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Wuhan Ligong Guangke Co (300557) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.0B CNY

WL Wuhan Ligong Guangke Co 300557 · SHE
Price¥26.39
Fair Value¥7.04
Upside-73.3%
Quality54/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 6.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.50% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range ¥5.28 – ¥8.80 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −13.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 73% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.80). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥35.73 ¥9.10 Fair Value ¥7.04 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.10 – ¥35.73 · fair‑value band ¥5.28 – ¥8.80 · the ¥26.39 price screens above the ¥7.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Wuhan Ligong Guangke Co (300557) currently trades at ¥26.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.04, implying the stock looks roughly 73.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Wuhan Ligong Guangke Co generated revenue of 738M CNY at a net margin of 6.4%. Revenue grew 12.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 678M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.28 (bear case) to ¥8.80 (bull case); at ¥26.39, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -65% fair-value upside, at -73%, 300557 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥10.93 ¥16.09 ¥24.62 80
Residual Income ¥4.78 ¥4.77 ¥4.37 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.71 ¥11.73 ¥15.74 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥11.05 ¥16.89 ¥27.04 38
Owner Earnings ¥8.65 ¥12.46 ¥19.08 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥8.71 ¥11.77 ¥15.88 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.32 ¥15.18 ¥21.36 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥10.29 ¥15.11 ¥20.71 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥9.33 ¥12.52 ¥17.38 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.51 ¥15.01 ¥21.99 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥10.48 ¥14.95 ¥21.44 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.01 ¥10.23 ¥14.14 54
Lynch FV ¥2.78 ¥3.98 ¥5.17 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.78 ¥3.98 ¥5.17 46
EPV ¥7.25 ¥7.74 ¥8.16 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.21 ¥8.28 ¥10.35 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.77 ¥5.03 ¥6.29 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.77 ¥5.03 ¥6.29 55
EV/EBIT ¥10.97 ¥13.24 ¥15.52 53
EV/EBITDA ¥10.42 ¥12.51 ¥14.60 54
EV/Revenue ¥7.60 ¥9.07 ¥10.55 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.20 ¥4.29 ¥6.41 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥10.93 ¥16.09 ¥24.62 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.71 ¥11.73 ¥15.74 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.78 ¥4.77 ¥4.37 76
ROIC Compounder ¥7.61 ¥8.86 ¥10.57 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.95 ¥7.07 ¥9.19 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥14.95) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.98). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 738M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.9%
Net margin 6.4%
Return on equity 5.1%
Free cash flow 85.4M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 94.3
More key figures
Operating margin 6.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2800
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +1.1%
Net cash 678M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wuhan Ligong Guangke Co., Ltd. provides optical fiber sensor products and Internet of Things (IoT) application system solutions in the fields of security and fire protection in China. The company offers IoT products and solutions, including smart fire protection, smart structure, and smart security.

Full company description

Wuhan Ligong Guangke Co., Ltd. provides optical fiber sensor products and Internet of Things (IoT) application system solutions in the fields of security and fire protection in China. The company offers IoT products and solutions, including smart fire protection, smart structure, and smart security. It also provides oil tank fire alarms, tunnel fire alarms, smart pipeline gallery and intelligent monitoring systems, intelligent perimeter intrusion alarm systems, intelligent bridge structure health monitoring systems, fire alarm systems and services, intelligent pavement systems, long-distance pipeline safety monitoring systems, and early warning systems. The company's products are used in the petroleum and petrochemical, electricity, and transportation industries, as well as in fire monitoring of oil and gas storage tanks, traffic tunnels, perimeter intrusion alarms, bridge structure health monitoring and comprehensive management and maintenance, equipment status monitoring and fault diagnosis, comprehensive monitoring of power facilities and cable corridors, urban integrated pipeline corridors, monitoring and safety management, and rail transit full-time and full-area disaster monitoring and early warning, among other fields. The company was formerly known as WIT Optical Fiber Sensing Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Wuhan Ligong Guangke Co., Ltd. in August 2002. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Wuhan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wuhan Ligong Guangke Co reported revenue of ¥724M in FY2025 versus ¥444M in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥46.5M in FY2025, compounding +36.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
724M CNY
Latest YoY
+11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.2%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.1%
Revenue +13.0%/yr
FY21 ¥444M
FY22 ¥545M
FY23 ¥604M
FY24 ¥646M
FY25 ¥724M
Net income +36.2%/yr
FY21 ¥13.5M
FY22 ¥19.7M
FY23 ¥25.2M
FY24 ¥34.3M
FY25 ¥46.5M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) −9.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.9 pp

of which total revenue +14.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −7.4 pp

EBIT margin −9.3 pp
Tax rate +1.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −9.0 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

300557 screens 73% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wuhan Ligong Guangke Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300557

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 525 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −73% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 94.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.93× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.73× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 81.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 65 · sector 57
PAST 20 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 10 · sector 20

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 782,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -53%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 208,500 KRW 29,594 KRW -86%
Hyosung Heavy Industries Corporation 298040 2,892,000 KRW 1,013,099 KRW -65%
Hitachi Energy India Limited POWERINDIA ₹35,800 ₹6,106 -83%
Polycab India Limited POLYCAB ₹9,289 ₹3,218 -65%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wuhan Ligong Guangke Co (300557) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.04 versus a price of ¥26.39, about −73% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300557?
Our model-based fair value for Wuhan Ligong Guangke Co is ¥7.04 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥26.39.
What is the quality score of 300557?
Wuhan Ligong Guangke Co has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wuhan Ligong Guangke Co (300557)?
Wuhan Ligong Guangke Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 738M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300557?
The net profit margin of Wuhan Ligong Guangke Co is about 6.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Wuhan Ligong Guangke Co pay a dividend?
Wuhan Ligong Guangke Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.50% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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