XDC Industries (Shenzhen) Limited (300615) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 2.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥2.92 to ¥3.85 (+31.8%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price +78.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 78% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.25 – ¥19.49 · fair‑value band ¥2.92 – ¥4.79 · the ¥17.30 price screens above the ¥3.85 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
XDC Industries (Shenzhen) Limited (300615) currently trades at ¥17.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.85, implying the stock looks roughly 77.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, XDC Industries (Shenzhen) Limited generated revenue of 537M CNY at a net margin of -7.2%. Revenue grew 79.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -14.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 20.6M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.92 (bear case) to ¥4.79 (bull case); at ¥17.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -78%, 300615 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥4.44) versus Asset-Based (¥1.75). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
XDC Industries (Shenzhen) Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of radio frequency devices, new energy structural components, and medical structural components for the mobile communication industry in China and internationally.
Full company description
XDC Industries (Shenzhen) Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of radio frequency devices, new energy structural components, and medical structural components for the mobile communication industry in China and internationally. The company offers RF front-end products comprising filters, diplexers, combiners, and mimo antennas; RF and precision components; optical communication components; and antennas, resonators, tuning screws, low-pass, transmission main rods, capacitive coupling sheets, capacitive coupling rods, mediums, charging terminals, positive and negative copper electrodes, and medical structural parts. Its products are used in telecommunication, automobile, new energy, medical, aviation, and consumer electronics applications. XDC Industries (Shenzhen) Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
XDC Industries (Shenzhen) Limited reported revenue of ¥474M in FY2025 versus ¥277M in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was −¥8.6M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +12.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
300615 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →
Peer Group
Electronic Components · 647 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,790 TWD | 602.37 TWD | -66% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥56.06 | ¥38.44 | -31% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,503,000 KRW | 172,954 KRW | -88% |
| Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 | ¥202.11 | ¥21.19 | -90% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥143.23 | ¥36.30 | -75% |
| Shennan Circuits Co 002916 | ¥385.80 | ¥125.52 | -67% |
| Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 | HK$238.60 | HK$75.68 | -68% |
| Kingboard Laminates Holdings 1888 | HK$38.70 | HK$8.95 | -77% |
| Asia Vital Components Co 3017 | 2,910 TWD | 1,369 TWD | -53% |
| Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board Corporation 8046 | 1,215 TWD | 1,768 TWD | +46% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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