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Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd (300627) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 23.9B CNY

SH Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd 300627 · SHE
Price¥28.16
Fair Value¥15.53
Upside-44.9%
Quality69/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.45% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥11.97 – ¥28.69 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +3.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 45% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥11.97 to ¥28.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥45.63 ¥10.12 Fair Value ¥15.53 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.12 – ¥45.63 · fair‑value band ¥11.97 – ¥28.69 · the ¥28.16 price screens above the ¥15.53 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd (300627) currently trades at ¥28.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.53, implying the stock looks roughly 44.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd generated revenue of 3.7B CNY at a net margin of 18.0%. Revenue grew 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥11.97 (bear case) to ¥28.69 (bull case); at ¥28.16, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -45%, 300627 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥13.45 ¥23.70 ¥44.43 80
Residual Income ¥5.65 ¥7.32 ¥21.99 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥11.35 ¥21.42 ¥37.15 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥14.20 ¥21.47 ¥44.62 38
Owner Earnings ¥15.33 ¥32.94 ¥69.91 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥11.35 ¥18.92 ¥34.28 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.79 ¥21.91 ¥39.28 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥14.42 ¥29.72 ¥50.15 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥11.83 ¥23.36 ¥32.92 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.22 ¥26.32 ¥50.65 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥14.39 ¥29.65 ¥56.65 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.84 ¥40.74 ¥57.17 54
Lynch FV ¥13.88 ¥19.84 ¥25.79 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥13.88 ¥19.84 ¥25.79 46
EPV ¥9.63 ¥10.98 ¥12.16 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.28 ¥6.83 ¥10.83 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.28 ¥5.76 ¥7.16 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥12.89 ¥17.18 ¥21.48 63
P/S Multiple ¥8.71 ¥11.61 ¥14.52 58
P/B Multiple ¥10.95 ¥14.60 ¥18.25 55
EV/EBIT ¥14.29 ¥18.55 ¥22.80 53
EV/EBITDA ¥12.20 ¥15.75 ¥19.31 54
EV/Revenue ¥9.66 ¥13.14 ¥16.62 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.53 ¥3.39 ¥5.06 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥13.45 ¥23.70 ¥44.43 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥11.35 ¥21.42 ¥37.15 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.65 ¥7.32 ¥21.99 76
ROIC Compounder ¥11.93 ¥17.02 ¥23.53 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥17.86 ¥25.52 ¥33.17 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥25.52) versus Asset-Based (¥3.39). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.3%
Net margin 18.0%
Return on equity 16.4%
Free cash flow 597M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 35.5
More key figures
Operating margin 16.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.8500
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -13.7%
Net cash 1.0B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 70
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 70
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd. provides navigation, positioning, and mapping technologies in China and internationally.

Full company description

Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd. provides navigation, positioning, and mapping technologies in China and internationally. It offers global navigation satellite system (GNSS) smart antennas and antennas, controllers and tablets, surveying and mapping software, GNSS sensors, total stations, and data links; handheld laser scanners, airborne LiDAR and mobile mapping systems, UAV platforms, software, and UAS cameras; USV platforms and hydrographic sensors; multi-point deformation monitoring system and data loggers; and GNSS corrections. The company also provides machine control systems for excavators, graders, and dozers; GNSS surveying systems; GNSS+INS and IMU Sensors; and auto steering, manual guidance, land leveling, and GNSS systems, as well as application control systems. It serves the geospatial, machine control, navigation, and agriculture industries. Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd reported revenue of ¥3.7B in FY2025 versus ¥1.9B in FY2021, a compound +17.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥681M in FY2025, compounding +23.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+18.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+21.2%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+25.8%
Revenue +17.9%/yr
FY21 ¥1.9B
FY22 ¥2.2B
FY23 ¥2.7B
FY24 ¥3.3B
FY25 ¥3.7B
Net income +23.3%/yr
FY21 ¥294M
FY22 ¥361M
FY23 ¥449M
FY24 ¥583M
FY25 ¥681M

300627 screens 45% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300627

Peer Group

Scientific & Technical Instruments · 161 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −45% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 5.96× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.43× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 28.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 12 · sector 34
PAST 66 · sector 25
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 29 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS $315.90 $84.16 -73%
Garmin Ltd GRMN $241.76 $146.67 -39%
Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY $635.52 $367.58 -42%
Chroma ATE Inc 2360 1,905 TWD 286.15 TWD -85%
Hexagon AB HEXAB kr 80.10 kr 52.93 -34%
MKS Inc MKSI $324.69 $77.46 -76%
AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 ¥52.91 ¥34.47 -35%
Fortive Corporation FTV $61.78 $33.84 -45%
Trimble Inc TRMB $52.72 $24.47 -54%
Cognex Corporation CGNX $64.07 $13.75 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd (300627) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥15.53 versus a price of ¥28.16, about −45% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300627?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd is ¥15.53 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥28.16.
What is the quality score of 300627?
Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd (300627)?
Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300627?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd is about 18.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd pay a dividend?
Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.45% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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