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Leyard Optoelectronic Co (300296) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 18.5B CNY

LO Leyard Optoelectronic Co 300296 · SHE
Price¥5.45
Fair Value¥2.30
Upside-57.8%
Quality59/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 3.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.51% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.77 – ¥2.83 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥3.81 to ¥2.30 (−39.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥10.43 ¥3.75 Fair Value ¥2.30 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.75 – ¥10.43 · fair‑value band ¥1.77 – ¥2.83 · the ¥5.45 price screens above the ¥2.30 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Leyard Optoelectronic Co (300296) currently trades at ¥5.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.30, implying the stock looks roughly 57.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Leyard Optoelectronic Co generated revenue of 6.7B CNY at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue declined 21.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.77 (bear case) to ¥2.83 (bull case); at ¥5.45, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -58%, 300296 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.23 ¥9.34 ¥15.73 80
Residual Income ¥2.22 ¥2.18 ¥1.94 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.89 ¥5.92 ¥8.72 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.33 ¥9.10 ¥17.46 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.79 ¥4.47 ¥7.65 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.89 ¥5.97 ¥8.86 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.52 ¥7.36 ¥11.04 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.50 ¥5.13 ¥7.02 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.24 ¥6.46 ¥10.02 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.75 ¥7.51 ¥11.96 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.06 ¥5.82 ¥8.39 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.7700 ¥4.33 ¥6.01 54
Lynch FV ¥1.21 ¥1.73 ¥2.25 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.21 ¥1.73 ¥2.25 46
EPV ¥3.11 ¥3.44 ¥3.73 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.70 ¥2.27 ¥2.83 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.44 ¥1.93 ¥2.41 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.44 ¥1.93 ¥2.41 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.26 ¥5.32 ¥6.37 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.34 ¥5.43 ¥6.51 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.23 ¥4.14 ¥5.06 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.50 ¥2.00 ¥2.99 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.23 ¥9.34 ¥15.73 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.89 ¥5.92 ¥8.72 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.22 ¥2.18 ¥1.94 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.19 ¥4.10 ¥4.92 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.77 ¥2.53 ¥3.29 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥5.97) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.73). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -21.6%
Net margin 3.7%
Return on equity 3.3%
Free cash flow 819M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 75.7
More key figures
Operating margin 3.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0900
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -77.7%
Net cash 2.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 34
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Leyard Optoelectronic Co., Ltd. operates as an audio-visual technology company in China and internationally. The company operates through Intelligent Display; Cultural Tourism and Nighttime Entertainment; and AI and Spatial Computing segments.

Full company description

Leyard Optoelectronic Co., Ltd. operates as an audio-visual technology company in China and internationally. The company operates through Intelligent Display; Cultural Tourism and Nighttime Entertainment; and AI and Spatial Computing segments. It provides micro and small pitch LED products; AI smart devices; movie screens; commercial displays; project shows; outdoor naked-eye 3D display; indoor rental creative display; virtual shooting; outdoor all-in-one machine; smart meetings; smart education; and supporting equipment. The company offers solutions including lingshi intelligent comprehensive service platform; creative interactive large-screen; Big data visualization command center; stadium LED screen; smart light pole; smart campus construction overall; education big data integration; smart classroom; super studio solution; campus culture construction; campus hall cinema integration; immersive multi-party cloud teaching system; venues; museums; shows; night tours; XR; immersive entertainment; digital human; digital sports; cultural digital; industry simulation; and virtual simulation laboratory solutions. Its products and solutions are used in command and control, conference displays, broadcasting studios, commercial retail, sports events, and urban landmarks. The company was formerly known as Beijing Leyard Electronics Technology Co Ltd. Leyard Optoelectronic Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Leyard Optoelectronic Co reported revenue of ¥7.1B in FY2025 versus ¥8.9B in FY2021, a compound −5.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥307M in FY2025, compounding −15.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.1B CNY
Latest YoY
−1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+24.4%
Revenue −5.5%/yr
FY21 ¥8.9B
FY22 ¥8.2B
FY23 ¥7.6B
FY24 ¥7.1B
FY25 ¥7.1B
Net income −15.8%/yr
FY21 ¥611M
FY22 ¥281M
FY23 ¥286M
FY24 −¥889M
FY25 ¥307M

300296 screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Leyard Optoelectronic Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300296

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −58% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth -22% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 75.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.28× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.76× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 3.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 28.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 32
PAST 13 · sector 24
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 30 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Leyard Optoelectronic Co (300296) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.30 versus a price of ¥5.45, about −58% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300296?
Our model-based fair value for Leyard Optoelectronic Co is ¥2.30 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.45.
What is the quality score of 300296?
Leyard Optoelectronic Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Leyard Optoelectronic Co (300296)?
Leyard Optoelectronic Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300296?
The net profit margin of Leyard Optoelectronic Co is about 3.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Leyard Optoelectronic Co pay a dividend?
Leyard Optoelectronic Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.51% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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