Wuhan Huazhong Numerical Control Co (300161) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥1.64 to ¥15.48 (+843.9%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +2.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥19.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥16.18 – ¥58.71 · fair‑value band ¥11.58 – ¥19.32 · the ¥29.50 price screens above the ¥15.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Wuhan Huazhong Numerical Control Co (300161) currently trades at ¥29.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.48, implying the stock looks roughly 47.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Wuhan Huazhong Numerical Control Co generated revenue of 1.6B CNY at a net margin of -0.3%. Revenue grew 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.5%. Net debt stands at 539M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥11.58 (bear case) to ¥19.32 (bull case); at ¥29.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -48%, 300161 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥5.45) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.8000). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Wuhan Huazhong Numerical Control Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells CNC products. It offers CNC controllers, such as CNC lathe and milling controllers, CNC grinding machine controllers, and CNC drives and motors; and industrial robots, including welding robotic arms, machine loading and unloading robots, palletizing robot arms, spray …
Full company description
Wuhan Huazhong Numerical Control Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells CNC products. It offers CNC controllers, such as CNC lathe and milling controllers, CNC grinding machine controllers, and CNC drives and motors; and industrial robots, including welding robotic arms, machine loading and unloading robots, palletizing robot arms, spray painting robot arms, assembly robot arms, pick and place robotic arms, and stamping robotic arms. The company also provides robotic production lines, such as lithium battery production lines, robotic assembly lines, shoe production lines, and automated packaging conveyor systems. In addition, it offers industrial training robots and CNC Machines for training; and intelligent manufacturing teaching platform. The company was founded in 1994 and is based in Wuhan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Wuhan Huazhong Numerical Control Co reported revenue of ¥1.6B in FY2025 versus ¥1.6B in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥16.3M in FY2025, compounding −15.0%/yr from FY2021.
300161 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €899.80 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €281.75 | €91.93 | -67% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.75 | -28% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 210.00 | kr 112.59 | -46% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 358.60 | kr 193.01 | -46% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥39.17 | ¥22.68 | -42% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥24.06 | ¥18.71 | -22% |
| ABB India Limited ABB | ₹7,700 | ₹1,322 | -83% |
| Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND | ₹5,315 | ₹1,355 | -75% |
| Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL | ₹420.00 | ₹96.51 | -77% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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