Cummins India Limited (CUMMINSIND) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹1.5T
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −0.5% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 78/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹2,134). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (₹1,032 to ₹2,134) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹711.91 – ₹5,978 · fair‑value band ₹1,032 – ₹2,134 · the ₹5,402 price screens above the ₹1,376 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Cummins India Limited (CUMMINSIND) currently trades at ₹5,402, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,376, implying the stock looks roughly 74.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 78/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Cummins India Limited generated revenue of ₹121B at a net margin of 19.5%. Revenue grew 21.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹23.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹1,032 (bear case) to ₹2,134 (bull case); at ₹5,402, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -75%, CUMMINSIND screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹1,647) versus Asset-Based (₹204.85). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cummins India Limited engages in the design, manufacture, distribution, and service of engines, generator sets, and related technologies in India, Nepal, and Bhutan. The company operates through two segments, Engines and Lubes.
Full company description
Cummins India Limited engages in the design, manufacture, distribution, and service of engines, generator sets, and related technologies in India, Nepal, and Bhutan. The company operates through two segments, Engines and Lubes. It provides accelera, G-drive, fire pump drive, hydrogen, and natural gas engines; and generators and power systems, including integrated power systems, alternators, transfer switches, generator set controls, system level controls and switchgears, and browse generators. The company also offers engine components, such as fuel systems, turbochargers, and engine braking and valvetrain technologies; and aftertreatment emission solutions, as well as operates component care centers. In addition, it offers drivetrain and braking systems comprising axles, brakes, carriers, drivelines, gearboxes and power take-offs, gears, suspensions, tire inflation systems, transfer cases, trailer solutions, and transmissions; parts and sales and services; software and electronic products; and digital products. The company serves commercial buildings, data centers, realty, infrastructure, hospitality, defense, greenhouse, healthcare, manufacturing, marine, mining, oil and gas, rental power, RVs, small business, telecom, water treatment, automotive, power transmission, and distribution industries, as well as end users, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), channel partners, dealers, and retailers. It exports to the United States, Europe, Mexico, Africa, the Middle East, and China. The company was incorporated in 1962 and is headquartered in Pune, India. Cummins India Limited is a subsidiary of Cummins Inc.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Cummins India Limited reported revenue of ₹121B in FY2026 versus ₹61.7B in FY2022, a compound +18.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹23.6B in FY2026, compounding +26.1%/yr from FY2022.
CUMMINSIND screens 75% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €967.60 | €212.97 | -78% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €284.30 | €122.46 | -57% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
Compare Cummins India Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Cummins India Limited (CUMMINSIND) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of CUMMINSIND?
What is the quality score of CUMMINSIND?
What is the revenue of Cummins India Limited (CUMMINSIND)?
What is the net profit margin of CUMMINSIND?
Does Cummins India Limited pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Cummins India Limited and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.