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Dnake Xiamen Intelligent Technology (300884) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.7B CNY (≈ $400M) · ISIN CNE1000048N2

What is Dnake Xiamen Intelligent Technology really worth?

DX Dnake Xiamen Intelligent Technology 300884 · SHE
Price¥13.77
Fair Value¥1.64
Upside−88.1%
Quality53/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

A solid business, but trading 740% above our fair value of ¥1.64.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.2 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -4.9% net margin · fiscal year 2025 1.8%
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 24 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range ¥1.59 – ¥1.69

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price +27.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band (¥1.59 to ¥1.69), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥21.02 ¥7.21 Fair Value ¥1.64 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.21 – ¥21.02 · fair‑value band ¥1.59 – ¥1.69 · the ¥13.77 price screens above the ¥1.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Dnake Xiamen Intelligent Technology (300884) currently trades at ¥13.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.64, implying the stock looks roughly 739.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥3.39 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the ¥13.77 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.3800, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Dnake Xiamen Intelligent Technology generated revenue of 661M CNY at a net margin of −4.9%. Revenue grew 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −2.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 310M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.59 (bear case) to ¥1.69 (bull case); at ¥13.77, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −88%, 300884 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.0334 per share, which is 2.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.3800 to ¥3.39). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence ¥1.63 ¥1.77 ¥2.02 82
Growth DCF ¥1.64 ¥1.78 ¥2.01 80
Owner Earnings ¥1.49 ¥1.58 ¥1.75 78
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence ¥1.63 ¥1.77 ¥2.02 82
Owner Earnings ¥1.49 ¥1.58 ¥1.75 78
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.60 ¥1.76 ¥2.00 74
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.09 ¥2.61 ¥3.30 77
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.77 ¥2.05 ¥2.39 72
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.60 ¥1.72 ¥1.85 68
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.90 ¥2.23 ¥2.59 70
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.71 ¥1.89 ¥2.07 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.3100 ¥0.3800 ¥0.4300 67
EPV ¥1.58 ¥1.63 ¥1.68 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.7300 ¥0.9700 ¥1.21 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.5900 ¥0.7900 ¥0.9800 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.5900 ¥0.7900 ¥0.9800 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.77 ¥1.94 ¥2.12 66
EV/EBITDA ¥2.59 ¥3.04 ¥3.50 67
EV/Revenue ¥1.62 ¥1.78 ¥1.94 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.53 ¥3.39 ¥5.05 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.64 ¥1.78 ¥2.01 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.60 ¥1.77 ¥1.98 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.39 ¥3.11 ¥2.21 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.58 ¥1.63 ¥1.68 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.5100 ¥0.7300 ¥0.9500 67

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥3.39) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.3800). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 275.4
P/S ratio 4.89 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0500 price ÷ EPS = P/E 275.4
Net margin 1.8% FY2025
Return on equity −2.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin −1.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 661M CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.8% 3y avg −7.8%
EPS growth (YoY) −98.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 10.6M CNY FY2025
Net cash 310M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Dnake (Xiamen) Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells intercom products and solutions worldwide.

Full company description

Dnake (Xiamen) Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells intercom products and solutions worldwide. It offers IP video intercom products, such as door stations, indoor monitors, master stations, modules, and kits; 2-wire IP video intercom products; wireless doorbells; smart control panel, smart lighting, smart security, smart shading, thermostat and humidity sensor; access control; DNAKE Smart Pro APP and DNAKE Smart Life APP, which are cloud-based intercom apps; DNAKE Cloud Platform; and accessories. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Xiamen, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Dnake Xiamen Intelligent Technology reported revenue of 660M CNY in FY2025 versus 942M CNY in FY2021, a compound −8.5%/yr. Reported net income was 11.7M CNY in FY2025, compounding −42.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
660M CNY
Latest YoY
−8.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−40.4% (−40.4 + 0.0)
Revenue −8.5%/yr
FY21 942M CNY
FY22 842M CNY
FY23 884M CNY
FY24 720M CNY
FY25 660M CNY
Net income −42.0%/yr
FY21 104M CNY
FY22 80.3M CNY
FY23 102M CNY
FY24 −12.9M CNY
FY25 11.7M CNY

300884 screens 740% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dnake Xiamen Intelligent Technology Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300884

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 551 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 275.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.31× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.61× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 37.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE24 · sector 56
PAST0 · sector 26
HEALTH99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND0 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$652.50 HK$394.19 −40%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 80.10 CHF 28.70 −64%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.40 SGD 1.47 SGD −86%
Vertiv Holdings VRT $257.08 $63.13 −75%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 365,500 KRW 201,455 KRW −45%
Prysmian S.p.A PRY €123.60 €84.15 −32%
Legrand SA LR €139.65 €78.82 −44%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥117.53 ¥123.83 +5%
Hubbell Incorporated HUBB $472.46 $285.77 −40%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥61.07 ¥33.04 −46%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Dnake Xiamen Intelligent Technology (300884) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.64 versus a price of ¥13.77, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300884?
Our model-based fair value for Dnake Xiamen Intelligent Technology is ¥1.64 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.77.
What is the quality score of 300884?
Dnake Xiamen Intelligent Technology has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Dnake Xiamen Intelligent Technology (300884)?
Dnake Xiamen Intelligent Technology reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 661M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300884?
The net profit margin of Dnake Xiamen Intelligent Technology is about −4.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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