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Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt stock ¥1.08, price ¥3.19, upside -66.1%, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials CN · ISIN CNE100000VZ8

JB Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt

300135 · SHE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 66% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 47/100
Revenue last quarter 43% below a year ago.
Fair value ¥1.08 · Strongly overvalued (−66.1%)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.5 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -5.8% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 16/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥5.88 ¥1.66 Fair Value ¥1.08 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.66 – ¥5.88 · fair‑value band ¥0.7000 – ¥1.34 · the ¥3.19 price screens above the ¥1.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Jiangsu Baoli International Investment Co., Ltd. engages in research and development, production, and sale of asphalt and other road materials in China. The company operates through the Asphalt Business and Aviation Business segments.

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It offers general SBS modified, SBR modified, EVA modified, PE modified, ordinary emulsified, modified emulsified, high-speed railway special emulsified, high viscosity modified, high elastic modified, waste rubber and plastic modified, epoxy modified, road petroleum, high-strength structural, colored, and other asphalt products.

The company also provides forest escort and emergency rescue services; and rents and sells aircraft. Its products are used in highways, airport runways, and national and provincial roads.

The company was formerly known as Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Jiangsu Baoli International Investment Co., Ltd. in June 2015. Jiangsu Baoli International Investment Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Stock analysis

Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135) currently trades at ¥3.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.08, 66.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: ¥0.7000 (bear) to ¥1.34 (bull), the price of ¥3.19 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt reported revenue of 1.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −12.0%/yr. Reported net income was −98.5M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.9B CNY (≈ $442M) Small · P/S ratio 2.20 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0900 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin −5.8% · Return on equity −5.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.9% · Operating margin 10.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −66%, 300135 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.7000 Fair Value ¥1.08 Bull ¥1.34
Price ¥3.19 · Upside -66.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.3500 ¥0.5400 ¥0.6700 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.3500 ¥0.5400 ¥0.6700 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 13
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 6
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 66
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 72
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 28
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 6
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 85
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−30.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.5% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.1% (2020) → −4.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

300135 screens overvalued: fair value 66% below the price. Compare with CRH plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 254 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −66.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −6.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −5.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 10.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −43.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.26× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.43× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.16× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 10
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)87 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)16 · sector 48

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥18.48 ¥28.02 +52% vs 300135
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥30.37 ¥28.04 −8% vs 300135
Amrize AG AMRZ $40.03 $35.08 −12% vs 300135
CRH plc CRH $90.62 $75.08 −17% vs 300135
Holcim AG HOLN CHF 69.84 CHF 35.29 −49% vs 300135
Vulcan Materials Company VMC $280.31 $131.66 −53% vs 300135
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹2,901 ₹1,245 −57% vs 300135
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,150 ₹4,721 −58% vs 300135
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM $503.92 $209.33 −58% vs 300135
James Hardie Industries plc JHX A$37.13 A$7.89 −79% vs 300135

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Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt · Fair Value
¥1.08 −66%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300135

Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.08 versus a price of ¥3.19, about −66% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300135?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt is ¥1.08 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.19.
What is the quality score of 300135?
Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.08 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.7000, optimistic scenario ¥1.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.08, about −66% upside versus a price of ¥3.19 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.7000, optimistic scenario ¥1.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135)?
Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
Does Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt currently shows a dividend yield of 0.82% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt it is ¥1.08 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of ¥3.19. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, 300135 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥3.19, fair value ¥1.08, a gap of about −66% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300135?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.08). For Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt the two are ¥2.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt worth?
The market values Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt at about 2.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.19; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300135?
Our models span a range for Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt: cautious scenario ¥0.7000, base ¥1.08, optimistic ¥1.34 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price ¥3.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −5.9%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300135 from its 52-week high?
Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt trades at ¥3.19, about 38% below its 52-week high of ¥5.16 and 6% above the low of ¥3.02 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.08 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Vulcan Materials Company, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price ¥3.19, calculated fair value ¥1.08 (−66%), Quality Score 47/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300135 calculated?
We run Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.08, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was ¥3.19. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.08, about −66% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥0.7000 to ¥1.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt

How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135)?
The market capitalisation of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt is 2.9B CNY (≈ $442M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt is 2.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt are ¥−0.0900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135)?
The dividend yield of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135)?
The net margin of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt is −5.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt is −5.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt is −2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135)?
The operating margin of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135)?
Revenue at Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt is growing −43.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −17.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt are growing +174% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135) generate?
The free cash flow of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt is −272M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt (300135) carry?
The net debt of Jiangsu Baoli Asphalt is 437M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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