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Beijing Century Real Technology Co (300150) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 2.4B CNY

BC Beijing Century Real Technology Co 300150 · SHE
Price¥4.24
Fair Value¥1.76
Upside-58.5%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.4% net margin
generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.32 – ¥2.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from ¥1.87 to ¥1.76 (−5.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥6.49 ¥2.29 Fair Value ¥1.76 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.29 – ¥6.49 · fair‑value band ¥1.32 – ¥2.20 · the ¥4.24 price screens above the ¥1.76 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Beijing Century Real Technology Co (300150) currently trades at ¥4.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.76, implying the stock looks roughly 58.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Century Real Technology Co generated revenue of 858M CNY at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue declined 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 262M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.32 (bear case) to ¥2.20 (bull case); at ¥4.24, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -58%, 300150 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥1.93 ¥1.85 ¥1.54 76
Growth DCF ¥1.72 ¥2.62 ¥4.09 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.0200 ¥0.0500 ¥0.0700 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.73 ¥2.74 ¥4.46 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.61 ¥2.53 ¥4.08 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.55 ¥2.34 ¥3.42 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.71 ¥2.69 ¥3.92 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.70 ¥2.67 ¥3.78 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.57 ¥2.34 ¥3.52 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.71 ¥2.59 ¥3.93 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.70 ¥2.57 ¥3.82 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.6000 ¥2.88 ¥3.97 54
Lynch FV ¥0.7700 ¥1.10 ¥1.43 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.7700 ¥1.10 ¥1.43 46
EPV ¥1.36 ¥1.50 ¥1.63 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0200 ¥0.0500 ¥0.0700 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0200 ¥0.0400 ¥0.0500 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.32 ¥1.76 ¥2.20 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.12 ¥1.50 ¥1.87 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.12 ¥1.50 ¥1.87 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.94 ¥2.44 ¥2.93 53
EV/EBITDA ¥1.81 ¥2.25 ¥2.70 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.46 ¥1.89 ¥2.32 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.35 ¥1.82 ¥2.71 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.72 ¥2.62 ¥4.09 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.55 ¥2.32 ¥3.34 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.93 ¥1.85 ¥1.54 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.36 ¥1.50 ¥1.63 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.17 ¥1.67 ¥2.17 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.57) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 858M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.0%
Net margin 4.4%
Return on equity 2.4%
Free cash flow 59.7M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 59.1
More key figures
Operating margin -10.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0700
EPS growth (YoY) -99.2%
Net cash 262M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Beijing Century Real Technology Co.,Ltd engages in the provision of railway driving safety monitoring products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Beijing Century Real Technology Co.,Ltd engages in the provision of railway driving safety monitoring products in China and internationally. It is involved in the production, development and sales of railway traffic safety monitoring systems, railway integrated operation and maintenance services, railway communication systems, passenger information systems, and other railway information system products, as well as related system integration, technical training, technical consulting, and technical support services. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Beijing Century Real Technology Co reported revenue of ¥867M in FY2025 versus ¥940M in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥51.5M in FY2025, compounding +15.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
867M CNY
Latest YoY
+2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.0%
Revenue −2.0%/yr
FY21 ¥940M
FY22 ¥705M
FY23 ¥804M
FY24 ¥847M
FY25 ¥867M
Net income +15.9%/yr
FY21 ¥28.6M
FY22 −¥395M
FY23 −¥17.5M
FY24 ¥34.2M
FY25 ¥51.5M

300150 screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Century Real Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300150

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 625 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside −59% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -7% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 59.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.53× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.82× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 6.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 44.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 32
PAST 10 · sector 24
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing Century Real Technology Co (300150) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.76 versus a price of ¥4.24, about −58% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300150?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Century Real Technology Co is ¥1.76 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.24.
What is the quality score of 300150?
Beijing Century Real Technology Co has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Beijing Century Real Technology Co (300150)?
Beijing Century Real Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 858M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300150?
The net profit margin of Beijing Century Real Technology Co is about 4.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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