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Sandvik AB (SAND) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SE · Market cap 480B SEK

SA Sandvik AB SAND · ST
Pricekr 367.70
Fair Valuekr 193.01
Upside-47.5%
Quality69/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.56% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range kr 125.17 – kr 268.85 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −5.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 268.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 125.17 to kr 268.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 411.80 kr 132.65 Fair Value kr 193.01 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 132.65 – kr 411.80 · fair‑value band kr 125.17 – kr 268.85 · the kr 367.70 price screens above the kr 193.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Sandvik AB (SAND) currently trades at kr 367.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 193.01, implying the stock looks roughly 47.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sandvik AB generated revenue of 122B SEK at a net margin of 12.2%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.4%. Net debt stands at 32.2B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 125.17 (bear case) to kr 268.85 (bull case); at kr 367.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at -48%, SAND screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 130.58 kr 194.78 kr 287.06 80
Residual Income kr 80.49 kr 105.51 kr 321.15 76
Rev-Margin DCF kr 124.50 kr 201.98 kr 284.85 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 125.74 kr 194.16 kr 296.71 38
Owner Earnings kr 145.34 kr 223.09 kr 339.61 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 124.50 kr 200.69 kr 294.56 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 157.36 kr 259.10 kr 372.83 41
5Y P/E Exit kr 132.26 kr 214.48 kr 296.23 38
10Y Revenue Exit kr 119.12 kr 188.36 kr 274.11 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 144.66 kr 228.74 kr 332.44 37
10Y P/E Exit kr 128.62 kr 197.89 kr 275.35 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 79.63 kr 185.96 kr 239.12 54
PEG = 1.0 kr 31.72 kr 45.32 kr 58.92 46
EPV kr 110.10 kr 132.73 kr 152.84 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 175.66 kr 234.22 kr 292.77 63
P/S Multiple kr 149.31 kr 199.09 kr 248.86 58
P/B Multiple kr 149.31 kr 199.09 kr 248.86 55
EV/EBIT kr 206.28 kr 281.07 kr 355.87 53
EV/EBITDA kr 201.59 kr 274.82 kr 348.05 54
EV/Revenue kr 133.15 kr 197.97 kr 262.79 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 37.14 kr 49.76 kr 74.27 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 130.58 kr 194.78 kr 287.06 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 124.50 kr 201.98 kr 284.85 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 80.49 kr 105.51 kr 321.15 76
ROIC Compounder kr 114.77 kr 147.74 kr 185.70 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 133.17 kr 190.24 kr 247.31 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 200.69) versus Asset-Based (kr 49.76). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 122B SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.7%
Net margin 12.2%
Return on equity 15.4%
Free cash flow 16.1B SEK FY2025
P/E ratio 32.2
More key figures
Operating margin 17.4%
EPS (TTM) kr 11.81
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +4.0%
Net debt 32.2B SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sandvik AB (publ), an engineering company, provides products and solutions for mining and rock excavation, metal cutting, and materials technology worldwide.

Full company description

Sandvik AB (publ), an engineering company, provides products and solutions for mining and rock excavation, metal cutting, and materials technology worldwide. The company offers mining and rock excavation equipment, including drill rigs and bolters, underground loaders and trucks, mechanical cutting equipment, rock tools and rock drills, and mining automation; rock processing equipment, such as crushers, screens, hydraulic breakers, demolition tools, and breaker booms. It provides cutting tools and tooling systems, and digital solutions and software; metal powder for additive manufacturing, and products made from controlled expansion alloys; and tungsten powders, as well as recycling services of secondary tungsten raw materials. It serves aerospace, automotive, mining, general engineering, infrastructure, and other industries. Sandvik AB (publ) was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sandvik AB reported revenue of kr 121B in FY2025 versus kr 99.1B in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was kr 14.7B in FY2025, compounding +0.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
121B SEK
Latest YoY
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+4.1%
Revenue +5.0%/yr
FY21 kr 99.1B
FY22 kr 112B
FY23 kr 127B
FY24 kr 123B
FY25 kr 121B
Net income +0.4%/yr
FY21 kr 14.5B
FY22 kr 11.2B
FY23 kr 15.3B
FY24 kr 12.2B
FY25 kr 14.7B

SAND screens 48% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sandvik AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAND

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −48% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.30× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.16× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.94× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 3.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 19.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.47× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 24 · sector 23
PAST 61 · sector 28
HEALTH 85 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 31 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €967.60 €212.97 -78%
1SIE 1SIE €284.30 €122.46 -57%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%
Alfa Laval AB ALFA kr 564.60 kr 372.32 -34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sandvik AB (SAND) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 193.01 versus a price of kr 367.70, about −48% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SAND?
Our model-based fair value for Sandvik AB is kr 193.01 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 367.70.
What is the quality score of SAND?
Sandvik AB has a Quality Score of 69/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sandvik AB (SAND)?
Sandvik AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 122B SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SAND?
The net profit margin of Sandvik AB is about 12.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sandvik AB pay a dividend?
Sandvik AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.57% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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