Wuhan Tianyu Information Industry Co (300205) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 33 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥3.20 to ¥0.7100 (−77.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +9.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (¥0.5300 to ¥1.07) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.62 – ¥20.17 · fair‑value band ¥0.5300 – ¥1.07 · the ¥5.13 price screens above the ¥0.7100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Wuhan Tianyu Information Industry Co (300205) currently trades at ¥5.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.7100, implying the stock looks roughly 86.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 140M CNY. Revenue declined 70.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -82.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 460M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.5300 (bear case) to ¥1.07 (bull case); at ¥5.13, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -57% fair-value upside, at -86%, 300205 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥0.7100) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0300). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Wuhan Tianyu Information Industry Co., Ltd. provides data security products and smart cards worldwide. It offers cards, terminals, systems, and solutions, as well as software design and development services, system maintenance, version upgrades, technical support, after-sales services, and system integration services.
Full company description
Wuhan Tianyu Information Industry Co., Ltd. provides data security products and smart cards worldwide. It offers cards, terminals, systems, and solutions, as well as software design and development services, system maintenance, version upgrades, technical support, after-sales services, and system integration services. The company also engages in the sales of textile raw materials, chemical raw materials, and metal materials; import and export of goods and technology; and enterprise management consulting services. It serves financial institutions, communications enterprises, and other sectors requiring high data security. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Wuhan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Wuhan Tianyu Information Industry Co reported revenue of ¥172M in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound −41.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥605M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +2.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
300205 screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Ricoh Company →
Peer Group
Business Equipment & Supplies · 73 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Business Equipment & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ricoh Company RICO | ¥15.33 | ¥17.99 | +17% |
| GRG Banking Equipment Co 002152 | ¥10.08 | ¥6.90 | -32% |
| Shanghai M&G Stationery Inc 603899 | ¥22.83 | ¥30.05 | +32% |
| XGD Inc 300130 | ¥19.90 | ¥15.67 | -21% |
| DOMS Industries Limited DOMS | ₹2,260 | ₹782.96 | -65% |
| Hengbao Co 002104 | ¥9.20 | ¥1.66 | -82% |
| Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co 000561 | ¥6.99 | ¥1.75 | -75% |
| Shenzhen Comix Group 002301 | ¥7.30 | ¥3.11 | -57% |
| Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co 002376 | ¥6.00 | ¥1.73 | -71% |
| Cashway Fintech Co 603106 | ¥9.04 | ¥1.20 | -87% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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