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Red phase INC., (300427) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.7B CNY

RP Red phase INC., 300427 · SHE
Price¥6.94
Fair Value¥0.6290
Upside-90.9%
Quality50/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -4.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.6205 – ¥0.6290 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +12.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 91% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.6290). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band (¥0.6205 to ¥0.6290), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥20.22 ¥2.65 Fair Value ¥0.6290 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.65 – ¥20.22 · fair‑value band ¥0.6205 – ¥0.6290 · the ¥6.94 price screens above the ¥0.6290 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Red phase INC., (300427) currently trades at ¥6.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.6290, implying the stock looks roughly 90.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Red phase INC., generated revenue of 729M CNY at a net margin of -4.3%. Revenue grew 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 239M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.6205 (bear case) to ¥0.6290 (bull case); at ¥6.94, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -91%, 300427 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.83 ¥2.37 ¥3.14 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.12 ¥1.20 ¥1.31 74
ROIC Compounder ¥0.7300 ¥0.7300 ¥0.7400 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.82 ¥2.45 ¥3.40 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.12 ¥1.18 ¥1.24 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.51 ¥1.92 ¥2.40 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.37 ¥1.49 ¥1.62 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.61 ¥2.00 ¥2.50 37
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥0.7300 ¥0.7300 ¥0.7400 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥0.7500 ¥0.7600 ¥0.7600 53
EV/EBITDA ¥1.41 ¥1.64 ¥1.86 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.7400 ¥0.7500 ¥0.7500 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.18 ¥1.58 ¥2.36 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.83 ¥2.37 ¥3.14 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.12 ¥1.20 ¥1.31 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥0.7300 ¥0.7300 ¥0.7400 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥1.92) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.7300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 729M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.4%
Net margin -4.3%
Return on equity -2.5%
Free cash flow 50.0M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -6.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.0600
EPS growth (YoY) -77.0%
Net cash 239M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 93
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 4
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Red phase INC., together with its subsidiaries, provides solutions for power grid condition-based maintenance and intelligent operations in China and internationally. It operates through Power Division, New Energy Division, and Communications Division segments.

Full company description

Red phase INC., together with its subsidiaries, provides solutions for power grid condition-based maintenance and intelligent operations in China and internationally. It operates through Power Division, New Energy Division, and Communications Division segments. The company offers power grid and generation system application products; RF components; microwave components and communication products; electronic components and electromechanical assembly equipment; communication electronic products; and intelligent infrared thermal imaging systems. It also engages in new energy development, construction, and management consulting; computer software development; sales and technical consulting; investment and financial management; general contracting of power projects and maintenance of power facilities; power generation, transmission, and distribution; construction engineering; design, development, construction, and consulting of solar photovoltaic power generation projects; arms trade; and photovoltaic power generation equipment installation activities. The company was formerly known as Xiamen Red Phase Instruments Inc. and changed its name to Red phase INC. in February 2018. Red phase INC. was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Xiamen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Red phase INC., reported revenue of ¥738M in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound −14.4%/yr. Reported net income was −¥17.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
738M CNY
Latest YoY
+16.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−23.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−13.4%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+9.5%
Revenue −14.4%/yr
FY21 ¥1.4B
FY22 ¥1.6B
FY23 ¥1.2B
FY24 ¥635M
FY25 ¥738M
Net income
FY21 −¥612M
FY22 ¥75.8M
FY23 −¥459M
FY24 −¥353M
FY25 −¥17.9M

300427 screens 91% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Red phase INC., Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300427

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −91% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.46× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.76× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 11.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 7 · sector 57
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Red phase INC., (300427) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.6290 versus a price of ¥6.94, about −91% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300427?
Our model-based fair value for Red phase INC., is ¥0.6290 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.94.
What is the quality score of 300427?
Red phase INC., has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Red phase INC., (300427)?
Red phase INC., reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 729M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300427?
The net profit margin of Red phase INC., is about -4.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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