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Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co (300583) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 2.2B CNY

SS Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co 300583 · SHE
Price¥13.03
Fair Value¥10.27
Upside-21.2%
Quality46/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -3.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.13% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Narrow moat 21/100
Evidence: High Range ¥7.12 – ¥13.43 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 33 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥13.22 to ¥10.27 (−22.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +10.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 21% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥7.12 to ¥13.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥30.41 ¥10.52 Fair Value ¥10.27 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.52 – ¥30.41 · fair‑value band ¥7.12 – ¥13.43 · the ¥13.03 price screens above the ¥10.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co (300583) currently trades at ¥13.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.27, implying the stock looks roughly 21.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of -3.9%. Revenue grew 26.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.6%. Net debt stands at 448M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.12 (bear case) to ¥13.43 (bull case); at ¥13.03, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -21%, 300583 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥6.26 ¥11.35 ¥18.98 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.72 ¥3.34 ¥4.20 74
ROIC Compounder ¥1.00 ¥1.03 ¥1.05 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥6.41 ¥11.03 ¥21.57 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.90 ¥2.92 ¥4.77 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.72 ¥3.27 ¥3.84 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.73 ¥16.50 ¥26.83 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.90 ¥4.92 ¥6.24 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.91 ¥14.77 ¥26.30 37
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥1.00 ¥1.03 ¥1.05 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.29 ¥2.56 ¥3.88 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.29 ¥2.21 ¥2.70 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥1.09 ¥1.16 ¥1.24 53
EV/EBITDA ¥10.33 ¥13.49 ¥16.65 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.02 ¥1.09 ¥1.16 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.64 ¥6.22 ¥9.29 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥6.26 ¥11.35 ¥18.98 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.72 ¥3.34 ¥4.20 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥1.00 ¥1.03 ¥1.05 72

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥6.22) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.03). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +26.2%
Net margin -3.9%
Return on equity -2.6%
Free cash flow 78.9M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 5.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.2200
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +37.5%
Net debt 448M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co., Ltd. researches, develops, and produces steroid biomedicine intermediates. Its products include 9a-hydroxyandrost, 17a-hydroxyprogesterone, 17a-hydroxy progesterone derivatives, anecort acetate, neomycin sulfate, progesterone intermediate, tylvalosin tartrate, tetraene acetate, androstenedione, bisnoralcohol, …

Full company description

Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co., Ltd. researches, develops, and produces steroid biomedicine intermediates. Its products include 9a-hydroxyandrost, 17a-hydroxyprogesterone, 17a-hydroxy progesterone derivatives, anecort acetate, neomycin sulfate, progesterone intermediate, tylvalosin tartrate, tetraene acetate, androstenedione, bisnoralcohol, norandrostenedione, ethylene deltenone, 16ß and 16a methyl epoxide, and hexahydro-3a-methyl, as well as androsta-1,4-diene-3,17-dione and estra-4,9-diene-3,17-dione. Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is based in Heze, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.0B in FY2025 versus ¥1.2B in FY2021, a compound −4.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥73.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 34/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.0B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+41.6%
Revenue −4.1%/yr
FY21 ¥1.2B
FY22 ¥1.3B
FY23 ¥1.3B
FY24 ¥971M
FY25 ¥1.0B
Net income
FY21 ¥36.2M
FY22 ¥42.0M
FY23 ¥45.6M
FY24 −¥88.8M
FY25 −¥73.1M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2024) −19.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.7 pp

of which total revenue +10.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.5 pp

EBIT margin −25.9 pp
Tax rate +0.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

300583 screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300583

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 601 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Above median
Fair Value upside −21% · Above median
Return on assets -0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth 26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.30× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 5 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 96 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 3 · sector 23

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co (300583) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥10.27 versus a price of ¥13.03, about −21% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300583?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co is ¥10.27 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥13.03.
What is the quality score of 300583?
Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co (300583)?
Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300583?
The net profit margin of Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co is about -3.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co pay a dividend?
Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.13% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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