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Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co (300267) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 7.3B CNY

HE Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co 300267 · SHE
Price¥3.24
Fair Value¥0.4000
Upside-87.7%
Quality49/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -37.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 21/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.3900 – ¥0.4100 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥1.02 to ¥0.4000 (−60.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 88% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.4100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band (¥0.3900 to ¥0.4100), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥5.11 ¥2.06 Fair Value ¥0.4000 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.06 – ¥5.11 · fair‑value band ¥0.3900 – ¥0.4100 · the ¥3.24 price screens above the ¥0.4000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co (300267) currently trades at ¥3.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.4000, implying the stock looks roughly 87.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of -37.3%. Revenue declined 30.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 193M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.3900 (bear case) to ¥0.4100 (bull case); at ¥3.24, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -88%, 300267 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.7800 ¥0.9200 ¥1.17 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.5400 ¥0.5900 ¥0.6600 74
ROIC Compounder ¥0.3900 ¥0.4000 ¥0.4000 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.7600 ¥0.9100 ¥1.19 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.5400 ¥0.5800 ¥0.6400 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.02 ¥1.41 ¥1.92 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.6300 ¥0.6600 ¥0.7000 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.9100 ¥1.16 ¥1.43 37
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥0.3900 ¥0.4000 ¥0.4000 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥0.4400 ¥0.4700 ¥0.5000 53
EV/EBITDA ¥1.34 ¥1.67 ¥2.01 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.4100 ¥0.4400 ¥0.4700 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.9800 ¥1.31 ¥1.96 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.7800 ¥0.9200 ¥1.17 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.5400 ¥0.5900 ¥0.6600 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥0.3900 ¥0.4000 ¥0.4000 72

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥1.31) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.4000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -30.0%
Net margin -37.3%
Return on equity -9.9%
Free cash flow 93.7M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 2.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.1900
EPS growth (YoY) -52.9%
Net cash 193M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, production, and sale of pharmaceutical excipients, APIs and finished drugs in China and internationally.

Full company description

Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, production, and sale of pharmaceutical excipients, APIs and finished drugs in China and internationally. The company offers various APIs, such as glycerin, dilute hydrochloric acid, sulbenicillin sodium, dihydroxypropyl theophylline, calamine powder, sulfadiazine, sulphaguanidine, TMP, and resorcinol. It also provides finished drugs, including sulbenicillin sodium for injection and compound liquorice tablets. In addition, the company offers conventional pharmaceutical excipients include pharmaceutical glycerin, medicinal ethanol, medicinal propylene glycol, medicinal sodium hydroxide, and sucrose; and new pharmaceutical excipients comprise hydroxypropyl starch empty capsules, hydroxypropyl starch soft capsules, and citrate products. Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd was founded in 2003 and is based in Changsha, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co reported revenue of ¥1.2B in FY2025 versus ¥2.2B in FY2021, a compound −15.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥380M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 29/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−14.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−13.3%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+14.0%
Revenue −15.0%/yr
FY21 ¥2.2B
FY22 ¥1.9B
FY23 ¥1.8B
FY24 ¥1.1B
FY25 ¥1.2B
Net income
FY21 −¥791M
FY22 ¥45.9M
FY23 −¥195M
FY24 −¥373M
FY25 −¥380M

300267 screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300267

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -37% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth -30% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.02× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 11.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 7
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co (300267) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.4000 versus a price of ¥3.24, about −88% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300267?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co is ¥0.4000 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.24.
What is the quality score of 300267?
Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co (300267)?
Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300267?
The net profit margin of Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co is about -37.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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