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EMTEK (Shenzhen) Co (300938) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 14.1B CNY

ES EMTEK (Shenzhen) Co 300938 · SHE
Price¥28.10
Fair Value¥10.55
Upside-62.5%
Quality65/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 24.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.52% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥5.86 – ¥13.47 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥11.05 to ¥10.55 (−4.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −39.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 62% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥13.47). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥5.86 to ¥13.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥54.30 ¥7.53 Fair Value ¥10.55 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.53 – ¥54.30 · fair‑value band ¥5.86 – ¥13.47 · the ¥28.10 price screens above the ¥10.55 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

EMTEK (Shenzhen) Co (300938) currently trades at ¥28.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.55, implying the stock looks roughly 62.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, EMTEK (Shenzhen) Co generated revenue of 833M CNY at a net margin of 24.5%. Revenue grew 17.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.9%. Net debt stands at 383M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.86 (bear case) to ¥13.47 (bull case); at ¥28.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 113% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -62%, 300938 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.40 ¥7.74 ¥14.52 80
Residual Income ¥4.87 ¥5.48 ¥9.69 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.52 ¥5.25 ¥9.03 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.51 ¥7.41 ¥16.42 38
Owner Earnings ¥5.33 ¥11.63 ¥23.56 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.52 ¥5.35 ¥9.33 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.20 ¥13.44 ¥23.07 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥6.41 ¥13.89 ¥23.02 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.70 ¥5.59 ¥10.34 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.31 ¥11.74 ¥22.60 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥5.45 ¥12.09 ¥22.55 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.92 ¥22.26 ¥30.94 54
Lynch FV ¥6.25 ¥8.93 ¥11.61 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥6.25 ¥8.93 ¥11.61 46
EPV ¥4.46 ¥5.36 ¥6.15 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥9.07 ¥12.10 ¥15.12 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.54 ¥4.72 ¥5.89 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.34 ¥9.79 ¥12.24 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.20 ¥11.25 ¥14.29 53
EV/EBITDA ¥7.83 ¥10.75 ¥13.67 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.05 ¥3.32 ¥4.59 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.73 ¥3.66 ¥5.47 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.40 ¥7.74 ¥14.52 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.52 ¥5.25 ¥9.03 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.87 ¥5.48 ¥9.69 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.46 ¥5.36 ¥7.23 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.32 ¥13.31 ¥17.30 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥13.31) versus Asset-Based (¥3.66). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 833M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.5%
Net margin 24.5%
Return on equity 11.9%
Free cash flow 107M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 68.8
More key figures
Operating margin 25.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6000
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +18.0%
Net debt 383M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

EMTEK (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. operates as a third-party testing company in China. The company offers technical services and solutions, such as testing, certification, consulting, and technical consulting services.

Full company description

EMTEK (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. operates as a third-party testing company in China. The company offers technical services and solutions, such as testing, certification, consulting, and technical consulting services. It also engages in the testing of electronic and electrical products, light industrial products, new energy products, automotive materials and parts, and environmental protection products. The company serves customers in the fields of automobiles, electronic and electrical products, and daily consumer goods. In addition, the company offers electronic universal testing machines, dynamic fatigue testing machines, electro-hydraulic servo testing machines, endurance creep testing machines, impact testing machines, torsion testing machines, and other key mechanical testing equipment and solutions. EMTEK (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

EMTEK (Shenzhen) Co reported revenue of ¥804M in FY2025 versus ¥395M in FY2021, a compound +19.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥196M in FY2025, compounding +25.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
804M CNY
Latest YoY
+10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+13.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+22.9%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+17.8%
Revenue +19.5%/yr
FY21 ¥395M
FY22 ¥545M
FY23 ¥679M
FY24 ¥725M
FY25 ¥804M
Net income +25.1%/yr
FY21 ¥80.1M
FY22 ¥119M
FY23 ¥164M
FY24 ¥176M
FY25 ¥196M

300938 screens 62% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EMTEK (Shenzhen) Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300938

Peer Group

Specialty Business Services · 255 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.27× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 68.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 7.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 16.89× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 19.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 52.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 24
FUTURE 88 · sector 25
PAST 48 · sector 33
HEALTH 86 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 10 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cintas Corporation CTAS $206.25 $95.30 -54%
RELX PLC RELX $33.70 $32.49 -4%
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI C$133.87 C$70.40 -47%
Copart, Inc CPRT $27.61 $28.59 +4%
Global Payments Inc GPN $80.49 $69.67 -13%
RB Global, Inc RBA C$156.43 C$49.14 -69%
Brambles Limited BXB A$18.79 A$12.28 -35%
UL Solutions Inc ULS $87.76 $33.62 -62%
Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL €62.56 €103.99 +66%
Aramark ARMK $56.74 $13.73 -76%

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Frequently asked questions

Is EMTEK (Shenzhen) Co (300938) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥10.55 versus a price of ¥28.10, about −62% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300938?
Our model-based fair value for EMTEK (Shenzhen) Co is ¥10.55 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥28.10.
What is the quality score of 300938?
EMTEK (Shenzhen) Co has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of EMTEK (Shenzhen) Co (300938)?
EMTEK (Shenzhen) Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 833M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300938?
The net profit margin of EMTEK (Shenzhen) Co is about 24.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 24.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does EMTEK (Shenzhen) Co pay a dividend?
EMTEK (Shenzhen) Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.52% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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