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Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd ¥18.54, price ¥52.58, upside -64.8%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · CN · ISIN CNE100004YJ8

SY Some data Sep 24, 2026

Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd

301099 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥18.54 · Strongly overvalued (−65%)
!Quality 36/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +43.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.57% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 11 out of 100
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥92.84 ¥12.30 Fair Value ¥18.54 Nov 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range ¥12.30 – ¥92.84 · fair‑value band ¥9.91 – ¥30.77 · the ¥52.58 price screens above the ¥18.54 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.,Ltd provides electronic products in China and internationally. The company offers electromechanical and communication equipment, instruments and meters, and computer software and hardware products; imports, exports, and sells goods and technologies; and designs and develops software and hardware products.

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Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.,Ltd provides electronic products in China and internationally. The company offers electromechanical and communication equipment, instruments and meters, and computer software and hardware products; imports, exports, and sells goods and technologies; and designs and develops software and hardware products. It also provides in-vehicle infotainment and navigation solutions. The company operates in the fields of automobile, industry, and electric power. Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.,Ltd was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Stock analysis

Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099) currently trades at ¥52.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥18.54, implying the stock looks roughly 183.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥43.45 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥52.58 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥6.17, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥9.91 (bear) to ¥30.77 (bull), the price of ¥52.58 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd reported revenue of 6.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +47.0%/yr. Reported net income was 126M CNY in FY2025, compounding +8.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 13.0B CNY (≈ $1.9B) · P/E ratio 39.8 · P/S ratio 0.76 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.32 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 13.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −66% fair-value upside, at −65%, 301099 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥9.91 Fair Value ¥18.54 Bull ¥30.77
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.7461 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥7.48 ¥8.02 ¥9.00 74
EPV ¥13.76 ¥15.41 ¥16.80 71
Owner Earnings ¥17.73 ¥35.05 ¥67.18 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥17.73 ¥35.05 ¥67.18 70
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.85 ¥40.77 ¥57.21 61
Lynch FV ¥21.06 ¥30.09 ¥39.12 59
PEG = 1.0 ¥21.06 ¥30.09 ¥39.12 55
EPV ¥13.76 ¥15.41 ¥16.80 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥18.05 ¥24.07 ¥30.09 63
P/S Multiple ¥10.96 ¥14.61 ¥18.27 58
P/B Multiple ¥10.96 ¥14.61 ¥18.27 55
EV/EBIT ¥36.24 ¥47.79 ¥59.34 66
EV/EBITDA ¥32.39 ¥42.66 ¥52.93 67
EV/Revenue ¥19.11 ¥26.61 ¥34.12 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.61 ¥6.17 ¥9.22 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.48 ¥8.02 ¥9.00 74
ROIC Compounder ¥17.10 ¥24.18 ¥28.17 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥30.41 ¥43.45 ¥56.48 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 28
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+83.2%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+44.3%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+5.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 4%

301099 screens 184% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 654 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −62% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 64% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.24× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 39.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 9.64× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.74× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 31.6× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)53 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)88 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)11 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $82.84 $91.12 +10%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,910 TWD 519.57 TWD −73%
Corning Incorporated GLW $159.69 $34.01 −79%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 250.50 TWD 293.80 TWD +17%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥54.84 ¥18.55 −66%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,507,000 KRW 171,572 KRW −89%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥198.12 ¥21.19 −89%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $213.48 $140.75 −34%
Elite Material Co 2383 5,050 TWD 800.51 TWD −84%
Yageo Corporation 2327 580.00 TWD 527.64 TWD −9%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301099

Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥18.54 versus a price of ¥52.58, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301099?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd is ¥18.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥52.58.
What is the quality score of 301099?
Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥18.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥9.91, optimistic scenario ¥30.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥18.54, about −65% upside versus a price of ¥52.58 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥9.91, optimistic scenario ¥30.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099)?
Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd pay a dividend?
Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.57% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd it is ¥18.54 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥52.58. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301099 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥52.58, fair value ¥18.54, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301099?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥52.58); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥18.54). For Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd the two are ¥34.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd worth?
The market values Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd at about 13.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥52.58; our models calculate a fair value of ¥18.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301099?
Our models span a range for Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd: cautious scenario ¥9.91, base ¥18.54, optimistic ¥30.77 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥52.58). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301099?
Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 39.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥18.54 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 9.6, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 31.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 13.3%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301099 from its 52-week high?
Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd trades at ¥52.58, about 43% below its 52-week high of ¥92.84 and 73% above the low of ¥30.35 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥18.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥52.58, calculated fair value ¥18.54 (−65%), Quality Score 36/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301099 calculated?
We run Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥18.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥52.58. Our model-based fair value is ¥18.54, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥30.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥9.91 to ¥30.77). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099)?
The market capitalisation of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd is 13.0B CNY (≈ $1.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd is 0.76 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd are ¥1.32 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 39.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099)?
The dividend yield of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd is 0.6% (payout 22.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099)?
The net margin of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd is 1.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd is 13.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd is 8.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099)?
The operating margin of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099)?
Revenue at Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd is growing +63.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +44.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd are growing +600% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099) generate?
The free cash flow of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd is −325M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd (301099) carry?
The net debt of Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.Ltd is 1.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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