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Senba Sensing Technology Co (300701) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 2.9B CNY

SS Senba Sensing Technology Co 300701 · SHE
Price¥9.75
Fair Value¥4.85
Upside-50.3%
Quality64/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.63% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.74 – ¥5.97 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥5.25 to ¥4.85 (−7.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 50% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥16.17 ¥5.18 Fair Value ¥4.85 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.18 – ¥16.17 · fair‑value band ¥3.74 – ¥5.97 · the ¥9.75 price screens above the ¥4.85 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Senba Sensing Technology Co (300701) currently trades at ¥9.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.85, implying the stock looks roughly 50.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Senba Sensing Technology Co generated revenue of 421M CNY at a net margin of 17.8%. Revenue declined 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 111M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.74 (bear case) to ¥5.97 (bull case); at ¥9.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -50%, 300701 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.97 ¥6.38 ¥10.31 80
Residual Income ¥2.76 ¥2.92 ¥3.20 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.42 ¥5.39 ¥7.97 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.02 ¥6.71 ¥11.30 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.97 ¥6.62 ¥11.15 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.42 ¥5.43 ¥8.16 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.84 ¥6.31 ¥9.42 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.21 ¥7.08 ¥10.39 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.51 ¥5.48 ¥8.50 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.87 ¥6.11 ¥9.55 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.11 ¥6.67 ¥10.35 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.79 ¥8.66 ¥11.92 54
Lynch FV ¥2.32 ¥3.31 ¥4.30 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.32 ¥3.31 ¥4.30 46
EPV ¥2.87 ¥3.22 ¥3.52 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.94 ¥5.25 ¥6.56 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.81 ¥3.75 ¥4.69 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.35 ¥4.46 ¥5.58 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.36 ¥5.59 ¥6.81 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.01 ¥5.13 ¥6.24 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.15 ¥4.22 ¥5.28 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.69 ¥2.27 ¥3.38 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.97 ¥6.38 ¥10.31 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.42 ¥5.39 ¥7.97 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.76 ¥2.92 ¥3.20 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.87 ¥3.22 ¥3.72 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.51 ¥5.01 ¥6.52 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.31) versus Asset-Based (¥2.27). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 421M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.3%
Net margin 17.8%
Return on equity 8.1%
Free cash flow 76.1M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 39.7
More key figures
Operating margin 16.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2600
Dividend yield 2.6%
Net cash 111M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Senba Sensing Technology Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, development, production, sale, and service of sensors in China.

Full company description

Senba Sensing Technology Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, development, production, sale, and service of sensors in China. The company offers pyroelectric infrared, visible light, flame detection infrared, NDIR gas, and infrared thermopile temperature sensors; and analog optocouplers, infrared filters, PIR sensing modules, fresnel lenses, and pressure transmitters. Its products are used in smart lighting and home, induction switch, security monitoring, consumer electronics, and smart toys. The company also engages in the metal products industry; electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing; and investing activities. The company was formerly known as Nan Yang Senba Optical and Electronic Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Senba Sensing Technology Co.,Ltd. in April 2018. Senba Sensing Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Nanyang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Senba Sensing Technology Co reported revenue of ¥424M in FY2025 versus ¥311M in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥74.2M in FY2025, compounding −12.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
424M CNY
Latest YoY
−4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.8%
Revenue +8.1%/yr
FY21 ¥311M
FY22 ¥250M
FY23 ¥295M
FY24 ¥446M
FY25 ¥424M
Net income −12.3%/yr
FY21 ¥126M
FY22 ¥43.0M
FY23 ¥56.4M
FY24 ¥39.4M
FY25 ¥74.2M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +0.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.3 pp

of which total revenue +12.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.7 pp

EBIT margin −4.6 pp
Tax rate +0.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

300701 screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Senba Sensing Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300701

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 625 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −50% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 39.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.05× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 6.94× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 31.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 32
PAST 33 · sector 24
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 53 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Senba Sensing Technology Co (300701) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.85 versus a price of ¥9.75, about −50% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300701?
Our model-based fair value for Senba Sensing Technology Co is ¥4.85 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥9.75.
What is the quality score of 300701?
Senba Sensing Technology Co has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Senba Sensing Technology Co (300701)?
Senba Sensing Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 421M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300701?
The net profit margin of Senba Sensing Technology Co is about 17.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Senba Sensing Technology Co pay a dividend?
Senba Sensing Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.63% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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