Ligao Foods Co (300973) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 4.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price −1.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 52% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥28.34). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥21.95 – ¥165.69 · fair‑value band ¥28.34 – ¥47.23 · the ¥24.84 price screens below the ¥37.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Ligao Foods Co (300973) currently trades at ¥24.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥37.79, implying the stock looks roughly 52.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ligao Foods Co generated revenue of 4.4B CNY at a net margin of 6.4%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. Net debt stands at 586M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥28.34 (bear case) to ¥47.23 (bull case); at ¥24.84, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 52%, 300973 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥43.09) versus Asset-Based (¥10.56). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ligao Foods Co.,Ltd. together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, and selling of baked food raw material and frozen baked foods in China. It offers cream, chocolate, fruit product, snack food, filling series, as well as milk cream and cheese sauce.
Full company description
Ligao Foods Co.,Ltd. together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, and selling of baked food raw material and frozen baked foods in China. It offers cream, chocolate, fruit product, snack food, filling series, as well as milk cream and cheese sauce. The company also provides bakery food raw materials, including butter, fruit products, and sauces; fruit products, such as fruit fillings, fruit solubles, fruit purees, and beverage concentrates; and salad dressing, canstarch dressings, oil, and other products. In addition, it provides warehousing and transportations services. Ligao Foods Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ligao Foods Co reported revenue of ¥4.4B in FY2025 versus ¥2.8B in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥305M in FY2025, compounding +1.9%/yr from FY2021.
Watch 300973: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 653 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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