.00 | ¥1.73 | -71% |
| Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co 603187 | ¥11.92 | ¥21.12 | +77% |
| Cashway Fintech Co 603106 | ¥9.04 | ¥1.20 | -87% |
Compare XGD Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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