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Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd stock ¥0.56, price ¥4.61, upside -87.9%, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials CN · ISIN CNE100001YK2

SI Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd

300423 · SHE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 88% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter 71% below a year ago.
Fair value ¥0.5600 · Strongly overvalued (−87.9%)
Quality 36/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −28.9 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -58.1% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 16/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥15.33 ¥4.25 Fair Value ¥0.5600 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.25 – ¥15.33 · fair‑value band ¥0.3700 – ¥0.7000 · the ¥4.61 price screens above the ¥0.5600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co., LTD engages in the research and development, production, and sale of electrical equipment in China.

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It offers electrical equipment sets, such as industrial electrical equipment is mainly used in petroleum, petrochemical, electric power, metallurgy, papermaking, medicine, rail transit, environmental protection, information technology services, and other fields; and civil electrical equipment is mainly used in civil buildings, public buildings, municipal engineering, and other fields, as well as power supply and distribution solutions, integrating hardware, software, and services.

The company also provides smart city comprehensive services, including smart lamp poles, smart transportation systems, smart community and building solutions, hotel intelligent systems, and home intelligent products; LED lighting; intelligent system; and public security products.

In addition, it is involved in production and manufacturing of upstream hydrogen production equipment; operation of downstream hydrogen energy vehicles; and new materials business.

The company was formerly known as Shandong Luyitong Intelligent Electric Plc. and changed its name to Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co., LTD in September 2020. Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co., LTD was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Laiyang, China.

Stock analysis

Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423) currently trades at ¥4.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.5600, 87.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: ¥0.3700 (bear) to ¥0.7000 (bull), the price of ¥4.61 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 760M CNY in FY2025 versus 2.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −27.2%/yr. Reported net income was −167M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.3B CNY (≈ $345M) Small · P/S ratio 5.16 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.5400 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −58.1% · Return on equity −23.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −14.2% · Operating margin −47.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −88%, 300423 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.3700 Fair Value ¥0.5600 Bull ¥0.7000
Price ¥4.61 · Upside -87.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.3700 ¥0.5600 ¥0.7000 55
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.3700 ¥0.5600 ¥0.7000 55

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 5
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 1
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 45
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 96
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 53
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 12
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 84
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−47.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.2% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
15.7% (2020) → −6.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

300423 screens overvalued: fair value 88% below the price. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 578 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −87.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −7.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −58.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −47.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −70.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.95× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 4.93× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 65
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)5 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 300750 ¥233.00 ¥648.35 +178% vs 300423
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥23.48 ¥29.39 +25% vs 300423
Vertiv Holdings VRT $242.94 $178.68 −26% vs 300423
Prysmian S.p.A PRY €114.90 €75.63 −34% vs 300423
Legrand SA LR €131.00 €83.20 −36% vs 300423
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 389,500 KRW 201,455 KRW −48% vs 300423
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 71.50 CHF 29.91 −58% vs 300423
Samsung SDI Co 006400 543,000 KRW 180,901 KRW −67% vs 300423
nVent Electric plc NVT $134.53 $43.61 −68% vs 300423
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company DELTA 221.00 THB 39.14 THB −82% vs 300423

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Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥0.5600 −88%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300423

Frequently asked questions

Is Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.5600 versus a price of ¥4.61, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300423?
Our model-based fair value for Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is ¥0.5600 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.61.
What is the quality score of 300423?
Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.5600 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.3700, optimistic scenario ¥0.7000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.5600, about −88% upside versus a price of ¥4.61 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.3700, optimistic scenario ¥0.7000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423)?
Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 466M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
Does Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.24% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd it is ¥0.5600 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of ¥4.61. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, 300423 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.61, fair value ¥0.5600, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300423?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.61); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.5600). For Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥4.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd at about 2.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.61; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.5600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300423?
Our models span a range for Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.3700, base ¥0.5600, optimistic ¥0.7000 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price ¥4.61). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −23.3%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300423 from its 52-week high?
Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥4.61, about 60% below its 52-week high of ¥11.58 and at the low of ¥4.61 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.5600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price ¥4.61, calculated fair value ¥0.5600 (−88%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300423 calculated?
We run Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.5600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was ¥4.61. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.5600, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.7000). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥0.3700 to ¥0.7000) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423)?
The market capitalisation of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is 2.3B CNY (≈ $345M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is 5.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423)?
Earnings per share at Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd are ¥−0.5400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423)?
The dividend yield of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423)?
The net margin of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is −58.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is −23.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is −14.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423)?
The operating margin of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is −47.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423)?
Revenue at Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is growing −70.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −29.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423)?
Earnings per share at Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd are growing −51.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423) generate?
The free cash flow of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is −62.6M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300423) carry?
The net debt of Sunfly Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is 43.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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