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Sino Geophysical Co (300191) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · CN · Market cap 9.5B CNY

SG Sino Geophysical Co 300191 · SHE
Price¥32.74
Fair Value¥17.07
Upside-47.9%
Quality48/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.5% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
0.17% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: High Range ¥11.67 – ¥19.43 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥2.62 to ¥17.07 (+551.5%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price +24.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 48% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥19.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥53.00 ¥8.58 Fair Value ¥17.07 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.58 – ¥53.00 · fair‑value band ¥11.67 – ¥19.43 · the ¥32.74 price screens above the ¥17.07 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sino Geophysical Co (300191) currently trades at ¥32.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥17.07, implying the stock looks roughly 47.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sino Geophysical Co generated revenue of 810M CNY at a net margin of 8.5%. Revenue grew 83.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. Net debt stands at 587M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥11.67 (bear case) to ¥19.43 (bull case); at ¥32.74, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -48%, 300191 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥2.59 ¥2.58 ¥2.31 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.7000 ¥1.03 ¥1.32 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.9100 ¥1.81 ¥2.73 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.9200 ¥6.44 ¥9.04 54
Lynch FV ¥1.96 ¥2.80 ¥3.64 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.96 ¥2.80 ¥3.64 46
EPV ¥0.7000 ¥1.03 ¥1.32 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.9100 ¥1.81 ¥2.73 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.9100 ¥1.56 ¥1.91 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.43 ¥1.90 ¥2.38 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.73 ¥2.31 ¥2.89 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.73 ¥2.31 ¥2.89 55
EV/EBIT ¥0.5900 ¥1.26 ¥1.93 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.42 ¥3.70 ¥4.99 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.4600 ¥1.26 ¥2.06 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.76 ¥2.35 ¥3.51 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.59 ¥2.58 ¥2.31 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.7000 ¥1.03 ¥1.32 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.28 ¥3.26 ¥4.23 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥3.26) versus Economic Profit (¥1.03). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 810M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +83.7%
Net margin 8.5%
Return on equity 6.2%
Free cash flow −465M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 134.8
More key figures
Operating margin 22.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2200
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +540%
Net debt 587M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sino Geophysical Co., Ltd. engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas resources in China. The company offers block resource assessment services for oil and gas asset acquisition decisions and post-acquisition management; and technical services, including integrated data acquisition and processing, earthquake and geological …

Full company description

Sino Geophysical Co., Ltd. engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas resources in China. The company offers block resource assessment services for oil and gas asset acquisition decisions and post-acquisition management; and technical services, including integrated data acquisition and processing, earthquake and geological integration, engineering integration, and unconventional oil and gas and geothermal. It also provides of petroleum exploration and development technology and engineering services. Sino Geophysical Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Chaoyang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sino Geophysical Co reported revenue of ¥714M in FY2025 versus ¥406M in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥43.5M in FY2025, compounding +6.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 45/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
714M CNY
Latest YoY
+46.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.6%
Revenue +15.1%/yr
FY21 ¥406M
FY22 ¥481M
FY23 ¥481M
FY24 ¥486M
FY25 ¥714M
Net income +6.1%/yr
FY21 ¥34.3M
FY22 ¥41.1M
FY23 −¥128M
FY24 −¥52.8M
FY25 ¥43.5M

300191 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sino Geophysical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300191

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 190 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −48% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 84% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.88× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 134.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 8.45× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 11.72× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 32.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 1
PAST 25 · sector 28
HEALTH 56 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 3 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SLB N.V SLBN 836.00 MXN 533.97 MXN -36%
Baker Hughes Company BKR $55.95 $33.55 -40%
TechnipFMC plc FTI $74.57 $27.57 -63%
Halliburton Company HAL $35.22 $21.50 -39%
Tenaris S.A TS $57.16 $45.68 -20%
Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 ¥138.79 ¥34.17 -75%
Saipem SpA SPM €4.20 €2.72 -35%
Subsea 7 S.A SUBC kr 319.00 kr 227.98 -29%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.08 ¥12.64 +5%
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €188.10 €95.01 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sino Geophysical Co (300191) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥17.07 versus a price of ¥32.74, about −48% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300191?
Our model-based fair value for Sino Geophysical Co is ¥17.07 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥32.74.
What is the quality score of 300191?
Sino Geophysical Co has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sino Geophysical Co (300191)?
Sino Geophysical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 810M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300191?
The net profit margin of Sino Geophysical Co is about 8.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sino Geophysical Co pay a dividend?
Sino Geophysical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.17% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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