Sino Geophysical (300191) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sino Geophysical stock ¥2.37, price ¥23.59, that is 90.0% below the price, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.58 – ¥53.00 · fair‑value band ¥2.28 – ¥2.89 · the ¥23.59 price screens above the ¥2.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.
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Sino Geophysical Co., Ltd. engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas resources in China.
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The company offers block resource assessment services for oil and gas asset acquisition decisions and post-acquisition management; and technical services, including integrated data acquisition and processing, earthquake and geological integration, engineering integration, and unconventional oil and gas and geothermal.
It also provides of petroleum exploration and development technology and engineering services. Sino Geophysical Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Chaoyang, China.
Stock analysis
Sino Geophysical (300191) currently trades at ¥23.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.37, 90% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥3.26 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥23.59 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.27, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥2.28 (bear) to ¥2.89 (bull), the price of ¥23.59 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Sino Geophysical reported revenue of 714M CNY in FY2025 versus 406M CNY in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was 43.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding +6.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 7.7B CNY (≈ $1.1B) Small · P/E ratio 40.0 · P/S ratio 6.51 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.5900 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 16.1% · Return on equity 16.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at −90%, 300191 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.5600 to ¥6.44). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥2.28Fair Value ¥2.37Bull¥2.89
Price ¥23.59 · Downside -90.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.4675 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+46.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +31.9% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+10.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 12%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 287 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Above median
Fair Value upside−90.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)16.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets1.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)16.1% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)18.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)317.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.88× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)40.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B6.81× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)6.51× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA17.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)66· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)56· sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)4· sector 72
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sino Geophysical Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300191
Frequently asked questions
Is Sino Geophysical (300191) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.37 versus a price of ¥23.59, about 90% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300191?
Our model-based fair value for Sino Geophysical is ¥2.37 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥23.59.
What is the quality score of 300191?
Sino Geophysical has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sino Geophysical (300191)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.37 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.28, optimistic scenario ¥2.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sino Geophysical stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.37, about 90% lower versus a price of ¥23.59 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.28, optimistic scenario ¥2.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sino Geophysical (300191)?
Sino Geophysical reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does Sino Geophysical pay a dividend?
Sino Geophysical currently shows a dividend yield of 0.21% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Sino Geophysical (300191) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Sino Geophysical pays a dividend of ¥0.05 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.2%. The last ex-dividend date was May 28, 2026. The payout ratio is 8.5% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.2% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.2% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Sino Geophysical (300191)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sino Geophysical it is ¥2.37 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of ¥23.59. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Sino Geophysical stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 300191 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥23.59, fair value ¥2.37, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300191?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥23.59); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.37). For Sino Geophysical the two are ¥21.22 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sino Geophysical worth?
The market values Sino Geophysical at about 7.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is ¥23.59; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300191?
Our models span a range for Sino Geophysical: cautious scenario ¥2.28, base ¥2.37, optimistic ¥2.89 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price ¥23.59). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300191?
Sino Geophysical trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 40.0 (as of Nov 10, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥2.37 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2018 to 2025), reported earnings: 201.4. Other multiples: P/B 6.8, P/S 6.5, EV/EBITDA 17.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sino Geophysical (300191)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sino Geophysical (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity 16.5%, debt of 0.88 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300191 from its 52-week high?
Sino Geophysical trades at ¥23.59, about 55% below its 52-week high of ¥53.00 and 36% above the low of ¥17.32 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sino Geophysical?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, Diamondback Energy, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sino Geophysical stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price ¥23.59, calculated fair value ¥2.37 (−90%), Quality Score 51/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300191 calculated?
We run Sino Geophysical through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥2.37 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Sino Geophysical itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sino Geophysical (300191)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was ¥23.59. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.37, about 90% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sino Geophysical right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Sino Geophysical
How large is the market capitalisation of Sino Geophysical (300191)?
The market capitalisation of Sino Geophysical is 7.7B CNY (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sino Geophysical (300191)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sino Geophysical is 6.51 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sino Geophysical (300191)?
Earnings per share at Sino Geophysical are ¥0.5900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 40.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sino Geophysical (300191)?
The dividend yield of Sino Geophysical is 0.2% (payout 8.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sino Geophysical (300191)?
The net margin of Sino Geophysical is 16.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sino Geophysical (300191)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sino Geophysical is 16.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sino Geophysical (300191)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sino Geophysical is 0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sino Geophysical (300191)?
The operating margin of Sino Geophysical is 18.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sino Geophysical (300191)?
Revenue at Sino Geophysical is growing +317% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sino Geophysical (300191)?
Earnings per share at Sino Geophysical are growing +540% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sino Geophysical (300191) generate?
The free cash flow of Sino Geophysical is −465M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sino Geophysical (300191) carry?
The net debt of Sino Geophysical is 587M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 10, 2026